Monday, November 29

Auburn vs Penn State Odds, Prediction, Betting Trends for Week 3 College Football Game

No. 22 Auburn faces No. 10 Penn State in a “Whiteout” Saturday at Beaver Stadium.

Game time is scheduled for 7:30 pm ET, and the game will be televised on ABC.

Auburn (2-0) is playing a Big Ten opponent on the road for the first time since 1931, and this is only the third time an SEC-ranked team has visited a Big Ten opponent. The Tigers are off to a fast start with first-year coach Bryan Harsin. Quarterback Bo Nix and running back Tank Bigsby have formed a dynamic backfield, and this is the biggest test before the SEC plays.

BENDER: Week 3 Picks Against Spread | Conclusions from week 2

Penn State (2-0) can also clinch a decisive victory outside of the conference. The Nittany Lions have shown improved defense, and veteran quarterback Sean Clifford and SN preseason All-American Jahan Doston lead an offense scoring 30 points per game.

He’s an excellent spotlight for two fringe contenders for the CFP. With that in mind, Sporting News breaks down the betting trends for the Tigers vs. Nittany Lions matchup:

Auburn vs. Penn State odds

  • Spread: Penn State -6.5
  • Below: 52.5
  • Money line: Penn State -235, Auburn +186

Three trends to know

– Auburn is 11-2 S / U in non-conference games since 2018, but that includes a 1-5 S / U record as the underdog on the road.

– Penn State is 17-9-1 ATS in non-conference games with James Franklin. The Nittany Lions are 22-5 S / U in those games.

– Penn State has lost five straight games to SEC opponents, a streak dating back to 2010. Auburn is 2-3 against Big Ten opponents since 2010.

Three things to look at

– Bo Nix efficiency. Nix has been brilliant in two games against inferior competition. He has completed 29 of 39 passes, a 74.3 completion percentage that should translate on the road. It’s a huge improvement over the past two years, when Nix made fewer than 60 percent of his passes. The two-headed running game of Jarquez Hunter (257 yards, 2 TD) and Bigsby (241 yards, 2 TD) will be put to the test. This will test a Penn State defense that allows just 2.9 yards per carry. Linebacker Brandon Smith has led that defense with 15 tackles.

– Sean Clifford against pressure. Auburn has had nine sacks in two games with new defensive coordinator Derek Mason. TD Moultry and Marquis Burks have combined for 4.5 sacks in those games from the defensive line, and it’s up to Clifford to evade that pressure and find Dotson and Parker Washington, who have 10 catches apiece in two games. Penn State will take a handful of deep shots with new offensive coordinator Mike Yurcich.

– How will Bryan Harsin adapt? Harsin’s signing was greeted with trepidation, but the Tigers are averaging 60 points per game. This is a different challenge. Auburn is 5-8 S / U in road games since 2018, and that includes a 1-6 S / U record on the road against ranked teams. This would be an early victory for the new coach.

Statistics that matter

What difference does the “Whiteout” make? It’s one of the best shows in college football, but it has produced a 8-8 record for Nittany Lions . The last “Whiteouts” have been against Ohio State or Michigan, and the only SEC team to play in one was Alabama in 2011. Crimson Tide won that game 27-11. Auburn is no stranger to harsh environments at SEC West, but this is a new experience.

Auburn vs. Penn State Prediction

Penn State should be able to feed off that energy and build an advantage, especially if the running game works with a three-headed attack that includes Noah Cain, Devyn Ford and Keyvonne Lee. The Nittany Lions will lead at halftime, but Nix will lead a rally in the second half that gives the Tigers a chance to tie late. Penn State came up with two late interceptions to seal a win against Wisconsin in Week 1. Will safety Jaquan Brisker make the big play again?

Final score: Penn State 31, Auburn 24

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