Thursday, March 28

NFL Pick ’em Pool Picks Week 18: Expert Advice on Favorites, Surprises to Consider in Trust Groups, Office Groups



If you’re behind your NFL pick ’em group, then you need to take a few risks with favorites or unpopular favorites this week. If you’re still alive in your NFL survivor pool, then there are no more “saving teams.” No matter what kind of strategy you are employing in your various soccer groups this week, one constant remains: you need to get your picks right. Luckily, the experts at TeamRankings are here to help inform your Week 18 NFL picks with tips and advice on five key games.

Picks that are being underrated by the public can generate weekly earnings that make the difference between winning and losing an NFL group all season, while smart picks can drive success in weekly groups. TeamRankings is the only site that offers personalized picks that maximize your advantage in the NFL pick pools. Take a look at TeamRankings’ Soccer Pick ’em Picks, NFL Survivors Picks, Y NFL Betting Picks.

NFL Week 18 Pick ’em Pool Picks – Tips, Strategy

How We Identify NFL Week 18 Value Picks

This article was written on Wednesday, but if the teams’ odds of winning and popularity numbers hold up, the teams below provide attractive trade-offs between risk and reward to differentiate their Week 18 picks from their opponents.

It is important to note that we are not necessarily saying that you should do everything of these selections. In particular, some pesky picks can be unnecessarily risky for your group, even if they’re technically underrated. You should take an overall level of risk with your picks that is appropriate for your group size and rules. Seasonal funds generally require more conservative picks than week-long funds, but if you are behind a leader with two weeks to make money, you may also need to increase the amount of risk you take. If you want our game-by-game selection recommendations for everyone you specific pools, use our Football Pick ’em Picks Product.

Note: Odds of winning and estimated popularity data for the selections below may change between post time and start time. If you want the latest numbers, our product it is updated several times a day.

Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals

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Point difference: -6.0
Choose Popularity: 22%
Category: Favorite value

The Bengals have already secured the AFC North. Cincinnati running back Joe Mixon is out this week after testing positive for COVID, and QB Joe Burrow (knee) won’t be starting either. That’s why the line has shifted to the Browns being a sizeable favorite.

So far, public data shows that most people still elect the Bengals. Take advantage and lock up the Browns.

WEEK 18 DFS LINEUP: FanDuel | DraftKings | Yahoo!

New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons

Point difference: -4.0
Choose Popularity: 68%
Category: Favorite value

The Saints are the favorites here, but enough people are picking a Falcons upset to make New Orleans a worthwhile pick. New Orleans needs to win to make the playoffs. Atlanta beat them earlier in the year in New Orleans, so that could be influencing public selection rates here as well.

Fun fact: The Saints have a winning record (11-8) in Atlanta since the NFC South was formed in 2002, including going 6-1 as a favorite.

TeamRankings Soccer Picks:
Survivor group selections | Pick ’em Pool Picks | NFL Betting Picks

Dallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Point difference: -7.0
Choose Popularity: 77%
Category: Favorite at a reasonable price

Both Dallas and Philadelphia are in the playoffs, and Dallas has clinched the NFC East. Philadelphia is locked at No. 6 or No. 7 in the NFC. Dallas could improve to second place, but it would need other surprises for that to happen. The Cowboys are a touchdown favorite right now, but enough of the crowd is giving the Eagles a chance that there is value in staying in Dallas.

Several key Eagles players will likely be out for Saturday’s game after testing positive for COVID, including OL Jason Kelce, TE Dallas Goedert and DL Fletcher Cox. Given that they have already secured a playoff spot and can’t do much to improve their rankings, the Eagles aren’t likely to rush players back.

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Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers

Point difference: +4.0
Choose Popularity: eleven%
Category: Gamble with deranged courage

The Packers are a popular pick against Detroit, which isn’t surprising given Green Bay is 13-3 and the Lions are 2-13-1. But the Packers have already clinched the top spot in the NFC, so there’s no guarantee they’ll start the game throughout the game.

The betting market has tightened the line as to where Detroit is deemed to have a legitimate chance of winning. With low popularity, the Lions have a lot of value if you’re looking for a surprise where the better team will likely treat it more like a preseason game in the second half.

WEEK 18 FANTASY RATINGS (PPR & STANDARD):
Field marshal | Running backwards | Wide receiver | Tight end | D / ST | Kicker

Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Point difference: +8.0
Choose Popularity: two%
Category: Gamble with deranged courage

We wouldn’t normally include an eight-point underdog as a pick recommendation, but it’s the last week of the season. If you’re behind and need a big surprise to climb your group’s rankings, the Panthers are worth considering.

Carolina is extremely unpopular. Only the Jets (as a 16-point underdog) are being drafted less often. About 83 percent of the public is choosing Tampa Bay with the spread, which is the most popular pick of the week in the spread groups. But we estimate that the Panthers’ winning odds are 26 percent. With so few tickets choosing them, chances are you are one of the few (in a large group) or perhaps the only one choosing them.

The Buccaneers have some key offensive players, including RB Leonard Fournette and WR Chris Godwin. They are not playing the best they can at the moment. The Panthers would need to perform well defensively, but if you need to throw a Hail Mary, this is the best game to try.

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Week 18 NFL Survivor Group Picks: Most Popular Picks

It’s the final week for the survivor groups unless they extend into the playoffs. That means the future is now and there is no way to save for a different week. If tickets have gone that far, they have probably used most of the good teams.

Here are the most popular picks so far for Week 18.

  • Tennessee Titans (36% popularity) in Houston Texans
  • Washington Football Team (14% popularity) at New York Giants
  • Baltimore Ravens (10% popularity) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
  • New Orleans Saints (7% popularity) at Atlanta Falcons
  • Buffalo Bills (4% popularity) vs. New York Jets

You can check our Selection analysis of week 18 and get our personalized pick recommendations if you’re still competing in a survivor pool.

Get all our NFL picks from week 18

Football Pick ’em Picks by TeamRankings is the only product that gives you the picks, tools and analysis you need to maximize your advantage in the NFL pick pools. It uses algorithms to identify the calculated risks that give you the best chance of winning your trust, point spread, or trust group.

From a strategy perspective, game theory is critical to winning pick ’em groups. In short, to win a group of pick ’em, you have to score points that your opponents lose. That means you need to identify unpopular picks that are worth a calculated bet and avoid trendy picks that aren’t worth the risk. Our product does all those calculations for you, 71 percent of our subscribers report having won a prize in soccer team competitions.

If you want to learn more about the pick ’em pool soccer strategy, you can also check out our free articles on strategy to win soccer pick ’em pools. Good luck in your pools this week!




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