Living in the world of the everyday game for any sport requires a lot of work with little reward for the casual gamer, unless the stars align on a magical day. Most everyday homeowners need to decide whether they want to be a grinder or a swing-for-the-fences player. One path keeps you alive for more days of action with the idea of slowly building your bankroll. The other has a feeling of giving as he offers a pot of gold at the end of a distant rainbow.
Ever since the daily sites started offering the million dollar jackpot, I’ve been trying to find my get out of jail card. The goal is to put the main soccer team at a disadvantage on Sunday and invest in the best possible mix of core players. If my key players are successful, I will be on the hunt with many teams. Every football season, I hope to be in the mix in four to five weeks.
All the players listed belong to the main Sunday games list.
Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills
Allen did his best to lead the Bills to a victory against Tampa last week, leading to 427 combined yards with three touchdowns. However, he came out of the game with a foot injury that may hamper his running and accuracy this week. In the last seven meetings, his biggest negative was his low production in yards per pass attempt in five contests (5.9, 5.6, 6.0, 4.8, 5.7). Allen ranks second in quarterback scoring (27.33 FPPG). He has scored more than 30 fantasy points in six games (40.80, 39.65, 33.25, 31.95, 31.30, 39.30).
The Panthers have the third-best defense against the quarterback (17.92 FPPG), with eight opponents scoring less than 20 fantasy points. Carolina allows 6.7 yards per pass attempt while missing a matchup (MIN – 373/3). Quarterbacks average just 29.5 pass attempts, and a favorable schedule helped the Panthers’ success against the pass (NYJ, NO, HOU, PHI, NYG, ATL (twice), WAS, MIA).
The Bills need a win in the worst way, and Allen looks ready to shine this week. The Sports betting YES lists Buffalo as an 11-point favorite with a 44.5 over / under, pointing to more runs. Also, Gabriel Davis has a shot at Emmanuel Sanders on the shelf with a knee injury. Allen is projected to gain 299 yards with 3.5 touchdowns.
Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals
Since returning from an ankle injury, Murray has looked more agile in the running game (10/59/2 and 7/61) compared to his previous five starts (32/77 – 2.4 yards per carry). Last week, he threw the ball better (383 yards), but Murray missed an passing touchdown with two interceptions. In his 10 games, he has averaged 27.21 fantasy points in four-point touchdown leagues. The Cardinals will not have DeAndre Hopkins, which will give Christian Kirk an increase in opportunities.
The Lions rank 10th in quarterback defense (20.74 FPPG), with the majority of fights coming over three games (GB – 255/4, CIN – 295/3, LAR – 332/3). Detroit allows 8.2 yards per pass attempt while still showing risk defending wide receivers (151 / 2,123 / 10 – 14.10 yards per catch). However, the Lions have outscored the defensive quarterbacks due to low pass attempts (31.2 per game) and running backs who scored 23 touchdowns.
The status of James Conner is critical to assessing Murray’s ceiling against Detroit. Arizona has a chance to shine in the deep passing game, and rushing scores could shift to quarterback if Conner can’t put on the suit. I set his ribbon at 314 combined yards with 2.5 touchdowns.
Matthew Stafford, Los Angeles Rams
In my DFS Report for Week 15, I wrote about Stafford’s prospects in his matches against Seattle. The Covid-19 status for Odell Beckham Jr. and Darrell Henderson remains without an update on Thursday. Ideally, the Rams’ passing game would be slightly affected if Beckham doesn’t play.
Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys
Over the past six weeks, Prescott has seen its passing production ups and downs (232/2, 317/2, 216/0, 375/2, 238/1, 211/1). His season started with three or more touchdowns in five of the Cowboys’ first six games. Dallas plays its fourth road game in the last five weeks. Prescott has 17 touchdowns and two interceptions at home in six games, compared to eight touchdowns and eight interceptions in as many road games. In Week 5, he passed for 302 yards and three touchdowns against the Giants.
New York has a disaster game (NO – 263/3) against quarterbacks. Three teams (WAS – 336/2, DAL – 324/3 and TB – 318/2) passed for more than 300 yards. The Giants hold quarterbacks to 6.8 yards per pass attempt, leading to 20th– Defense rated quarterback (21.50 FPPG).
Dallas should have Tony Pollard back this week, and they have three talented receivers. However, the Cowboys need the Giants to play better offense to create a higher scoring environment for their passing attempts. Sports betting YES has Dallas favored by 10.5 points, creating more runs.
Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers
The Packers’ passing attack has been on the rise in their last four games (331 yards per game). Rodgers has 11 touchdowns in his last three starts, bringing him to seventh in quarterback scoring (291.55 fantasy points) despite missing a game. He’s still on track to deliver 40 touchdowns.
Baltimore is ranked 23rd in defending quarterbacks (21.68 FPPG). They lost to CB Marlon Humphrey in Week 13, but the Browns (190/2) failed to test their secondary on many plays in this latest meeting. Three teams (LV – 435/2, IND – 402/2, CIN – 416/3) gained more than 400 yards through the air. The Ravens allow 15.1 yards to wide receivers, with five teams (14/243/1, 15/206/1, 19/302/1, 12/232, 11/234/2) gaining more than 200 yards.
Rodgers has one of the best receivers in the game, but he needs Lamar Jackson to play and be successful to push the issue on the scoreboard. Baltimore hasn’t allowed a rushing touchdown in its last four meetings, pointing to an active passing day for the Packers.
Tua Tagovailoa, Miami Dolphins
With Jaylen Waddle landing on the Covid-19 list on Thursday, the Dolphins appear to be at their best receiver on Sunday. Tagovailoa appeared to be of value as a quarterback when he did the daily game investigation Wednesday.
The runner position in week 15 is full of questions due to injuries and Covid-19. Information on many players could change by a penny at game time on Sunday.
RB James Robinson, Jacksonville Jaguars
My first rider for my perfect lineup this week will be Robinson. It’s been a challenging ride lately, but a head coach change at Jacksonville should give the Jaguars offense some fresh air. Robinson was featured in my DFS Report earlier in the week.
Ideally, my second choice as a running back would come from the Cardinals’ backfield if James Conner can’t adapt. Sony Michel will also be at stake if Darrell Henderson does not return from his Covid-19 issue. Myles Gaskin is the third running back of interest, based on the Jets having the worst running defense in the league. He needs to be removed from the Covid-19 list to play on Sunday.
RB Najee Harris, Pittsburgh Steelers
Harris draws the second-best defense against running backs (19.38 FPPG), but can beat his matchup for hitting volume. During his seven home games, Harris gained 710 yards with four touchdowns and 39 receptions (20.57 FPPG) on 179 touches (25.6 per game). However, Harris gained just 3.7 yards per rush, with just three of his 237 carries gaining more than 20 yards.
Running backs scored nine touchdowns against the Titans while keeping offenses under 100 yards rushing in 11 meetings. Running backs also have 59 receptions for 483 yards and a touchdown.
For Harris to be an RB1 leader in daily space, he needs to score two touchdowns with 100+ yards and some value on receptions. I have him projected for 106 yards with one touchdown and five receptions.
WR Davante Adams, Green Bay Packers
Rodgers’ connection to Adams has been in top form for the past three games (7/115/2, 8/104, 10/121/2), lifting him to third place in wide receiver scoring (252.40 Fantasy points). He also has three other games (8/121, 12/132/1, 11/206/1) with more than 100 receiving yards. Adams has the same number of receptions (45) at home and away, but his advantage in yards per reception (640 – 564) has come on the road.
Baltimore will attack the quarterback (26 sacks) with the blitz, but its secondary is at risk against wide receivers (146 / 2,210 / 12 – 15.1 yards per catch). In the last seven games, five wide receivers (Ja’Marr Chase – 8/201/1, Marquise Goodwin – 4/104/1, Darnell Mooney – 5/121/1, Jarvis Landry – 6/111, Diontae Johnson – 8 / 105/2) gained more than 100 yards.
If the Packers need to pitch, Adams shouldn’t have a problem beating this passing defense. Baltimore wants to run the ball to slow down the clock, and no Lamar Jackson invites a dull day to the Ravens offense. Adams plans to catch seven passes for 113 yards and a touchdown.
WR Deebo Samuel, San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers struggled to get Samuel the ball in the passing game in their last three meetings (1/15, 1/12, 1/22). However, he maintained his fantasy value by being active in the running game (5/36/1, 8/79/1, 6/66/2, 8/37/1) during his previous four games. When he was at his best as a catcher, Samuel posted three hit games (32.90, 35.70, 30.30 fantasy points). In Week 4, he eliminated the Seahawks on eight receptions for 156 yards and two touchdowns.
Seattle worked its way to eighth place in wide receiver defense (175 / 2,079 / 7), but most of its troubles came in weeks 2-5 (12/19, 12/17/192, 2/14/220 / 2, 21/326). In addition, they allowed only one touchdown to a running receiver in the last nine games.
I like the combination of Samuel’s running ability and receiving ability. He appears to be on track for 127 yards with the possibility of two touchdowns and five receptions.
WR Gabriel Davis, Buffalo Bills
Last week, Davis had eight goals, a season high, leading to five receptions for 43 yards and a touchdown. Has a score in consecutive contests. Buffalo gave him WR2 plays in Week 14 after the Bills lost Emmanuel Sanders to a knee injury. During his first 29 NFL games, Davis has 59 receptions for 984 yards and 11 touchdowns while gaining 16.7 yards per catch. Josh Allen looks for him on the goal line and at the same time offers great ability to play.
Here’s my perfect lineup for week 15:
I’m going with the assumption that James Conner doesn’t play on Sunday. If Chase Edmonds is not activated, I would gladly ride Eno Benjamin. This move would create enough space to enter a $ 5,100 player in flex.
My other option if Conner plays would be to start Myles Gaskin (if he plays) on RB2. This change pushes me down into the flex position ($ 3,900) with minimal outs. The easy fix would be to give up the Bills defense to open up some salary cap relief.
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Eddie is an Australian news reporter with over 9 years in the industry and has published on Forbes and tech crunch.