Thursday, December 9

A flu pandemic like the one of the 18 would be much more lethal than the one of the Covid-19

The next flu pandemic can be as deadly or more than 18 and much worse than Covid-19. Two reports from the
US Academy of Sciences
., an independent body that advises the US government on medical and health matters, warns that a flu like the one in 1918 could be even worse than Covid-19 has been and that the world is not prepared to do. in front of that stage.

Covid-19 has been terrible, write the authors of one of the documents.

“However, from an epidemiological perspective, Covid-19 does not represent the worst pandemic scenario, as was the 1918 flu, which caused nearly 50 million

deaths worldwide, “says the report.

According to
World Health Organization
(WHO), the flu kills between 290,000 and 650,000 people each year. Covid-19 has killed 5.1 million people around the world. But, according to this report, the next flu pandemic could cost 33 million deaths.

This is why the authors of this paper warn of the need to accelerate the development of next-generation vaccines and the ability to manufacture their own vaccines in low- and middle-income countries so they don’t have to rely on rich nations.

Covid-19 does not represent the worst pandemic scenario, as was the 1918 flu, which caused nearly 50 million deaths worldwide

It is difficult to predict when a new flu pandemic will occur, but it is certain that one will occur.

«Flu pandemics are cyclical, and experts are particularly concerned that the risk of a flu pandemic may be even higher during the Covid-19 era, due to changes in global and regional conditions affecting humans, animals, and their behavior patterns. Contact. Although it is difficult to predict when it will occur, it is more a question of determining the moment of its appearance and not so much of whether it will occur, “add the scientists.

The report insists on one idea: the universal flu vaccine. A flu vaccine that would protect people against current and future strains of flu.

Current vaccines must be reformulated regularly, adjusted every year, and do not protect against new emerging strains that could cause pandemics.

“We have too many loopholes,” write the authors of one of the reports. “In the face of the threat, we are unfortunately unprotected. We urgently need to strengthen our collective defenses against pandemic flu and we must do so in a way that is sustainable.

The report insists on one idea: the universal flu vaccine

One of the documents from the US Academy of Sciences recommends having 4 billion to 8 billion doses of flu vaccine ready to use.

“Preparation has to be a continuous commitment, it cannot be from year to year, or from crisis to crisis,” Victor Dzau, president of the National Academy of Medicine, said in a statement.

“Covid-19 has allowed the emergence of new capabilities, technologies, and policies that could also be implemented before and during the next flu pandemic. Investing in science, strengthening health systems and ensuring trust is essential to protect people from the health, social and economic consequences of seasonal and pandemic flu.

One report specifically recommends that the INational Institute of Allergies and Infectious Diseases, Advanced Biomedical Research and Development Authority, Department of Defense and other US agencies invest in research for new and better flu vaccines. “This will allow the selection of the most suitable candidates for authorization and sufficient production and distribution to optimize influenza control in various settings and phases of pandemics and epidemics,” the analysis reads.

The Covid-19 pandemic, one of the documents points out, has shown that face masks and physical distancing contribute to the drastic reduction of flu activity worldwide. «Masks would be a simple method of preventing the next flu pandemic, and public health agencies should require their use, when justified by the severity and incidence of the flu.“Academia said in a statement.

In this sense, the document concludes, “WHO should promote and coordinate with stakeholders, governments, funding agencies, the vaccine industry and philanthropic organizations the development of a response to a more than possible influenza pandemic.”

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