Oriol Junqueras’ nationalists have another option, to bring together all Catalan nationalists, that is: Junts per Cat, CUP, and also the “podemitas.” Only the three nationalist parties would already have an absolute, comfortable majority. The presence of the “podemitas” is an intention expressed by Aragonés, knowing, as you know, that they have declared themselves incompatible with the deputies of Puigdemont (Junts). In addition, he has suffered from the limitations of the coalition government with the Junts. More in the last months of government.
The CIS in the macro survey of January 21 did not see the rise that Junts were going to experience, nor did Vox; the Junts nationalists held out well, but have not won. The rupture of the coalition with PDeCat and the subsequent candidacy of former councilwoman Angels Chacón, has subtracted some votes that would have meant the victory of Junts. The most radical messages about the monarchy, “democratic quality”, etc. that Pablo Iglesias launched defining the identity of the “podemitas” in the face of the socialist option, did not sit well with his own, and less so in the PSC (Partit Socialistes de Catalunya), Yes, they have worked for him: as a friend of mine says, it was about “marking the package” in the campaign, and the result has been that En Comú Podem has endured.
The radicalized campaign of the right has benefited Vox. The options for the Government of Catalonia remain: the three left, or two left in coalition, with parliamentary support from the PSC; or, an exclusive government of nationalists.
Esquerra can propose an exclusive government of nationalists that would maintain the tension in Catalonia between Catalan nationalists and non-nationalists. Create a Catalan left-wing government -including even the CUP- that would lead the debate on the work of the government to left / right approaches. The problem of a nationalist government is well known to Aragonese. It is the coalition that has existed in recent years and that has been unable to manage the problems of Catalonia and have enough weight before the Government of Spain to resolve the Catalan demands: negotiating table, greater financing, reform of the Statute, etc. The first option would be to follow the Basque model, or PNV, coalition government and parliamentary external support of the PSC. The PSOE supports the regional parliaments and, in return, receives the votes it lacks in the Cortes Generales. The approach would lead to stable governments for at least two years, which is the time when elections are not scheduled. This period would allow, on the one hand, to politically resolve the situation in Catalonia; and, on the other hand, it is long enough for the three rights to define its identity: liberal-hinge, conservatives, and ultras. They could occupy their respective spaces and thus limit the growth of Vox. Even trying to solve your financial legal problems.
The key will be given to us by the constitutive session of the Parliament that, according to the Regulation (art. 36 et seq.), in the first session the Bureau must be elected. In three votes: one for the president, one for the two vice-presidents, and one for the four secretaries. Their presence must be “in proportion to the representation of each parliamentary group” (article 59.4 Statute). The first vote for the presidency of the Parliament is fundamental, because it proposes the candidate for the presidency of the Generalitat. If neither candidate obtains an absolute majority, the two most voted go to a second ballot. The simple majority is valid there. Esquerra Republicana will not leave the Presidency of the Parliament in the hands of the PSC, and less of Puigdemont; therefore, it is foreseeable that Roger Torrent will be re-elected. For Junts it is a monumental slight, although he will swallow. In the vote of two vice-presidents and four secretaries, it could be that the agreements for the Table left Vox out, although the most voted parties have been ERC, PSC, Junts, Vox, CUP, and En Comú. Making puñetas and filigrees is Spanish craftsmanship.
Eddie is an Australian news reporter with over 9 years in the industry and has published on Forbes and tech crunch.