The group stage of Euro 2021 is now on the books, and with more than half of the tournament matches played, we now have a very good idea which teams are performing at the championship level. That means good news for bettors looking to take advantage of quality odds before the round of 16.
However, as we move towards the knockout stages, things can get a bit tough too. Even the best sides have no margin for error. If a team has a bad day, it can spell the end of their European Championship career.
Additionally, one side of the bracket is significantly more difficult than the other, pitting many of the tournament favorites against each other. In fact, our five recommended picks before the tournament landed on the same side of the bracket and four landed in the same quadrant.
As such, that section will be extraordinarily difficult for bettors to handicap, while the weaker side of the group will create opportunities to bet on quality sleepers.
Which teams can you trust as the 2021 euros advance to the knockout stages? Here’s a look at the updated tournament odds and the best bets to make as we get closer to crowning a champion.
MORE: Euro 2021 round of 16 matches, schedule, TV schedules
Euro 2021 odds
Fees courtesy of DraftKings
France (+420) he is still the favorite to win the Eurocup. The reigning champions of the 2018 World Cup managed to survive the proverbial “Group of Death” with a win over Germany and draws against Portugal and an upstart team from Hungary. The French did not score in the first two games, but perhaps Karim Benzema is on a roll after scoring two goals against Portugal.
Italy (+600) has made a significant leap in the rankings since the start of the tournament. The Italians are in good shape and their odds have dropped from 8-1 to 6-1 after sweeping in Group A. They have outperformed their competition 7-0 in the Euro so far and haven’t allowed a goal in their last 10. games.
Rounding out the top contenders are England (+650), Germany (+700), Spain (+700) Y Holland (+900). Meanwhile, Belgium (+1000) Y Portugal (+1400) they have seen their odds increase before the clash between the two teams in the round of 16.
Austria (+15000) has the longest remaining odds in the tournament. They would have to go through Italy and the winner of the game Belgium vs. Portugal to reach the semifinals. There, they would wait for a possible appointment with France.
|Team||Odds of Winning|
Euro 2021 Expert Picks
Best bets to win Euro 2021
France (+420). There are no surprises here. Les Bleus are still one of the best options to win the European Championship. Their form in the Group of Death was not very good, but they still managed to escape with five points and win the group. Now his way to the final is a little easier, at least to start the knockout stages.
France is on the more difficult side of the group, but their quadrant is the easier of the two. The French will face Switzerland from the start and then they will face the winner of the game Croatia vs. Spain. Neither team was particularly impressive, so France should have a good chance of reaching the semi-finals.
From there, France will have to beat Belgium, Portugal, Italy or Austria, but the French have the winning pedigree and the depth to do it.
France’s odds have barely budged since the start of the tournament, and with good reason. They are a solid squad with few holes. If Benzema can stay warm while Kylian Mbappé and Antoine Griezmann can get going, Les Bleus should have a good chance of reaching the final of the tournament. And at the very least, they should stay alive until the semi-finals.
Germany (+700). Joachim Low’s side was extremely lucky to get through the Group of Death. The Germans nearly lost to Hungary and faced elimination, but instead managed to escape in second place.
His reward for finishing second was getting to the easier side of the bracket. Their round of 16 match against England won’t be a piece of cake, but there aren’t many true contenders on that side. In truth, the winner of the Germany vs. England should reach the final based on the market value of their team.
Germany did not perform consistently in Group F play, but the team crushed Portugal 4-2 and kept more of the ball in the 1-0 loss to France. Relying on the Germans to perform as they did against Portugal is a risk, but at 7-1 odds, it’s worth taking. It’s Low’s last tournament in charge and players should be motivated to play well for their lifelong coach.
If you are a little less daring, choose Germany for a final between the first two (+300) or a top four final (+160) they are also solid bets.
The best choice of dark horse to win
Denmark (+2000). No team is more motivated to win Euro 2021 than Denmark. Christian Eriksen’s collapse on the field surprised the Danish team, but the incident and Eriksen’s survival have motivated the team to win in his honor.
The team made it to the round of 16 despite losing to Finland and Belgium in their first two group stage matches. Now the Danes will have a chance to make a solid run in the tournament as they landed on the weaker side of the draw.
To reach the final, Denmark will face stiff competition and could face the Netherlands and England or Germany. And they won’t play in Copenhagen like they did in their three group stage matches.
Denmark is not likely to win, but at 20-1 odds, they are a worthwhile underdog selection. And as with Germany, if you want a higher probability bet, you can take Denmark to finish in the top two (+500) or finish in the top four (+160) at the tournament.
MORE: All the milestones set by Cristiano Ronaldo in the Euros
Don’t believe the hype
Italy (+600). Look, this Italian squad is very good. They have not lost in 30 games and have shut out their last 10 opponents.
But all winning streaks end at some point, and Italy faces a particularly brutal group in the round of 16. Their first game against Austria may not seem too difficult, but the Austrians have countless Bundesliga players in their squad and they could prove to be a more difficult test. than expected.
Then after that, Italy will face the winner of Belgium vs. Portugal, which will be a very tough test for the Azzurri, and they will likely have a date with France if they advance to the semi-finals.
Can Italy beat these three teams? If they play like they did against Group A competition, then yes, but it’s worth noting that Group A’s Italian counterparts from Wales, Switzerland and Turkey weren’t exactly the best in the world. And they didn’t test 22-year-old Italian goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma much.
So can Italy win this tournament? Sure they can. But should you bet on them at 6-1 odds to do so? Probably not given his tie.
Round of 16 annoying special
Czech Republic (+220) to advance over the Netherlands. The Netherlands have yet to lose in the Euro, winning all three of their Group C matches by a combined score of 8-2. They are also on the weaker side of the group, so some may believe that they can reach the final if all goes well.
Surely, if Memphis Depay continues to play well, the team will have a chance to do so. However, under coach Frank de Boer, the Netherlands have simply not performed consistently and have been prone to squandering an advantage of late. They came close to doing so in their opening game against Ukraine before a Denzel Dumfries goal in the 85th minute saved them from a shocking draw.
The Czech Republic may not look like a tough draw on paper, but the Czechs beat Scotland, tied Croatia and held England back with a one-goal win. If they can prevent the Dutch from scoring early, the Czech Republic may have a chance to win one later or take the game into extra time. So why not take a chance with them on a special stage?
Round of 16 game to avoid
Belgium vs. Portugal. This game should be exciting to watch, but it won’t be fun to gamble. These two teams are very talented. Belgium has a lot of depth to its “Golden Generation”. Meanwhile, Portugal has Cristiano Ronaldo, one of the best players of his generation, and a solid group around him.
You could argue in favor of either side winning. Currently, bettors favor Belgium moving forward, but it is not much. So betting on any team in this game is not attractive.
There are reasons to bet on Belgium to win Euro 2021 with odds of 10-1 or to go with Portugal at 14-1, as each team’s odds have lengthened since the beginning of the tournament. However, neither of them are guaranteed a victory in the round of 16, and even if they win, they will probably have to face Italy and France in each of the next two matches.
There is simply too much uncertainty with Belgium and Portugal to make a safe bet. It is better to take risks in games like France against Switzerland, Germany against England or the Czech Republic against the Netherlands.
Allow yourself to enjoy the marquee showdown of the round of 16.
Eddie is an Australian news reporter with over 9 years in the industry and has published on Forbes and tech crunch.