Friday, March 29

Chicago Bulls vs San Antonio Spurs odds, picks and predictions


The San Antonio Spurs (18-31) harbor the Chicago Bulls (30-17) Friday at the AT&T Center for a notice at 8:30 pm ET. Next, we look at the Bulls vs. Odds and Lines spursand make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Chicago has won back-to-back games over the Oklahoma City Thunder on Monday and the Toronto Raptors on Wednesday. However, the Bulls are just 3-5 straight (SU) and 4-3-1 against the spread (ATS) in the last two weeks.

San Antonio has lost three of its last four games, including its last outing, which was a 118-110 loss to the Memphis Grizzlies as 4-point home underdogs. The Spurs are 3-5 SU and ATS in the last 14 days.

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Bulls at Spurs odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access the USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a complete list. The lines were last updated at 5 pm ET.

  • money line: Bulls +102 ($100 bet to win $102) | Spurs -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Bulls +1.5 (-108) | Spurs -1.5 (-112)
  • Plus/Minus (O/U): 231.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Bulls on key Spurs injuries

Bulls

  • GP lonzo ball (knee) out
  • SG Alex Caruso (wrist) out

Spurs

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Bulls at Spurs Odds, Lines, Picks & Predictions

Prediction

Bulls 117, Spurs 111

money line

Mild “BEND DOWN” to him BULLS (+102) because I prefer its spread but, anyway, Chicago is the right side.

The Spurs (-125) have no one to defend the Bulls wings Zach LaVine Y DeMar DeRozan; both love to operate in the midrange, and that’s where San Antonio’s defense is most vulnerable.

According to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG), Chicago attempts the third highest midrange field goal shooting rate and has the third best midrange shooting field goal percentage. While San Antonio has the second worst defensive field goal percentage versus mid-range attempts, according to CTG.

Additionally, the Spurs have an adjusted defensive rating in the bottom five at home, and the Bulls are 14-4 SU with an adjusted net rating of over 8.5 against the lowest 10 defenses.

Also, DeRozan played for the Spurs from 2018-21 (three seasons), so he’s very familiar with the AT&T Center’s line of sight and might be motivated to introduce his former employer.

Again, “BEND DOWN” to the BULLS (+102) since Chicago plus points is a stronger bet.

against the spread

BET the BULLS +1.5 (-108) because this is a case of “the wrong team is favored.” In fact, the Spurs -1.5 (-112) opened as a 4-point home underdog (per Pregame.com) before the market carried San Antonio at the current price.

But I can’t reverse engineer that line move or figure out what the market sees in the Spurs, I see value in the Bulls at this spot. Also, San Antonio is 5-10 ATS as a home underdog, which he opened as.

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Since I think Spurs should still be a local underdog, I’m BET the BULLS +1.5 (-108).

Below

Mild “BEND DOWN” to the LOW 231.5 (-107) for a small bet, if anything, because two of the three umpires assigned to this game have officiated more Unders than Overs.

That could have a big impact on this total, as Chicago thrives on reaching the charity bracket, but San Antonio ranks fifth in defensive FT/FGA ratio.

For what it’s worth, the Chicago sides are my favorite bets in this game, and I’m not in love with the Under at Bulls-Spurs.

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