The Tampa Bay Buccaneers led by Tom Brady are not only the defending Super Bowl champs and the clear class of the NFC South, but, in the eyes of bettors, they are one of the strong favorites to win it all once again in 2021. The Carolina Panthers are expected to experience some growing pains as they look to rejuvenate quarterback Sam Darnold’s career after acquiring him from the New York Jets in the offseason. The Atlanta Falcons, who are expected to be proficient on the offensive side of the ball thanks to Matt Ryan’s leadership, remain the only power ranked in Las Vegas sportsbooks as an average team with a total of 7.5 wins in the field. season.
This leaves us with the New Orleans Saints, who will face the dilemma of veteran starter Jameis Winston or the versatile Taysom Hill. Odds makers have posted that Winston will be the one to replace retired Drew Brees as the starting quarterback in Week 1 with prohibitive odds of -360.
Jameis Winston (-360)
Jameis Winston is highly favored as the Week 1 starting quarterback for the Saints when they face the Green Bay Packers as home underdogs by 2.5 points. The veteran threw only 75 yards passing on limited duty backing Brees last season. The former Florida State standout has thrown for 19,812 yards and 121 touchdowns in his six NFL seasons. However, one important area that Winston has struggled with is ball safety. In just 76 games, he has thrown a staggering 88 interceptions.
My colleague Shawn Childs emphasized in his perspective on the Saints fantasy team:
In more than 70 career starts, Winston was 28-42, with his only winning record in 2016 (9-7). In 2019, Winston led the NFL in passing yards (5,109) with many touchdowns (33) and attempts (626), but his incredibly high number of interceptions (30, the seventh highest of all time) keeps his opponents in the low spots. games too often. .
Taysom Hill (+255)
Taysom Hill has become one of the most dangerous and versatile players in the NFL, lining up and taking plays for the Saints as a quarterback, wide receiver, running back and tight end. Last season, Hill rushed for 457 yards and eight touchdowns on the ground while racking up eight receptions for 98 yards and a touchdown. The “Swiss Army Knife” also displayed precision in an expanded role at quarterback completing 72.7% of his passes for 928 yards and four touchdowns.
Childs believes the Saints will employ a two-quarterback system for most of the 2021 season:
New Orleans will rotate two quarterbacks in 2021. Hill played well with Drew Brees out last year, giving him a window to show that he belongs as their number one quarterback.
Ian’s Book (+5000)
Ian Book, who was selected in the fourth round of the 2021 NFL Draft, was a solid quarterback who threw for 8,948 yards and 72 touchdowns in his college career for Notre Dame. Book would need a Winston or Hill injury to see the field in his rookie season. Its huge odds of +5000 shouldn’t entice any punter to invest in Book for anything other than a third-chain role in 2021.
Finding a reliable starting signal in the NFL is hard enough, but the task goes up to another level when a Hall of Fame talent is replaced at the position. In early drafts this summer, Fantasy owners believe Winston will take over because of the veteran’s advantage as a pocket passer.
As we always emphasize, setting prohibitive odds is not good fund management. Although Winston could have a starting role in Week 1, this is a tough betting market. Bettors should be aware that this market was -200 in favor of Winston in early May. All the value currently resides in Hill with his attractive +255 odds thanks to his hybrid multi-position ability, combined with the strong support of head coach Sean Payton.
Bet: Saints Week 1 Start – Taysom Hill +255
Follow Frankie on Twitter @ Frankie_Fantasy for his keen gambling knowledge
More games of chance:
Eddie is an Australian news reporter with over 9 years in the industry and has published on Forbes and tech crunch.