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No. 12 Oklahoma State at No. 2 Baylor
Meeting for the third time this season, Oklahoma State and Baylor meet in the semifinal round of the Big 12 tournament. The start of the Cowboys vs. Bears is at 6:30 pm ET at the T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri. Baylor swept the two-game regular season series. The Bears won the first game, 81–66 on the road on January 23, and were covered as 11.5 favorites. He then won the second game, 81-70 at home on March 4, but failed to cover as a 12-point chalk. Baylor has won nine of the last 10 games in this series.
Oklahoma State (19-7, 11-7 Big 12) finished fifth in the Big 12 standings and earned a free pass in the quarterfinal round as the fifth seed. The Cowboys advanced to the semifinal round with a 72–69 win over West Virginia yesterday. Oklahoma State erased a 36-30 halftime deficit and outscored the Mountaineers 42-33 in the second half to win as 3.5-point underdogs. The Cowboys have been a solid betting option the past seven games, going 6-1 straight and 7-0 against the side.
Baylor (22-1, 13-1 Big 12) finished first in the Big 12 standings and earned a free pass to the quarterfinals as the No. 1 seed. In a contest that was closer than expected, Baylor advanced to the semifinals with a 74-68 victory over Kansas State yesterday. The Wildcats, who were underdog by 20 points, held a 42-41 lead within three minutes of the second half, but lost the rest of the way. The Bears’ only loss in the regular season was 71-58 to Kansas as a 4.5-point road favorite on February 27. Baylor is 2-4 ATS in his last six games.
The Bears enter this contest with an advantage on offense and defense. Baylor scores 84.8 points per game on offense, while Oklahoma State averages 76.5 points per game. The Bears allow 65.7 points per game on defense, while the Cowboys give up 72.2 points per game. During its 7-0 run against the spread, Oklahoma State faced six teams that ranked 18th or better in the AP Top 25. That includes two losing wins against West Virginia, which Baylor defeated 94-89 in overtime on March 4. Expecting a close competition, take the points and give back to the Cowboys.
Pick: Oklahoma State Cowboys +9 (-113) in DraftKings
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Wisconsin at no. Iowa # 5
Longtime rivals collide when Wisconsin and Iowa meet in the quarterfinal round of the Big Ten tournament. The start of the Badgers vs. Hawkeyes is scheduled for 9:00 pm ET at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana. Iowa swept the two-game regular season series. The Hawkeyes won the first game 77-62 as a 1.5-point road favorite on February 18. In the regular season finale for both teams, Iowa won 77-73 but failed to cover as a 7.5-point chalk at home on March 7. Iowa has won three straight games in this series.
Wisconsin (16-11, 10-10 Big Ten) entered the tournament as the No. 6 seed and earned a free pass to the second round. The Badgers closed their season with a 1-5 slide. In addition to the games against Iowa, Wisconsin played a difficult schedule down the stretch. They lost 67–59 at home to No. 3 Michigan, 74–69 at home to No. 5 Illinois and 73–69 to No. 23 Purdue on the road. The only victory was 68-51 against Northwestern. The Badgers advanced to the quarterfinal round with a 75–74 victory over Penn State yesterday.
Iowa (20-7, 14-6 Big Ten) finished third in the Big Ten and earned a pass to the quarterfinals as the third seed. The Hawkeyes bounced back from a 1-4 midseason slide (0-5 ATS) and won seven of their last eight games. They were 5-3 against the spread in those contests. Before the second win against Wisconsin, the Hawkeyes crushed Nebraska 102-64 as 17.5 favorites at home on March 4. That was preceded by a 73-57 victory as a 2.5-point road favorite against No. 4 Ohio State on February 4. 28.
Although they have been limited to 77 points or less for five of the last six games, Iowa is averaging 85.0 points per game on offense, while Wisconsin is scoring 70.1 points per game. The Badgers have an advantage on defense, allowing 64.4 points per game, while the Hawkeyes give up 72.1 points per game. Wisconsin has scored 69 points or less in seven of its last nine games and did not exceed 62 points in four of those games. Iowa may be without second leading scorer Joe Wieskamp (ankle), but I still like the Hawkeyes to cover the spread.
Pick: Iowa Hawkeyes -4.5 (-112) in DraftKings
2020 NCAA Basketball Betting Record – 21: 31-26 ATS
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Eddie is an Australian news reporter with over 9 years in the industry and has published on Forbes and tech crunch.