Two games. Two blowouts.
Atlanta dominated Game 1.
Houston dominated Game 2.
Now the series moves to Atlanta (as Jermaine Dupri and Ludacris).
Game 3 features a showdown of talented young right-handers in Atlanta, Ian Anderson (1-0. 2.25 postseason ERA) and ALCS Game 6 hero Luis Garcia (1-1. 9.64 postseason ERA).
Jen Piacenti and Matt Ehalt cashed three and four bets, respectively, in Game 2. They both hit Houston’s win on the money line, the race line and the finish line. Max Fried hitting more than 4.5 strikeouts gave Ehalt the additional hit bet.
Here are your picks from Game 3, and be sure to check Sports betting YES by the odds.
Nice: Although I like the Astros to win the series, I will pick the Braves.
Anderson has been strong in the postseason and the Braves dominate at home (5-0 this October). Anderson hasn’t made it past the fifth inning in two of his last three postseason starts, but both bullpens should rest Friday.
Also, the Astros have to figure out what to do with Yordan Alvarez’s bat because there is no designated hitter. Since I can’t see them without Alvarez in the lineup, that means Houston will have to move some defensive players to accommodate Alvarez in left field. That could result in sloppy play.
Ehalt: This is the best career start for both pitchers.
Garcia shined in Game 6 of the American League Championship Series, baffling the Red Sox to propel Houston to the pennant. Anderson has been solid this postseason, although the Braves didn’t pressure him in any of his starts against the Dodgers in the NL Championship Series.
Atlanta battled a right-hander on Jose Urquidy in Game 2, while crushing southpaw Framber Valdez in Game 1. Houston jumped on southpaw Max Fried early in Game 2, but didn’t do much against right-hander Charlie Morton, though he’s better. than Anderson.
This is a difficult decision, but I like Atlanta for a number of reasons.
Truist Park should be buzzing, as this is Atlanta’s first World Series game in 22 years, and we still haven’t seen Anderson get off to a bad start to the postseason. He hasn’t allowed more than two runs in any postseason game, though some have been short starts.
Atlanta is also undefeated at home this postseason, and the Astros’ lineup will not be in full force due to the game being played under National League rules.
Garcia, while excellent in Game 6, struggled in his other two postseason starts this October. He gave up 10 runs spanning his first two against the White Sox and Red Sox.
I trust Anderson more than Garcia not to implode, and Atlanta’s bullpen will be well rested to regain the load if Anderson retires early.
Nice: Since I have to choose: I’m taking the extra money and I hope the Astros win by at least two, should they win.
Ehalt: I am not a fan of the odds on this bet as there is little value in betting Atlanta at -188, but I will double down as I am predicting they will win outright.
Nice: This running total is adjusted again. Game 1, we saw him go to 8. Game 2 went to 9. Seems like that’s the happy place.
I’ll take the bottom, remembering that there will be an “automatic” exit for the pitcher station and assuming both bullpens will be rested and sharp.
Ehalt: Game 1: 8 races.
Game 2: 9 races.
Both lines up / down were 8.5.
This is how you know you have a good line.
We haven’t seen both offenses perform in the same game yet, but these teams are still finding ways to produce a sizable number of runs.
Two of Garcia’s three starts resulted in finishes above 8.5 runs, while only one of Anderson’s three starts resulted in nine runs. This is in line with Houston games often hitting the end, while Atlanta generally hitting the end.
Two of Atlanta’s five postseason games this year have surpassed 8.5 runs.
Ultimately, I trust both offenses more than these headlines. Let’s bet around here.
Nice: I’ll give the go-ahead to the local team. Garcia has been spotty, and who knows if his knee is healthy enough to rock the baby.
Ehalt: Since both games have been blowouts, the winning team has held the lead for five innings. Let’s follow that trend and take Atlanta here. Picking Atlanta is also counting on Braves manager Brian Snitker to have a quick hook with Anderson.
Nice: I will take Michael Brantley to record more than 2 hits (+160). Brantley hit .363 against right-handers this year, and is hitting .352 in the postseason.
I like that more money.
Ehalt: Freddie Freeman is the face of the franchise.
It’s the first World Series game in Atlanta in 22 years.
It is Freeman’s first World Series game.
Sports are great when they provide emotional moments, and I think Freeman will have a strong game on Friday night.
Let’s take Freeman (+190), the reigning MVP, to count those hits.
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Eddie is an Australian news reporter with over 9 years in the industry and has published on Forbes and tech crunch.