No. 1 Alabama faces No. 4 Notre Dame in the semifinal of the college football playoffs on January 1.
The game moved from the Rose Bowl to AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Amas. Kickoff is scheduled for 5 p.m. on ESPN.
Alabama (11-0) is making its sixth CFP appearance and is seeking a sixth national championship with coach Nick Saban. The Crimson Tide ranked second in the FBS with 49.7 points per game with an offense that features quarterback Mac Jones, running back Name Harris and wide receiver DeVonta Smith.
Notre Dame (10-1) is back in the playoffs for the second time in three seasons with coach Brian Kelly after an impressive one-year tour of the ACC, but the Fighting Irish enter the showdown with the same questions from the greats. Games. after a 34-10 loss to Clemson in the ACC championship game. Quarterback Ian Book is 30-4 as a starter.
Here’s everything you need to know about Alabama vs Notre Dame betting, including up-to-date odds, trends and our prediction for the CFP semi-final.
Alabama vs. Notre Dame Betting Odds
- Spread: Alabama –19.5
- Below: 65.5
- Money line: Alabama –110, Notre Dame –110
The Crimson Tide opened as 17.5-point favorites, and that line is up two points. Is he largest semi-final spread in the history of the College Football Playoff.
Alabama vs. Notre Dame Historic Series
The Irish lead the all-time series 5-2, and that includes victories in the 1973 Sugar Bowl and the 1975 Orange Bowl. Crimson Tide won the final meeting 42-14 in the BCS championship game on January 7, 2013.
Three trends to know
– Crimson Tide is 4-1 S / U in the CFP semifinals, and Alabama is 3-2 ATS in those Games. The Crimson Tide is 1-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite in those Games.
– The Irish are 5-6 ATS this season. Notre Dame is 12-10-1 ATS in Games at neutral venues with Brian Kelly since 2010.
– The Crimson Tide is 8-3 ATS this season, and that includes a 2-1 ATS mark when the spread is less than 20 points.
Three things to see
– Notre Dame offensive line. In that BCS championship loss in 2013, the Irish were mistreated up front. Notre Dame’s offensive line includes All-American candidates like Liam Eichenberg, Aaron Banks, RViennaainsey and Tommy Kraemer. It’s a seasoned group that has to give Ian Book time to work against a talented Alabama defense that improved in the second half of the season. That said, Amas A&M, Ole Miss and Florida combined to average 374 passing yards against Alabama. Book can be successful with targets like Michael Mayer, Avery Davis and Ben Skowronek, but he needs to be more decisive on the pocketbook. That could open up the running gamKaren Kyren Williams, who is averaging 122.1 rushing yards per game.
– Alabama’s running game. The Irish allowed just 3.7 yards per carry, and the defense, led by Butkus award winner Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, is solid. The Crimson Tide will test it with a running attack that averages 5.0 yards per cName Name Harris rushed for 24 touchdowns and averaged 5.9 yards per cName If Harris releases early, Notre Dame will be in trouble.
– The first trimester. With such a high margin, sometimes it is that simple. Alabama outscored its opponents 132-37 in the first quarter of this season, and has outscored its opponents 52-13 in those previous five semifinals. A quick lead would allow offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian to do whatever he wants. What will Notre Dame defensive coordinator Clark Lea do to interrupt that with his seven backs?
Statistics that matter
Mac Jones leads the FBS with that passer rating, which is higher than the 202.0 passer rating LSU’s Joe Burrow put up last season. DeVonta Smith andTechieetchie are big problems for a Notre Dame secondary that had two interceptions this season, and Jones has played the best he can in big Games. Smith poses the greatest challenge to the Irish defense.
The lines on both sides will tell you right away if the Irish have a chance in another big game opportunity. Alabama’s offense is clicking an all-time level, and Jones should be able to adapt early to perimeter goals. The Crimson Tide hit two long TDs in the second quarter to build a two-touchdown lead at halftime. Notre Dame threatens to turn it into a game in the third quarter when Book responds, but Alabama turns to Harris at closing time. That puts Saban within reach of a seventh national championship, which would break the record of legendary coach Bear Bryant.
Final score: Alabama 42, Notre Dame 23
Eddie is an Australian news reporter with over 9 years in the industry and has published on Forbes and tech crunch.