Monday, March 27

Donald Trump assures that he will run for the 2024 elections


The only thing that remains to be defined is whether he does it before or after the legislative or mid-term elections on November 8.

Former President Donald Trump.AP
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Former President of the United States donald trump has decided to re-launch the race for the White House. The only thing that remains to be defined is whether he does so before or after the legislative or mid-term elections on November 8, in which the entire House of Representatives and a third of the Senate are renewed.

This is what Trump has declared to the magazine ‘New York’. “I have already made the decision, so there is nothing else to consider,” he tells the interviewer, Olivia Nuzzi. “I would say that the big decision is whether I do it sooner or later. Do you understand what that means? Mid-term elections,” says Trump, true to his style of telling things to always keep the suspense until the last second.

Trump’s re-entry into active politics is no surprise. In recent months, the former president has multiplied his public events, has raised hundreds of millions of dollars in donations, and has tried, with varying success, to convert Republican legislative candidates to his supporters. Last week it was rumored that Trump would announce his candidacy immediately, although that did not happen.

If he does it before the November elections, he will hit his own party, the Republican. With Trump campaigning, Republican candidates on November 8 will have to declare whether or not they support the fraud conspiracy theory in the 2020 elections. That is an issue that creates a huge division between public opinion and that, although it mobilizes Republican voters, scares the undecided, who are concerned about things like the unstoppable rise in inflation or the debate about of the ‘woke’ ideology in schools. Republican leaders don’t want to talk more about 2020, and less about the assault on Capitol Hill by Trump supporters. But if the former president goes on the campaign trail, that will be inevitable. And, almost certainly, drive away part of the center vote that this party needs to regain control of the Legislative.

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But Trump also knows that moving soon hits his biggest rival for the White House within the Republican Party: Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. Despite the fact that the two have practically the same ideology, their rivalry is total and absolute, and DeSantis’s popularity among the Republican bases, which are the ones that will decide the party’s primaries, is growing. If Trump is the first to act, he will have seized the initiative, forcing DeSantis to have to justify why he is running against a man who to the party’s rank and file is a peerless figure.

President Joe Biden insists he will run in 2024, and has declared that he would like a new fight against Donald Trump in those elections. The truth is that a campaign between Trump and Biden would be somewhat surreal, since These are the two presidents with the highest popular rejection record in US history.. Trump would be an easier candidate to beat than DeSantos, since he arouses enormous rejection among Democrats and part of the independents, which would help consolidate the vote for Biden.

On the contrary, DeSantis, although ideologically similar to Trump, is unknown to public opinion and, in addition, has the factor of being a new face, something that in the US always works in favor of the candidates. Another thing is that Biden is the Democratic candidate, which remains to be seen. The governors of California and Illinois, Gavin Newsom and JB Pritzker, and the secretaries of Transportation and Commerce, Pete Buttigieg and Gina Raimondo, have sounded like possible Democratic candidates.

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