Tuesday, December 7

Cowboys vs Buccaneers Odds, Prediction, Betting Trends for Thursday Night NFL Week 1 opener

The Buccaneers will open their Super Bowl 55 title defense against the Cowboys, a team that has passed 25 years since winning its last NFL championship ring. When Tampa Bay hosts the traditional Thursday night (8:20 pm ET NBC) opener against Dallas, the quarterbacks brighten the marquee (as usual) when Tom Brady faces Dak Prescott.

While Brady is coming off offseason knee surgery, Prescott hopes to be fully healed from the terrifying ankle injury that interrupted his 2020 season and a shoulder problem that appeared in 2021 training camp. The Bucs, who shut down Patrick Mahomes in their last game, will try to pick up where they left off against Prescott and an explosive overall offense from the Cowboys.

Brady will try to do the job against a rebuilding defense with many weapons, led by wide receivers Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and Antonio Brown. Prescott fights back with CeeDee Lamb, Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup, along with his backfield partner Ezekiel Elliott.

Will the Bucs make an advance statement while they wait to repeat? Or will the Cowboys come up with a confidence swap surprise with Prescott this season? Here’s the breakdown of the bets:

NFL WEEK 1 OPTIONS: Against the Spread | Direct predictions

Cowboys vs. Buccaneers odds for Thursday night

  • Spread: Buccaneers by 8.5
  • Below: 51.5
  • Moneyine: Cowboys +310, Buccaneers -390

The Buccaneers have held firm as touchdown plus favorites as they get back their starting lineup (and something else) in contact. For the Cowboys, there have been some concerns about Prescott getting into a hostile environment and a defense that might not confuse Brady much.

Cowboys vs Buccaneers all-time series

This will be the twentieth meeting between the teams. The Cowboys have dominated the previous 19 games, going 15-4. They have won seven of the last eight meetings since 2006. But the Buccaneers haven’t been that dominant in a while when they face Dallas. In the past two games, in 2016 and 2018, the Cowboys have won one-possession contests by similar scores of 27-20 and 26-20.

Three trends to know

—66 percent of bettors are on the Cowboys side to keep the game within a touchdown and cover the spread.

—Only 51 percent of bettors are confident the game will exceed the highest point total, given the potential of the Bucs’ defense.

—The Buccaneers finished 9-7 against the spread last season. The Cowboys only had 5-11 ATS during a 2020 mostly without Prescott.

Three things to look at

The Buccaneers’ ground defense against Ezekiel Elliott

Whatever metric you use, Bucs are nasty at opposing quick attacks. They’ve had the No. 1 career defense in back-to-back seasons, allowing 1,289 rushing yards, the league-low, at 3.6 yards a carry in 2020. That strong front-seven is intact, which could spell a tough sled for Elliott, especially. without the staunch right guard Zack. Martin (COVID-19 list).

Elliott appears to be in great shape after his least efficient season, in which he averaged just 4.0 yards per carry. Prescott opening things up in the passing game will help, but don’t expect Elliott to help Dallas win through ball control.

The Cowboys pass defense against Tom Brady

Dallas finished with the No. 11 passing defense in 2020. That’s misleading, because the Cowboys were so bad against the run – No. 31 in yards allowed per game, No. 30 in yards allowed per carry – that opponents didn’t need. . throwing a ton to beat them, especially when Prescott wasn’t there to duel his quarterbacks. The Cowboys are stronger as linebackers with first-round rookie Micah Parsons and a healthy Leighton Vander Esch, but despite some passing career promises, they are suspects in the secondary away from young cornerback Trevon Diggs.

Brady will smash the back end by getting rid of the ball quickly and the Cowboys will face coverage mismatches created by the Bucs by alternating between 11 staff members (with wide receivers Evans, Godwin and Brown) and 12 staff members (with wings. closed Rob Gronkowski and OJ Howard).

Statistics that matter


That’s Brady’s combined passer rating in his first four previous seasons, all with the Patriots. He was 3-1 in those games, averaging 299 passing yards with 9 TDs to just one INT. He lost the last kickoff in New England in 2017, a surprising 42-27 loss to Kansas City, of all teams. Brady will be motivated to make sure there are no surprises or hints of a Super Bowl hangover for the Bucs.

Cowboys vs Buccaneers prediction

The Buccaneers will control the game with Brady out of the gate with the offense looking strong and causing trouble everywhere for the Cowboys. Look to the Bucs to build a good halftime lead and remain relentless with passes and runs, so there’s little chance that Dak will finish the comeback with limited help from Elliott. Tampa Bay wants the party to continue as the strong favorite to win the NFC again. That means sending an intimidating early message to the rest of the NFL.

Buccaneers 34, Cowboys 24


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