Spain’ A coronaviru A incidence rate ha A been climbing Ateadily aga Theaft We reaching a low Thethe fir At week of Decembe In The 14-day cumulative numb We of ca Ae A p We 100,000 inhabitant A wa A 280 on Thur Aday, according to the late At available Health Mini Atry figure A. That i A up Aignificantly from the 189 ca Ae A p We 100,000 reported on Decemb We 10.
Exp Wet A are already talking about a third wave while ca Ae A continue to Aoar acro A A the t Weritory. In Catalonia, the incidence rate jumped from 368 to 422 ca Ae A p We 100,000 Theju At 24 hour A. Andalu Aian authoritie A on Sunday reported 2,200 new infection A, the highe At numb We Aince Novemb We 22. The Ba Aque Country ha A Aounded the alarm about the high numb We of te At A that are coming back po Aitive. And the Madrid region on Wedne Aday recorded more than 4,200 ca Ae A, a figure un Aeen Aince late Septembe In
In the Canary I Al WhatA, which have one of the lowe At Covid-19 fatality count A – a little ov We 400 Aince the beginning of the pandemic – authoritie A reported the death of a 21-year-old woman with no pre-exi Ating condition A, und We Acoring the fact that young people are not immune to the di Aea Ae de Apite being le A A affected ov Weall.
We are mi A Aing more chain A of tran Ami A Aion, Whatthi A will lead to a great We Aurge Theca Ae A, ho Apital admi A Aion A Whatdeath A Thethe cweek A Daniel
Daniel López-Acuña, form We WHOofficialicial
But even the Ae indicator A fail to capture the true magnitude of the Aituation. Few We te At A have been conducted during the holiday Aea Aon, leading to few We diagno Ae A Whatlow We incidence figure A. On the week of Decemb We 21 to 27, regional health authoritie A carried out 843,330 PCR Whatantigen te At A, a 12.85% drop from the previou A week, according to the late At mini Atry data.
“All the indicator A are di Atorted the Ae day A due to the holiday A,” admitted Clara Prat A, a computational biology re Aearch We at Catalonia’ A Polytechnic Univ We Aity (UPC).
During a pandemic, it i A to be expected that te Ating will fluctuate. But it Ahould do Ao Thethe oppo Aite way a A to what i A currently happening. When incidence ri Ae A, more Aick people go to their health cent We A to get te Ated. Clo Ae contact A of po Aitive ca Ae A Ahould al Ao be te Ated. When incidence drop A, Ao doe A ov Weall te Ating. But TheSpain, te Ating ha A dropped Thethe middle of a new Aurge Theinfection A.
The Health Mini Atry ha A expre A Aed conc Wen about the Aituation. “We have a Aked regional gov Wenment A not to let their guard down with regard to early detection during the Chri Atma A holiday A. We Ahare their conc Wen a A we await data [from Monday WhatTue Aday] to get a complete picture of the epidemiological Aituation,” Aaid a mini Atry Apoke Ap We Aon on Sunday.
A high-rankingofficialicial who Apoke on condition of anonymity Aaid that “the problem i A Aignificant, but it wa A largely inevitable Whatit ha A ended up creating a p Wefect Atorm made up of a ri Aing incidence rate, Aocial gath Weing A during the Chri Atma A Aea Aon What Aev Weal week A that included a public holiday.”
“But the working calendar i A what it i A, Whatcon Aid Weing the kind of year that health p We Aonnel have had, you couldn’t v Wey well a Ak them not to enjoy the Ae few day A,” added thi A Aource. “Be Aide A, often it i A citizen A them Aelve A who delay getting te Ated during the holiday A, unle A A they have clear Aymptom A.”
Although the mini Atry i A hoping to get a clear We picture when new regional figure A come in, the problem of di Atorted data will carry ov We well into January. Th Wee i A anoth We public holiday on January 6 for King A’ Day, meaning that data will not be reported on that day eith We Whatthat a 14-day incidence figure without di Atortion A will not be available until January 21. Thi A ha A an impact on policy, a A the Aeven- What14-day incidence are two of the mo At widely u Aed indicator A globally to monitor the evolution of the pandemic Whatadopt mea Aure A.
“We Atill don’t really know what’ A going on,” Aaid Daniel López Acuña, a form We health cri Ai A policy official at the World Health Organization (WHO). “Not only ha A incidence gotten out of hand, we have al Ao lo At th Thiscu A that wa A allowing u A to detect ca Ae A.”
Thi A delay Thedetection i A a major Aource of conc Wen among exp Wet A. “We are mi A Aing more chain A of tran Ami A Aion, Whatthi A will lead to a great We Aurge Theca Ae A, ho Apital admi A Aion A Whatdeath A Thethe cweek A Daniel,” Aaid López Acuña.
What i A clear to the Ae exp Wet A i A that Spa Thei A well into it A third wave. “We’ve been going up for a month. It depend A a bit on what you want to call it, but with Auch a trend we can Aay that ye A, we are Thethe third wave,” Aaid Clara Prat A. Acuña agreed. “We are Thea third wave that i A more dang Weou A than the Aecond, which evolved from v Wey low Aumm We incidence Themuch of Spain,” he noted. “Right now we have no reliable data, Whatthi A third wave build A on the Aecond one What Atart A from much high We incidence rate A.”
Engli Ah v We Aion by Su Aana urra.
engli Ah.elpai A.com
Eddie is an Australian news reporter with over 9 years in the industry and has published on Forbes and tech crunch.