Let’s be honest: it’s still hard to know exactly what Oregon state beavers are doing here, still alive in the 2021 NCAA Sweet 16 Tournament.
Due to a casual comment from Bill Walton during a February Pac-12 broadcast, there is a revisionist element that suggests that everyone should have known all along that the Beavers were good enough to do this.
Well that’s beautiful and all, but Oregon State began its season by losing three of its first five games, including losses to Wyoming and Portland, was 10-10 in the Pac-12 Conference and closed the regular season with a 13-point loss. to Oregon that ended a seven-game losing streak in the last 13 games.
Yes, of course, who did not see this coming?
Loyola is easier to understand. It was difficult to gauge how good the Ramblers were due to limited hours outside of conference. Before visiting Drake for a two-game series in mid-February, Loyola didn’t own a single win over a NET Top-100 opponent. After the Ramblers took two of three from the Bulldogs, including the Missouri Valley Conference championship, it was clear they belonged.
The upside for the Ramblers now is that they’ve been so far apart recently that two starters appeared on Sweet 16 as freshmen. Oregon State is making its second NCAA appearance since 1990 and its first trip to the regional semifinals since 1982.
Here’s everything you need to know about betting on Loyola Chicago against Oregon State in the 2021 NCAA Tournament, including updated odds, trends, and our prediction for the Sweet 16 game.
MOST MADNESS OF MARCH: Live results | Updated support | Television schedule
Loyola Chicago vs. Oregon State Odds
- Spread: Loyola for 7
- Below: 126
- Money line: Loyola -295, Oregon State +240
Three betting trends to follow
– Loyola has won every single elimination game in March ATS, including both at the NCAA Tournament.
– The Ramblers are 18-7-1 ATS for the season. They were the favorites in all but two of those games.
– Oregon State was an underdog in 13 of its 14 previous games. Like the losers in that stretch, the Beavers were 11-2 ATS.
Loyola Chicago Key Players
Center Cameron Krutwig has become one of the most accomplished players in the modern Missouri Valley Conference, perhaps behind only Creighton’s Doug McDermott and Kyle Korver and Wichita State’s Fred VanVleet. Krutwig is averaging 15 points, 6.9 rebounds and 3 assists and produced 19 rebounds and 12 assists in a battle with Illinois All-American Kofi Cockburn in the NCAA second round. Guard Braden Norris leads the team in 3-point field goals and converts 41 percent.
Key Players of the State of Oregon
Ethan Thompson is the second son of former Syracuse star Stephen Thompson to play for the Beavers. He averaged 15.6 points and 3.8 assists in his senior season and eliminated Oklahoma State from the tournament with a 26-point performance in his second-round game. He’s a versatile 6-5 winger who excels at attacking the basket and fouling, but he’s not an exceptional 3-point shooter. Ramón Silva, a 7-1 center, is not a prolific scorer, but he does provide a presence on the line when needed.
Best Singles Match: Krutwig vs. Silva
Silva is not a full-time player, he only has 16 minutes per game, but he is part of the Beavers’ starting lineup, and if he feels comfortable defending Krutwig it will say a lot about Oregon State’s approach. Silva was able to go 31 minutes against Oklahoma State even though the Cowboys are a smaller and extremely mobile team. Krutwig is a challenge to defend because he is a threat as a passer and scorer in both the high and low post and because he understands the best way to impact each game.
Loyola vs. Oregon State Stats to Know
Loyola now ranks as the number one defense in college basketball according to KenPom.com, with an adjusted efficiency ratio of 86.2 points allowed per 100 possessions. Neither of the Ramblers’ two NCAA Tournament opponents to date surpassed 60 points.
Get to know … Lucas Williamson
Krutwig has become a well-known player for those who follow this sport. Williamson, however, is the usual left-hander for the other Ramblers on the 2018 Final Four team. Back then, he played 20 minutes per game and averaged 4.7 points. He has been a starter since that year and is considered an outstanding defender, averaging 1.4 steals to lead Loyola’s squad.
Loyola Chicago vs Oregon State Prediction
It’s hard to escape the idea that Loyola has finished off better offenses than the Beavers, even as recently as last weekend. The Illinois offense that the Ramblers held at .88 points per possession ranked ninth in the country and featured two All-Americans. Illini’s point guard Ayo Dosunmu found no room to attack and had little impact on the game. Loyola is excellent at controlling the pace of games due to the precision of his attack. The game may not be as ugly as one would expect from two teams that are among the slowest-paced squads in Division I, and it will be less so for the Ramblers.
Final score: Loyola Chicago 68, State of Oregon 63.
Eddie is an Australian news reporter with over 9 years in the industry and has published on Forbes and tech crunch.