Somehow, we have two training changes at the FBS level before we move on to the month of September. Randy Edsall of UConn retired. Initially, he planned to step aside at the end of the season, then quickly sped up that timeline. Clay Helton from USC was fired. The way you factor that into your betting process is for you and your budget to consider, but what future team performance influences the numbers is something else.
The Trojans were defeated by Stanford to signal the end of the Helton era, and the combination ranks them 18th in the country with a rating of 12.86 (or 12 points better than the average college football team). The computer doesn’t know what tumult is going on at Heritage Hall right now, but we’ll see what happens moving forward with Troy’s men, who still have roster talent to compete from here until the end of the season. .
UConn, on the other hand, is in a much worse situation. You may call my niche of interest, but the Huskies started the season with a -23.03 rating and have sunk like a stone to -30.3 in the span of three games. In a very nerdy way, it’s almost like a science experiment to see how low your rating can get. Sure, they can move things in a bit more positive direction by rallying around their interim coach to save face, or they can rush to something like -40 if they keep losing. Remember: Clemson (currently 10:16 PM) host the Huskies in November. We could be talking about a computer generated 60 point spread in the future. It’s things like this that catch your eye when you spend too much time playing with spreadsheets.
Last week: 18-26-1 41.11%
Season: 40-53-2 43.16%
Best compound bets
The process behind the selections is briefly explained. in my column from Week 1. Most of the time, the computer spits out something within a point or two of the actual line (and at that point, rough riding and whale games are what move the line anyway). But if the computer scores anything more than three points, it’s worth taking a second look.
-Boston College (-16) over Temple
-Texas A&M (-28.5) over New Mexico
-USC (-8) on Washington State
-SMU (-13) on Louisiana Tech
-Utah (-7.5) over the state of San Diego
-Stanford (-11) over Vanderbilt
-UConn (+34.5) about Army
-Buffalo (+13.5) on the Carolina coast
-Ball State (+7) over Wyoming
-Tennessee average (+13) over UTSA
-Auburn (+6) over Penn State
-Utah State (+8) over the Air Force
-Tulane (+14) on Ole Miss
The big dogs
-Ohio (+20) over Louisiana [Thursday]
-Western Michigan (+15) over Pitt
-Nebraska (+22) over Oklahoma
-Georgia Tech (+28) on Clemson
-Central Michigan (+19.5) over LSU
-Florida (+16.5) over Alabama
-Tulsa (+26.5) on the state of Ohio
-FIU (+21) on Texas Tech
-South Carolina (+31) over Georgia
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More betting coverage:
• NFL Player Props Betting – Thursday Night Football of Week 2
• NFL Betting Week 2 Preview – Starting Line Movement and Odds Tracking
• College Football Playoff Championship Futures Betting Breakdown and Odds
Eddie is an Australian news reporter with over 9 years in the industry and has published on Forbes and tech crunch.