The 2020 NFL regular season has come to a close, and now things are really starting to get fun at DFS. With every nationally televised game a must-win event, these are the moments when fantasy football studs truly distinguish themselves on the field and, as always, it is imperative to identify sleepers and value plays under the radar on DraftKings, FanDuel, and Yahoo. By getting valuable production at discounted prices in one position, managers allow themselves weekly products checked elsewhere on the list.
My job, the 17 weeks into the regular season and now into the postseason, is to scan RotoQL’s vast projections and pick my favorite sleepers and value picks. If you reviewed this column last week, you would have benefited from our advice to connect the following players (all prices from week 17 and fantasy point production through DraftKings):
- QB Kirk Cousins, MIN ($ 7,700): 40.3 fantasy points
- QB Derek Carr, LV ($ 5,700): 24.9
- QB Drew Brees, NO ($ 5,900): 20.04
- RB Melvin Gordon, DEN ($ 5,700): 21.0
- RB D’Andre Swift, DET ($ 6,300): 16.0
- RB Nyheim Hines, IND ($ 4,900): 12.7
- WR Marvin Jones Jr., DET ($ 5,100): 38.0
- WR Russell Gage, ATL ($ 5,100): 25.2
- WR Keke Coutee, NEW ($ 5,600): 15.0
- WR TY Hilton, IND ($ 5,800): 13.7
All of these players far exceeded their price levels, with some even leading their positions during the week. Finding such good values at modest costs, DFS managers allowed stallions like Tom Brady, AJ Brown and Jonathan Taylor elsewhere on the list.
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Let’s take a look at our best DFS value plays of Week 17, and you can get an idea why 100,000 DFS players rely on RotoQL to create rosters. We constantly monitor prices and provide the most up-to-date information and analysis to maximize the success of your lineup. Optimize, find games of value and increase your chances of getting paid today!
NFL DFS Wild Card Picks: Sleeping QBs, Values
Ryan Tannehill, Tennessee Titans vs. Baltimore Ravens (DK: $ 6,600 | FD: $ 8,200)
Surely it feels tempting to go with the quarterback on the other side of this showdown given that Lamar Jackson has seemingly returned to superstar form, but the price difference is apparent between Returning Player of the Year 2019 and MVP of 2019 it probably won’t. be accompanied by a substantial disparity in production. Tannehill scored 28.4 Fantasy points against Houston in Week 17, and nearly beat Black Jack when these teams met in Baltimore in Week 11. It’s the safest bet with the highest ceiling in this price range.
Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints vs. Chicago Bears (DK: $ 5,700 | FD: $ 7,800)
It’s safe to say that Brees has made a full recovery from his punctured lung and 11 broken ribs just in time for a tough first-round showdown with a solid Bears D. The 42-year-old future Hall of Fame QB has eclipsed 20 points. fantasy in two of the past three weeks, and he scored 19.6 against the Bears in Chicago on Nov. 1. The advantage may be limited with Brees against Khalil Mack and co, but you won’t find a better floor for less than $ 6K DK / $ 8K FD.
Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns (DK: $ 6,100 | FD: $ 7,500)
Remember when the Steelers were 11-0? After a nightmarish second half of the regular season, you can acquire most of Pittsburgh’s skill position players at discounted rates. With Big Ben’s penchant for turning up the heat in the playoffs and the fact that Cleveland ranks 25th in fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks, the RotoQL model really likes the veteran signal caller. Pittsburgh certainly won’t make its way into the second round.
Wildcards DraftKings, FanDuel Picks: RB sleepers, values
JK Dobbins, Baltimore Ravens at Tennessee Titans (DK: $ 6,600 | FD: $ 6,800)
From week 11 onwards, Dobbins has been one of the best offensive talents, no matter the rookies, in the NFL. He averaged 13.6 PPR points in Baltimore’s five games between November 22 and December 27, then exploded for 28 points in the Ravens’ beating the Bengals last week. Tennessee is ranked 26th against the RBs in fantasy, so it is surprising to see that Ohio State’s product is priced under $ 7,000.
Jonathan Taylor (DK: $ 7,900 | FD: $ 8,800) and Nyheim Hines (DK: $ 4,700 | FD: $ 5,600), Indianapolis Colts at Buffalo Bills
Obviously the best Colts running back you’ll want this week is Taylor, who passed the Jaguars last week with 253 yards and two touchdowns. Taylor finished his debut regular season with 1,169 rushing yards and 12 total touchdowns (not to mention 36 receptions on 39 goals for 299 yards). Grabbing Hines in one RB spot could allow you JT in the other, building an Indy stack against a vulnerable Bills defense. Buffalo ranks 22nd against RB in fantasy and has given up 140 rushing yards in two of its last three games. Hines has been the safety blanket for veteran Colts quarterback Philip Rivers, and there should be plenty of dumps and screens in Buffalo on Saturday. There is no shame in choosing two members from the same backfield.
Nick Chubb, Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (DK: $ 6,700 | FD: $ 7,700)
Since Chubb returned from injury in Week 10, he has been one of the most impactful running backs in football. He’s averaged 17.6 PPR points per game in that span and put up 16.8 last week against these same Steelers. The sophomore racer looks match-proof right now, and he’s well worth these prices.
Wildcards FanDuel, DraftKings Picks: WR sleepers, values
Marquise Brown, Baltimore Ravens at Tennessee Titans (DK: $ 5,400 | FD: $ 6,300)
‘Hollywood’ Brown had a brutal first half of the season, directly correlated with Lamar Jackson’s early struggles in his MVP encore, but the second-year wide receiver has finished strong, scoring six touchdowns in Baltimore’s last six games. He averaged 15.9 PPR points in that span and will likely continue his torrid pace against a Titans secondary that gave up the second-most fantasy points to receivers this season. RotoQL projects that Brown will score 12.5 points, but his upper limit is 33.7. Go Hollywood over your opponents and grab the dazzling sprinter.
Chase Claypool, Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns (DK: $ 5,200 | FD: $ 6,100)
The antithesis of Brown, Claypool had an incredible first half but became a Lost Boy after Week 12. Big Ben’s backup Mason Rudolph had to travel to Neverland to win back the rookie catcher because they hit five catches for 101 yards and a touchdown against the Browns in Week 17. The Steelers may play Cleveland again this week, but this time Roethlisberger will return to center. Claypool caught all four of his targets when he and the veteran quarterback first played the Browns this season in Week 6, finishing with 81 total yards and a touchdown. There is a very good chance that he will find paydirt for the third time against the Browns, so $ 5,200 seems like a great investment opportunity.
Gabriel Davis, Buffalo Bills vs Indianapolis Colts (DK: $ 4,000 | FD: $ 5,000)
Another promising rookie, Davis has formed a good connection with MVP candidate Josh Allen. His catch count and total yards from the line of scrimmage may not draw attention, but his red zone and numbers per catch paint a more promising picture. He has a 15.4 percent red zone goal share and has amassed seven touchdowns in 12 red zone chances (58 percent). He also averages 17.1 yards per reception, which ranks fourth in the NFL. The Colts have a strong secondary (and defensive unit overall), but things could get tough if Indy Rock cornerback Ya-Sin misses a second straight game due to a concussion. Veterans CB Xavier Rhodes and Kenny Moore would likely be stuck with the unenviable duties of covering Stefon Diggs and John “Blur” Brown. If Davis opens for a long run, the third-year quarterback will find him, much like Buffalo’s quarterbacks did for 107 yards and a TD last week.
NFL DFS Wild Card Picks: Sleepers TE, Values
Logan Thomas, Washington Football Team vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (DK: $ 4,900 | FD: $ 6,400)
The emerging tight end has made the most of his three nationally televised games this season. He caught all four targets in a victory over Dallas on Thanksgiving. A week later, he caught all nine goals for 98 yards on Monday night against Pittsburgh. Last Sunday night, he caught three passes for 37 yards in a playoff-closing win over the Eagles. He scored a touchdown in all three of those primetime games, and caught 20 passes combined in his last two games at home. I’d be surprised if Thomas posted just under 50 yards and a touchdown against Tampa Bay, which ranks 21st in fantasy points allowed to tight ends. Side note: Catch this guy in your fantasy drafts next season!
Jared Cook, New Orleans Saints vs. Chicago Bears (DK: $ 4,600 | FD: $ 5,900)
Cook has quietly been the Saints’ most reliable receiver since Week 13, with 15 catches on 23 goals for 219 yards and three touchdowns. He caught five of seven goals for 51 yards and a score when these teams first met in Chicago in Week 8, and he should be busy again this week at home. He’s averaging 10.9 PPR over the last five games, and RotoQL lists his projected ceiling at 23.4 points. Cook at $ 4,600 seems like an absolute bargain.
NFL DFS Wildcard Values: D / ST Sleepers
Seattle Seahawks vs. Los Angeles Rams (DK: $ 2,700 | FD: $ 3,600)
I’m amazed that the DFS sites include Seattle in the bottom half of the 12-team roster this wild card weekend. The Seahawks have been a legitimate defense since their midseason acquisition of pass rusher Carlos Dunlap, and have racked up nine or more fantasy points in five of the past six weeks. These teams just met in Week 16, and Seattle limited Los Angeles to 216 passing yards and nine total points with Jared Goff. Now, the Rams could be stuck starting John Wolford, who listed his LinkedIn industry as “Finance” until his start in Goff’s place last week. It’s a great story, and Wolford got the Rams win last week, but he’s sure to make mistakes in a playoff game in Seattle if Goff still doesn’t get the go-ahead. This is a tray of a value selection, IMHO.
Eddie is an Australian news reporter with over 9 years in the industry and has published on Forbes and tech crunch.