Big data was wrong, and the DGT in its forecasts, although in this case the ruling translates into positive news. According to algorithms and mathematical models, this Easter it was expected that 36 people would die in traffic accidents. But in total there have been 29 people who lost their lives on the roads during this Holy Week, two less than last year. Easter registered 15.8 million long-distance journeys, the highest figure since the record of movements on these dates began in 2008.
The practical return to normality was reflected in the return of iconic moments at Easter, such as religious processions and the millions of vehicle journeys on the roads.
In fact, in the period covered by the special operation of the
DGT There were 15.8 million long road trips, 6% more than those registered in 2019 (14.9 million). This is the highest number of trips in an Easter device since 2008, the year in which the historical series of road movement data begins on those dates.
The day with the most long road trips was Sunday, April 17, with 1.7 million trips. In addition, during Holy Week there were 1.8 million border movements, 1.8% more compared to 2019.
Big data failed
A total of 27 fatal accidents occurred during Holy Week, in which 29 people died and another 96 were hospitalized, that is, two more deaths and 30 fewer injuries than in 2019. This is the fifth least tragic Holy Week in the Spanish roads since 1993, only behind those of 2020 (12 fatalities), 2013 (24) and 2017 and 2019 (27).
«There are still many deaths on the road and there are still many families whose lives have been changed by a road accident. Nothing is the same again, ”said the general director of Traffic, Pere Navarro, in statements provided by the DGT.
However, Navarro thanked the behavior of most citizens on the road, which helped to break the forecast of one of the most important ‘big data’ analysts in Spain, who predicted, through algorithms and mathematical models , that during Holy Week 36 people could die on Spanish roads.
“It’s good to know that, if we make an effort, we can avoid the bad forecasts of ‘big data’,” said Navarro, before adding: “We have to continue working every day and complying with traffic regulations so that road accidents really become a thing of the past.”
Like before the pandemic
The data for this Holy Week reflect similarities with respect to the accident rate of Easter before the pandemic. Thus, 21 people died in accidents on conventional roads (two more than in 2019) and eight on motorways or dual carriageways.
By type of accident, the most frequent continued to be off the road (nine deaths, one less than in 2019), while eight people died from head-on collisions (same figure as in 2019).
This Easter, six pedestrians were killed (three more than in 2019), three of them on the highway and another three on conventional roads. Five were walking on the road or crossing the road. In addition, six motorcyclists lost their lives on Spanish roads during Easter.
The time slot with the highest number of deaths was from 07:00 to 13:59 (11 fatalities, one more than in 2019). The age group with the most deaths in final accidents turned out to be 65 years and over (10 deaths), followed by 55 to 64 years (seven). There were no fatalities of people aged 0 to 14 and 25 to 34 years. Four of the nine deceased people traveling by car were not wearing a seat belt.
Eight autonomous communities (Asturias, the Balearic Islands, the Canary Islands, Cantabria, the Community of Madrid, La Rioja, Murcia and Navarra), Ceuta and Melilla did not register fatal accidents during Holy Week.
Eddie is an Australian news reporter with over 9 years in the industry and has published on Forbes and tech crunch.