Monday, September 25

Avalanche vs. Lightning odds, prediction: 2022 Stanley Cup Final picks, Game 4 bets from expert on 137-71 run

The Colorado Avalanche look to bounce back from just their third loss of the postseason when they visit the two-time defending champion Tampa Bay Lightning for Game 4 of the 2022 Stanley Cup Final on Wednesday. Colorado, which had won seven consecutive contests, was unable to take a commanding 3-0 lead in the series on Monday as it suffered a 6-2 setback. Darcy Kuemper was pulled after allowing five goals on 22 shots, leading to speculation that Pavel Francouz, who is 6-0 this postseason, may start Game 4.

Opening face-off at Amalie Arena in Tampa is set for 8 pm ET. Both teams are listed at -110 (risk $110 to win $100) on the money line in the latest Avalanche vs. Lightning odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total goals scored is six. Before making any Lightning vs. Avalanche picks or 2022 Stanley Cup Final predictions, you need to see what SportsLine NHL expert Matt Severance has to say.

Severance is a well-connected writer and handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. He is SportsLine’s top NHL handicapper, going 137-71-4 in his last 212 NHL picks and returning well over $3,000 for $100 players. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, Severance has set his sights on Avs vs. Lightning and just locked in his picks and NHL playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks from him. Here are several NHL odds and Stanley Cup betting lines for Lightning vs. Aves:

  • Avalanche vs. Lightning money line: Colorado -110, Tampa Bay -110
  • Avalanche vs. Lightning over-under: 6 goals
  • Avalanche vs. Lightning puck line: Colorado -1.5 (+220)
  • Avalanche vs. Lightning tickets: See tickets at StubHub
  • COL: The Avalanche are 10-2 in their last 12 games after allowing at least five goals in their previous contest
  • TB: The Lightning have allowed a total of seven goals over their last six home games

Why the Avalanche can win

Mikko Rantanen has yet to score a goal in the Stanley Cup Final but leads all players with seven points. The 25-year-old Finnish right wing, whose assist total is the most through three games of a Stanley Cup Final in league history, is tied for fifth in playoff scoring with 24 points and has recorded 76 in 60 career postseason contests. Rantanen helped set up both of the Avalanche’s goals in Game 3, which were scored on the power play by captain Gabriel Landeskog.

Colorado is 5-for-11 in the series with the man advantage and has converted a league-best 33.9 percent of its opportunities this postseason. Defenseman Cale Makar also notched two assists on Monday and has registered nine points over his last four contests. The 23-year-old, who was awarded the Norris Trophy on Tuesday, is tied for third in the league with 26 points and has amassed 57 in 52 career playoff games.

Why the Lightning can win

No team has lost the first two games of a conference final and Stanley Cup Final in the same postseason and come back to win both series. Tampa Bay is three victories away from making history as it overcame the deficit in the Eastern Conference final to defeat the New York Rangers in six games and began its comeback against Colorado on Monday with its best offensive effort since posting a 7-3 triumph in Game 4 of its first-round series versus Toronto. Ondrej Palat was one of three players to record a goal and an assist, giving him points in six of his last seven contests.

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Veteran Corey Perry’s name was etched in the record book on Monday as he became the first player to score a goal in the Stanley Cup Final for four different teams. The 37-year-old right wing scored twice for Anaheim en route to the championship in 2007, netted three tallies for Dallas in 2020 and recorded one goal for Montreal last year.

How to make Avalanche vs. lightning picks

Severance has analyzed the Lightning vs. Avalanche game from every angle, and he is leaning over on the goal total, but he also says a critical X-factor makes one team a must-back on the money line. He’s only sharing who it is and which side of the Game 4 moneyline to back at SportsLine.

So who wins Avalanche vs. Lightning in Game 4 of the 2022 Stanley Cup Final? And what crucial X-factor makes one team a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see which team you need to jump on, all from the expert who has crushed his NHL picks, and find out.

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