Scoring target series
QB | RB1 / RB2 | RB3 / RB4 | WR1 / WR2 | WR3 / WR4 | TE | FLEX | K / DST
I have to admit I have a soft spot for the wide receiver position. I like the strength with my receivers, which allows me to make fewer decisions in the starting lineup.
Wide receivers 25 to 36 total points (2017-2020)
Wide receivers 25 to 36
Last year, receivers 25-36 averaged 194.37 Fantasy points in the PPR full-point leagues or 12.15 Fantasy points per week, which equates to 68 receptions for 905 yards and 5.1 touchdowns. The top four wide receivers in this group averaged 206 fantasy points.
The quality of the WR3 improved in each of the last three years (2018 – 178.53 and 2019 – 189.86).
Wide receivers can be inconsistent from week to week. Touchdowns will often determine your success. If a Fantasy owner builds his team with too many weak wide receivers, he’ll have a hard time getting his lineup right on Sunday. As you can see, as we work our way through the pool of wide receivers, they consistently outperform the running back position on the backend.
As I mentioned earlier, if a Fantasy owner could recruit three top wide receivers within the first four rounds, their team structure can lead to a five or six point lead at the WR3 position if they can hit the right group of receivers. open. . Plus, by having three reliable wide receivers, your team can be a bit stronger during the bye weeks while still having a chance to fight off some short-term injuries. On the other hand, a team that selects a quarterback and tight end in the first five rounds will be under pressure to land their second running backs and wide receivers on the same day of the draft.
Wide receivers 37 to 48 total points (2017 – 2020)
Wide receivers 37 to 48
Receivers 37-48 averaged 164.23 Fantasy points in PPR leagues from full points or 57 receptions, 742 yards and five touchdowns. Fourth wide receivers, on average, outperformed the third group of running backs (9.44 fantasy points in 2020). Last year, 44 wide receivers averaged more than 10.0 fantasy points per week compared to 41 in 2019 and 36 in 2018.
Our goal in the flexible position has to be much higher than 10.5 fantasy points if we hope to win our league or compete for an overall title. Unfortunately, many of the failures at the rear of the wide receiver group tend to stem from injuries.
If we add up the average score of each position in the starting list, we get a total of 149.04 fantasy points per week based on the 2020 results. The goal of each fantasy owner should be to exceed the average score in each position, which means that they must have a player in the middle to higher level at each spot in their starting lineup.
The wide receiver position is deeper than the running back position, but the receivers are more difficult to handle at the lower levels. As a result, many fantasy owners use two different philosophies.
The first philosophy is to recruit a solid running back and build your team strong on your wide receiver corps plus a solid tight end. The next step is to increase your running depth. If one or more reserve running backs get a full-time job, your team will compete for a title with a healthy season.
The second team structure comes from a solid roster of running backs in your team formation while hopefully hitting your backend wide receivers.
I’ll use a baseball comparison as I think it’s easier for fantasy owners who play multiple sports to understand. A backup broker is like a closer on hold. If a player gets carries full time, they can become a top-tier player and sometimes an elite running back. Without an initial opportunity, a reserve runner tends to have minimal value if it is necessary to cover an injury or a bye week.
Wide receivers are more like starting pitchers. Either they have talent or they don’t. Every year a couple of wide receivers will make their way, but what are the chances that the draft will go well for you to lock in the right ones? If a draft player was strong as a running back, does he need to hit a wide receiver or two to have a successful season? They might even need three wide receivers to develop a competitive roster.
In high-level leagues, your opponents will also know the pool of players, which will make it challenging to get out if you wait too long at wide receiver.
The second part is that a backup wide receiver can’t match an elite wide receiver just because he has a chance. If Michael Thomas is injured, his replacement will not deliver his production. Your objectives will be divided among the other good players within the offense.
A mediocre running back can land a job in a high-powered offense and produce from the high volume of touches, which is the main reason many of the best fantasy owners will cheat RB2’s position. They avoid the risk of injury by selecting a runner early and trying to gain an advantage in another four or five positions on the list.
The best team structure for a fantasy owner pushing the quarterback position back would be to draft a balanced roster after five rounds (two RB, two WR, and one TE). This path allows the owner of a fantasy to take advantage of the positions that slip in the draft. Each league will be different, so there is no perfect way to build your team. Understanding the player pool and draft flow is critical to building a winning roster. The trick to all of this is that players will get hurt and many will not live up to their expectations.
I know that Fantasy owners consider some players to be at risk of injury. However, soccer is very different from baseball. You can’t ignore talent, even if you think a player may fail. Brian Westbrook comes to mind when I think about this. I turned him down many times because I thought he was at risk of injury, but I also knew he was talented. If he was on the field, he was going to play at a high level. My goal is to avoid injury, but I know that the crystal ball that works inside my head does not translate into real football. If a player has a talent for making a difference and is still in the prime of his career, he should take the advantage when he can, but he must protect his investment.
I would approach the draft this way. It is vital to evaluate your opponents when you are sitting at the draft table. If you’re in a league with less talented owners who don’t know inventory, there will be buying opportunities at all positions later in the drafts.
In the high-risk market, every fantasy owner is very likely to know the group of players. They will also respect the position of the wide receiver. By knowing your opponents, you may be able to understand your opportunities later in the draft.
In other words, in a live draft on the opening day weekend of the NFL season, you may want to increase your wide receiver position. In an online draft in late July, when fantasy owners don’t understand the flow of players, you can get an advantage by selecting a quarterback or tight end earlier. As each week passes, the writing information will circulate and the pool of players will shrink.
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Senior analyst Shawn Childs is a high-stakes, multi-sport fantasy legend with six-figure lifetime earnings. He has been providing in-depth analytical breakdowns for years while helping his subscribers to rake in countless titles and earnings throughout the season and DFS. Shawn, an inaugural member of the NFBC Hall of Fame, can teach you how to prepare like a champion.
Eddie is an Australian news reporter with over 9 years in the industry and has published on Forbes and tech crunch.