Sunday, October 24

Crisp and veering toward the economy


The new political course began on September 2 with a meeting in Moncloa between Pablo Casado Y Pedro SancheWith which again showed that one and the other were still separated and that the half-year of the pandemic had not made a dent in their respective road maps. The head of the Executive refused to allow the PP to participate in the operation of designing how to distribute the millionaires European funds to alleviate the damage of the pandemic despite the fact that this money will arrive from this year and until 2026. Casado, for his part, stated that he would not renew the constitutional bodies that were expired (General Council of the Judiciary, Constitutional Court, Ombudsman and RTVE, among others) while Pablo Iglesias was in the Government. That was a condition that had to change in April, when, surprise !, the former vice president and leader of Podemos left the Executive to stand in the Madrid elections. The PP has changed its excuse several times since then. Now he argues that he will not renew the institutions, and especially the CGPJ, until “the judges elect the judges ”. And the rotundity of the conservative leader also relaxed when it came to the public media. The only collaboration of the Government and the PP this course has been to renew the leadership of RTVE (in February, when Iglesias was still in the Executive).

The effects of the pandemic have not managed to cushion the clashes between the Government and the opposition


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The confrontation also found its way into the autonomous communities, responsible for the restriction measures when the state of alarm (lasted from October to May). Those governed by the PP accused the Executive of neglecting responsibilities for transferring to the territories the measures to stop contagion despite the fact that, in the periods in which the exceptionality of the alarm was applied, they criticized the central government for the “impositions”And the lack of dialogue.

May, phase shift

After the failure of the motion of censure promoted by Ciudadanos and the PSOE in Murcia and the defeat of Ángel Gabilondo in the Madrid elections, Sánchez reacted to stop the rise of the PP in the polls: he decided to finish the processing of pardons (culminated on June 22) and renewed the Government (July 10). The announced grace measure for the pro-independence leaders, a high-risk operation for Moncloa, unleashed a campaign against the right-wing, who again demonstrated together in Colón on June 13. However, the response from Spanish society was not what they expected and the main opposition party, the PP, has already turned that page after seeing its signature campaign fail.

A few days later, Sánchez changed the composition of the Council of Ministers and removed from the Cabinet some of the members who had precisely been burned the most by the pardons: former First Vice President Carmen Calvo, the former minister and former secretary general of the PSOE José Luis Open them up and former Justice Juan Carlos Field.

The departure of Iglesias from the Executive has generated a new dynamic in which Belarra and Díaz share the roles to disagree with the PSOE


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The president raised the economic vice president as his number two, Nadia Calvin, a signal for Brussels and also for the interior: once the pardons have been overcome, Catalonia continues to matter, but less. Now, the economy, with data that indicate a remarkable rate of recovery after the serious fall caused by the pandemic, takes on all the importance. In fact, according to PP sources, Casado sees it necessary to strengthen his economic team and will do so in the face of the national convention that will be held in October.

The gaze is already set on the end of the legislature and the municipal and regional elections of 2023. The general elections have no date, but Sánchez has hinted that he will call them at the end of that year. For now the signals that he has sent is that he wants let go of the weight of the Catalan theme and open the focus to all of Spain

The monarchy and the OPA

The other weight, that of United We Can, has lightened somewhat with the Executive Churches departure. Although it is an unknown when socialists and purple ones will decide that they must continue walking the road until those generals let go of the hand. In recent weeks, the Second Vice President and Minister of Labor, Yolanda Diaz, and the minister of the 2030 Agenda, Ione Belarra, the papers have been distributed to show their dissent with the PSOE. Díaz, faithful to his spirit and because of his responsibility to reach agreements with social agents, remains in a discreet background and it is Belarra who comes out to protest the situation of King Juan Carlos, the agreement to expand the El Prat airport or the green light for the OPA on Naturgy (although the latter issue has been approved in a Council of Ministers and after six months in which the Government has been guessing the decision and the purple ones have been silent).

ERC and Junts have played different roles until the pardons and now they will decide how they want to approach the Budgets


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The partners who allowed the investiture of Sánchez and have supported him with pardons are waiting to position themselves for the negotiation of the State’s general budgets 2022. In the leadership of the PSOE parliamentary group, they believe that Junts will want to play a proactive role after remaining distant from the pardons. Those of Jordi Sànchez have wanted to mark distances with ERC and detract from the new stage opened between the Generalitat de Pere Aragonese and Moncloa and that will be completely staged in September with the meeting of the dialogue table.


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