Wednesday, November 30

Chiefs vs. Bills: Expert Picks, Predictions, NFL Playoff Fixtures, Sunday 2022 Divisional Round Schedule

It may be the game of the week. This Sunday, the Kansas City Chiefs host the Buffalo Bills in the divisional round of the playoffs, a rematch of last year’s AFC championship game. It could be a wild, high-scoring affair, as these two teams were the highest-scoring teams from Super Wild Card Weekend. The Bills dropped 47 points to the New England Patriots, while the Chiefs defeated the Pittsburgh Steelers 42-21.

The Bills and Chiefs have met four times in the postseason, with each team winning twice. Some consider this to be the “real” AFC championship game, and that may be accurate. The winner of each Bills-Chiefs postseason meeting went on to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl. It’s Josh Allen vs. Patrick Mahomes. Which will outmatch the other?

Below, we will examine the different betting angles for this matchup. We’ll be providing insider picks from CBS Sports and SportsLine on this AFC matchup, as well as some player props we find compelling.

All NFL odds are through Caesars Sportsbook.

how to look

Date: Sunday January 23 | Hour: 6:40 p.m. ET
Location: Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City)
C.B.S. | Stream: Paramount+ (click here)
odd: Bosses -1.5, O/U 54

Bills at Chiefs spread picks

Latest odds:

Kansas City Chiefs -1.5

“This is a rematch of a game earlier this season that the Bills won at the Chiefs’ home field. The Bills and Chiefs are coming off impressive wins. Both Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen lit up their opponents last week, but this is a big step forward for both of them in terms of defenses. The Bills have the highest ranked defense in the league and built their pass rush in the offseason to beat Mahomes. The Chiefs defense isn’t that great, but he played much better over the course of the second half of the season. The Chiefs love the blitz, which will leave Allen free to run and make shots on the fly. I think that’s going to be the difference here. The Bills behind Allen will win a fun matchup for all ages.” — CBS Sports’ Pete Prisco has the Bills pulling off the upset! To read their breakdown of each game, click here.

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“We have a rematch of the AFC Championship Game in the divisional round, as the Chiefs host the Bills. I hope this is a matchup that goes the distance, because both offenses seemed unstoppable last weekend. The Bills they scored 47 points against the New England Patriots! They scored touchdowns on all seven offensive drives (not including knees), averaged 12.3 passing yards, converted every third down they wanted, and Josh Allen had more touchdown passes than incompletes. Like Allen, Patrick Mahomes threw for five touchdowns to go along with 404 yards and an interception in the blowout win over the Steelers. Jerick McKinnon reintroduced himself to the NFL world in a big way, as he accounted for 142 yards of total offense and one touchdown.

“If you remember, the Bills beat the Chiefs in Kansas City in Week 5. Allen had three touchdown passes in the 38-20 win, two of them for more than 35 yards. Mahomes and the Chiefs remember that loss, and they will come here in the divisional round. — CBS Sports’ Jordan Dajani watches the Chiefs avenge their regular-season loss. To read his divisional round column, click here.

“This is arguably the best game on the divisional board, as it’s a rematch of the AFC Championship from a season ago. Both quarterbacks, Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen, threw for five touchdowns in their playoff wins last week. So we could be setting ourselves up for a wild shootout. With that in mind, I think this could be a situation where Buffalo, not having star cornerback Tre’Davious White, finally comes back to bite them. Sure, they didn’t need White against a Mac Jones-led Patriots team last week, but they could certainly use a talent like that to slow down Mahomes.

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“Because this line is below the field goal threshold at just Chiefs -2, I don’t mind putting up the points here with Kansas City. Andy Reid’s team has been stellar at home lately, going 5-0 ATS in their previous five games at Arrowhead. The Chiefs are also 6-1 ATS in their last six home playoff games.” CBS Sports’ Tyler Sullivan likes that the Chiefs are advancing to the AFC Championship for the fourth year in a row. To read his picks column, click here.

Before making Bills vs. Chiefs or any other NFL prediction, you need to see which side SportsLine pundit Larry Hartstein is on. This season has been on fire. Hartstein is 70-46-1 in his last 117 NFL teams, earning more than $1,800. Additionally, Hartstein went an amazing 23-8 in his last 31 picks involving Kansas City, returning $1,400 to $100 to bettors! Anyone who has followed him is way up there. You can see who Larry is taking on in the Bills-Chiefs matchup on SportsLine, and you can also get his top player pick for the game, along with more picks from SportsLine’s top NFL pundits, in this featured article.

Bills in Chiefs total picks

Latest odds:

over 54

“The Bills and Chiefs finished the regular season third and fourth respectively in points scored per game. These two teams combined for 89 points last week, as offenses had no trouble scoring points. My leaning is also toward the Over , as these offenses have combined for at least 58 points in their last two meetings. I imagine it will be close, but that fourth-quarter field goal to bring the total to 55 will feel good.” — Jordan Dajani of CBS Sports

Before making picks and predictions for Chiefs vs. Bills, you’ll want to see what SportsLine’s projection model says. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has raised more than $7,500 for $100 players on top NFL picks since its inception more than six years ago. The model enters the divisional round of the 2021 NFL playoffs riding an incredible 137-97 streak on top NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season. Now, she has simulated Bills vs. Chiefs 10,000 times and the results are in. You can see what he has to say on SportsLine.

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player accessories

Josh Allen touchdown passes: Over 1.5 (-190). Okay, yeah, it’s juicy. You don’t have to play it alone, put it in a parlay of the same game, or just parlay it. The Green Bay Packers and Allen’s Over 1.5 Touchdown Passes money line is +114. Isn’t the Caesars Sportsbook app great?

Stefon Diggs receiving yards: Over 71.5 (-115). A great number, but Diggs is a great playmaker. He’s averaging 72.1 receiving yards per game this season, and he had 69 yards when these two teams met in the regular season on just two receptions. When the Bills and Chiefs met in the playoffs last year, Diggs caught six passes for 77 yards. Allen made sure to target it, and he should do it again this weekend.

Harrison Butker made extra points: over 2.5 (-130). I live and die kicking accessories, and I’ve been living well lately. You can read this prop as “Do the Chiefs score three touchdowns during the game in situations where they won’t have to go for two?” I say yes. Butker had to kick six extra points last week against the Steelers. If you think the Bills win, take Tyler Bass Over 2.5 made extra points at -135. If you’re a big believer in the Over, you could put these two in a parlay of the same game.

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