On a perpetual plateau. Next Monday will be a month of the first restrictive measures that were adopted in the province of Alicante to try to lower the pandemic curve without these having achieved a substantial change and bending the contagion curve. So in Elche and Orihuela, the first localities in which measures were adopted on October 16, the incidence, although it has stabilized, still above 200 cases per 100,000 population. In Elche, specifically, it is 244 compared to 280 last Friday and in Orihuela 316 cases compared to 387 four days ago.
In Elda and Petrer, where the restrictions began on October 29, incidence continues to skyrocket, although also with a tendency to stabilization. In the case of Elda there are 786 cases per 100,000 inhabitants, compared to 881 on Friday and in Petrer it is 831, practically the same as four days ago. Where the pandemic is still out of control is in Pinoso, which yesterday registered 853 incidence, a hundred points more than on Friday.
The Minister of Health, Ana Barceló, maintains that it is still too early to see the results of the measures, since the last ones “started on Friday.” Barceló, in response to journalists at the press conference held yesterday to give an account of the data, maintains that in those localities where they were launched before, such as Orihuela or Elche, the pandemic “has not grown, so it means that are giving results. Meanwhile, the coronavirus has claimed the lives of 39 people in the Valencian Community, 15 of them in nursing homes. In the province there are 14 people who have lost their lives in the last hours, the highest figure recorded in a single day since April 9. There is also 713 more infections in the province.
Although it does not close the door to new restrictions, Barceló has warned that the most important thing is its compliance by citizens. “If there is no social conscience to apply the measures, it is difficult.” At this point in his speech, Barceló dropped the possibility of a new quarantine, something ruled out so far by Ximo Puig. “We don’t want to go back to confinement, but it’s up to us. You have to comply with the measures.
Experts agree that the arrival of cold may be a factor that increases the cases of covid, so they ask for more measures
For specialists, however, it is time to start thinking about new measures. «We are on a plateau and it is not good to keep it in time, especially when the cold arrives and the activities are transferred to the interior ”, warns Ildefonso Hernández, Professor of Public Health at the Miguel Hernández University. Hence, this specialist is committed to “give us at most one more week of margin to see if the measures that have been adopted later have their effect.” If not, Hernández is committed to adopting tougher restrictions so as not to saturate even more the already punished hospitals.
In addition to tightening the measures, the professor of Public Health is committed to reinforcing the Public Health staff, where a good part of the tracking is being done in the Community, “since although they are detecting more outbreaks than in other autonomous communities, at the moment they cannot do exhaustive contact studies due to lack of staff. ‘
Rafael Ortí, president of the Spanish Society of Preventive Medicine, also bets on tightening the restrictions, for whom “limit the capacity and almost nothing is the same.” “More drastic measures are necessary. The perimeter closure also does not work when the infections are occurring within the territory. The roadmap for this professional is clear: “close the hotel business, limit face-to-face activities where there are crowds and if they don’t give results, a 14-day confinement.”
As to reinforce tracking templatesOrtí believes that this measure is not enough at this time. “When transmission is already high, as in the Valencian Community, contact studies get out of control, we have to go directly to a mitigation phase because the trackers can no longer act on all cases.
The president of the Valencian Society of Family and Community Medicine, María Ángeles Medina, points out that there are many failures in the tracking work. “There are times when you call a close contact for the first time after the quarantine is over.” This professional advocates strengthening control measures to bend the curve “and also to increase staff because the tracking system is failing.” This professional also alerts that there are still people who go to work with positive or close contact for fear of losing their job. Also people who ignore quarantines “and as soon as the PCR is negative, they resume their lives without waiting the 10 days of rigor.”
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