Monday, April 19

Gonzaga vs. Baylor Odds, Picks & Predictions for 2021 NCAA National Championship

No. 1 Gonzaga will face No. 1 Baylor in the 2021 NCAA men’s basketball national championship game on Monday.

Tipoff is scheduled for 9:20 p.m. ET at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. The game will be televised on CBS.

MOST MADNESS OF MARCH: Live results | Updated support | Television schedule

Gonzaga (31-0) won the West Region with coach Mark Few and advanced to the championship game with a thrilling 93-90 overtime victory over No. 11 UCLA on Saturday. Jalen Suggs’ 3-pointer was the highlight, and the Bulldogs hope to carry that momentum into the championship game. Suggs, Drew Timme and Corey Kispert are All-America playmakers trying to crown that perfect season.

Baylor (27-2) won the South Region with coach Scott Drew and advanced to the championship game with a 78-59 victory over No. 2 Houston in the Final Four. The Bears are in the national championship game for the first time since 1948. Baylor’s shooting trio of Jared Butler, MaCio Teague and Davion Mitchell hit double figures against the Cougars.

Here’s everything you need to know about Gonzaga vs.

Gonzaga vs. Baylor odds

  • Spread: Gonzaga -5
  • Below: 160
  • Money line: Gonzaga -245, Baylor +188

MOST MADNESS OF MARCH: Live results | Updated support | Television schedule

Three betting trends to follow

– The Bulldogs have been the favorites in every game and are 16-13-2 ATS this season. Gonzaga is 5-1 ATS against the top 25 opponents and 4-1 ATS in this year’s tournament.

– Baylor is 19-10 ATS this season, but this is his first game as an underdog. Baylor is 4-1 ATS in this year’s tournament.

– Baylor is 10-3 ATS and 13-0 S / U in non-conference games. Gonzaga is 9-5 ATS and 14-0 S / U in non-conference games.

Final Four history

Gonzaga is in his second national championship game; the first was a 71-65 loss to North Carolina on April 3, 2017. The Bulldogs may become the first Division I men’s basketball team undefeated since Indiana finished 32-0 in the 1975-76 season. Baylor will play in his second title game. The Bears lost to Kentucky 58-42 in the 1948 men’s national championship.

Gonzaga’s key players

Timme (19.0 ppg) has been a force throughout the tournament. He scored 25 points in the semifinal against UCLA. Kispert (18.9 points per game) and Suggs (14.0 points per game) form a dynamic backcourt. Joel Ayayi (11.8 points per game) and Andrew Nembhard (9.1 points per game) also reached double figures against the Bruins. Bulldogs don’t have a deep bench.

Baylor key players

Baylor uses an eight-man rotation, but it all starts with guards Butler (16.5 ppg), Teague (15.9 ppg) and Mitchell (14.0 ppg). They combined to average about 12 assists per game, and they combined for 40 points in the win against Houston. Baylor’s supporting cast includes Adam Flagler (9.0 ppg), Matthew Mayer (8.2 ppg), Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua (6.3 ppg), Mark Vital (5.7 ppg) and Flo Thamba (3.6 ppg).

Best Singles Match: Jalen Suggs vs. Davion Mitchell

There are popcorn GIFs for this kind of thing. Mitchell is Naismith’s Defensive Player of the Year, and the 6-2, 205-pound point guard is a wide body that is disruptive on the perimeter. Suggs, a 6-4, 205-pound guard, is one of the best, if not the best, players in the country off the drive, and has shot better than 50 percent from the court this season. The Bears have improved their defense in the last three games of the tournament, allowing just 60.7 points per game. Mitchell has been at the center of that.

Gonzaga vs. Baylor Stats to Know

UCLA pushed Gonzaga to the limit by shooting 57.6 percent from the ground. That was the highest percentage of field goals against the Bulldogs this season. Will the other two teams shoot 50 percent or more? Kansas (53.2 percent) and Oklahoma (50 percent). Gonzaga won both games, but those 12 great schools were successful on the offensive side. Baylor can have that success, and he can win with his defense, too.

Get to know it. . . Mayer and Tchamwa Tchatchoua

The two combined for 23 points and 10 rebounds against Houston in the Final Four, and both played more than 20 minutes. They are high-energy players who will be valuable on defense since Gonzaga can pick up the pace for 40 minutes. Tchamwa Tchatchoua, a 6-8 striker from Cameroon, will likely see valuable minutes against Timme. Mayer has averaged 4.4 rebounds and 1.6 steals per game in the tournament. They will have to contribute so that the Bears take the surprise.

Gonzaga vs Baylor prediction

Gonzaga was supposed to win in a blowout and Baylor in a tight one in the Final Four. Those roles were reversed. Still, the Bulldogs did what UNLV and Kentucky failed to do in 1991 and 2015, respectively: make it to the championship game.

The Bears can score with the Bulldogs, which should lead to a furious first half and a small Gonzaga lead in the intermission. Baylor has defended the 3-point ball well throughout the tournament, but the common thread in his two losses this season (Kansas, Oklahoma State) was a night of shooting. If the Bears are out, Gonzaga will win in a blowout.

Mitchell will tie Suggs down, but Kispert and Timme will get the offense going in the second half. The Bulldogs take Baylor’s late charge with free throws, seal the perfect season, and win a national championship worth waiting for.

Final score: Gonzaga 85, Baylor 81

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