Wednesday, August 4

Chip shortages hit factories in China and Japan as UK car orders lag – business live | Deal


Good morning and welcome to our continued coverage of the world economy, financial markets, the eurozone and business.

The global semiconductor shortage is hurting the growth of factories in Asia and is fueling delays in car deliveries in the UK.

Growth in From China Factories have fallen to a four-month low this month, new figures show, with supply shortages, supply chain problems and rising raw material costs weighing on manufacturers.

And in Japan, industrial production has recorded the largest monthly decline in a year, falling 5.9% in May compared to the previous month, affected by falls in the manufacture of automobiles and production machinery.

The fall was driven by a 19.4% drop in the production of motor vehicles, largely due to supply problems with semiconductor chips, said the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI).

A slowdown in Japan’s auto industry will have a significant impact on its economy, as Reuters notes:


The [5.9%] The contraction, which was the first drop in three months, was much weaker than a 2.4% drop predicted in a Reuters poll of economists. It followed a 2.9% gain in the prior month.

Manufacturers of intermediate goods, such as passenger car tires and electric lighting, are being hit by the decline in motor vehicle production.

Kazuhito Maeda 🇯🇵
(@ kazupito1)

Japan’s factory output fell 5.9% in May amid pandemic and chip shortages | The Japan Times https://t.co/6FoqsrVNdm


June 30, 2021

China’s official June Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), which tracks activity across the sector, fell to 50.9 from 51.0 in May, closer to the 50 point mark showing stagnation.

National Statistical Office of ChinaC senior statistician Zhao Qinghe It warned that production was affected by “a tight supply of chips, coal and power, as well as equipment maintenance,” adding that:


“Factors such as the shortage of chips have negatively affected the development of the (automobile) industry,”

The Covid-19 outbreaks at a key port in the main export province of Guangdong and in neighboring Shenzhen also caused disruptions.

The NBS also reported a slowdown in the growth of China’s service companies (the services PMI fell from 55.2 to 53.5)

MacroMarketsDaily Newsletter
(@macro_daily)

Growth is slowing down in China: the official manufacturing PMI fell to 50.9 in May, while the services PMI fell to 53.5. pic.twitter.com/hirAAfoouY


June 30, 2021

David Berthon-Jones
(@berthon_jones)

China PMI: Moderate data easing continues. Downside risks for commodity bulls. pic.twitter.com/sLyQdtyjAl


June 30, 2021

SCMP economy
(@scmpeconomia)

China’s official non-manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) fell to 53.5 in June from 55.2 in May, while the official manufacturing PMI fell to 50.9 in June from 51.0 in May #Porcelain #porcelain #PYMES #maker #manufacturers #services #economy https://t.co/j8Z9SItTTS pic.twitter.com/lfxNXWB5kj


June 30, 2021

Shane oliver
(@ShaneOliverAMP)

China’s trading conditions PMIs fell slightly in June with the composite PMI from -1.3 points to a still acceptable 52.9 mainly driven by a drop in services conditions.
Manufacturing price components also fell in June (producer prices -9.2pts to 51.4pts)
(Goldman Sachs chart) pic.twitter.com/PQR0RlIEIj


June 30, 2021

Businesses have been warning for months that semiconductor shortages were hurting growth, and today’s data highlights the problem.

Jeffrey Halley, Senior Market Analyst, Asia Pacific, OANDA, explains:


Stories of Chinese consumers saving rather than spending have been circulating for a while now, and it seems to be popping up in the data. Logistics and chips are making their presence felt in manufacturing.

Chips and ships will be a problem for the world as a whole for some time, and it could be that the initial spending frenzy to reopen the Northern Hemisphere has eased a bit.

Automakers are scrambling for semiconductors, competing with makers of electronics and electrical products, from televisions and cell phones to cars and game consoles.

Pendragon, the UK car dealer group, said this morning that supplies are likely to be affected in the second half of this year, with some orders already delayed.

Pendragon told the City that:


Uncertainty remains as we move into the second half of Fiscal Year 21 with potential additional Covid-19 disruptions, an expected realignment of used vehicle margins, and the risk of new and used vehicle supply restrictions.

While the extent of the impact of the widely publicized semiconductor chip shortage is still unclear, it is increasingly apparent that some supply constraints are likely during the second half of fiscal 21, and vehicle order times. they are already spreading. .

The agenda

  • 8.55am BST: German Unemployment for June
  • 10am BST: Eurozone inflation reading for June
  • Noon: Bank of England Chief Economist Andy Haldane’s speech at the Institute of Government on changes in central banking over the past 30 years.
  • 1.15pm BST: ADP US Employment Survey June
  • 3.30pm BST: Weekly IEA Oil Inventory Figures




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