Floyd Mayweather will face YouTube sensation Logan Paul in a special eight-round exhibition fight on June 6 in Miami. It’s a complete mismatch on paper, as the undefeated five-division world champion has beaten a slew of present and future hall of famers, while Logan Paul lost his only professional boxing match against a fellow YouTuber.
But that doesn’t mean there isn’t a way to make money betting on the fight. It has some special rules, but that shouldn’t deter anyone from finding an opportunity. Mayweather never shows up to do anything less than entertain and Paul is only here because he just can’t pass up the opportunity to step into the ring with one of the greatest boxers of all time.
Let’s take a look at the betting lines and see where the opportunities are to win some money.
All betting odds are courtesy of William Hill.
MORE: What’s the money on the Mayweather vs. Paul fight?
Floyd Mayweather vs. Logan Paul odds
- Floyd Mayweather: -909
- Logan Paul: +550
- Draw: +1200
These odds are absolutely obscene. In no universe should Logan Paul have a better chance of beating Mayweather than Andre Berto. Mayweather was a big -3000 favorite against Berto and is only -909 against Paul. Why? Who knows. But unless you have a lot of money to bet (it will take $ 909 to win $ 100 if you bet on Mayweather), stay away from this line of bets. As tempted as you are to bet on Paul, don’t. That is not worth it.
Mayweather vs Paul prop bets
- Mayweather by (T) KO: -227
- Paul by (T) KO: +800
- Mayweather wins in round 1: +500
- Mayweather wins in round 2: +500
- Mayweather wins in round 3: +800
- Mayweather wins in round 4: +900
- Mayweather win in round 5: +1200
- Mayweather wins in round 6: +1400
- Mayweather wins in round 7: +1400
- Mayweather wins round 8: +1600
- Paul wins round 1: +4000
- Paul wins round 2: +4000
- Paul wins round 3: +4000
- Paul wins round 4: +4000
- Paul wins round 5: +5000
- Paul wins round 6: +5000
- Paul wins round 7: +6600
- Paul wins round 8: +6600
This is where you will find the most bets for your money. But you will have to be quite particular when selecting in which round Mayweather decides to end the fight. It’s really up to him to determine when he’s finished playing and put an end to the YouTuber disguised as a boxer.
First things first: eliminate any chance of betting on Logan Paul. As tempting as these odds seem, there is no chance that you will defeat an undefeated fighter who has faced a plethora of champions throughout his career.
The most plausible betting line is Mayweather by (T) KO at -227, which means you would have to bet $ 227 for a $ 100 profit if Mayweather ends the fight by knockout. But if that’s too expensive for your tastes, considering you’d have to stake a considerable amount to see a decent return, chances are good that you will bet on Mayweather to finish the fight early. Unlike his fight with Conor McGregor, where it seemed like Mayweather wanted to carry McGregor long enough to attract interest in a rematch, there is no reason for Mayweather to drag this fight into later rounds. For one thing, Paul is bigger and there is always the risk that Paul will try to hurt Mayweather in other ways. Second, there is absolutely no reason for Mayweather to make Paul look good. Anything longer than a couple of rounds will make the undefeated champion look like he has lost a step.
Consider what Mayweather did to Tenshin Nasukawa in December 2018 in his only other exhibition. Mayweather wasted little time on his kickboxing opponent and hit him within one round. With possible eyes on a showdown with Logan’s younger brother Jake, Mayweather will likely make an example of his June 6 opponent. Not to mention, Jake Paul, by stealing Mayweather’s hat at the press conference, likely enraged the 44-year-old for a stellar show of punishment.
Floyd Mayweather vs. Logan Paul prediction
Expect Mayweather to finish Paul in three rounds. With rounds one and two at +500 and round three at +800, the spread of the bet between those rounds should probably yield a healthy profit. A bet of $ 100 in the first or second round will bring a profit of $ 500, while the same bet in the third round will bring in $ 800.
Selection of sports news: Mayweather by (T) KO in the first, second or third round.
Eddie is an Australian news reporter with over 9 years in the industry and has published on Forbes and tech crunch.