Last week was another tough one for some in the NFL pick ’em groups, as various teams seemingly went to great lengths to lose games. Whether you bet big on an underdog who couldn’t pull off surprise or watched a favorite lose a winnable game, it’s time to dust yourself off and prepare for your NFL Week 3 picks. Fortunately, the experts at TeamRankings are here to help you with tips and strategy tips.
In this post, we highlight five picks from Week 3 that can give you a head start on your pick contests or trust groups. By finding picks that are being underrated by the public, you can employ a value-driven strategy that can generate weekly earnings that make the difference between winning and losing at the end of the season.
TeamRankings is the only site that offers personalized picks that maximize your advantage in the NFL pick pools. Take a look at TeamRankings’ Soccer Pick ’em Picks, NFL Survivors Picks, and NFL Betting Picks. For a limited time, you can also get a free trial of all their premium soccer teams.
NFL Week 3 Pick ’em Pool Picks – Tips, Strategy
How We Identify Week 3 NFL Value Picks
This post was written Tuesday, but if the picks’ odds of winning and popularity numbers hold up, the teams below provide compelling risk versus reward strategies to differentiate their Week 3 picks from their group opponents.
Just keep in mind that we are not necessarily saying what you should do. everybody of these selections. In particular, some pesky picks can be unnecessarily risky for your group, even if they’re technically underrated. If you want our game-by-game selection recommendations for everyone your specific pools, use our Football Pick ’em Picks Product.)
Note: Odds of Win data and Estimated Popularity of the selections below may change between post time and start time. If you want the latest numbers, our product it is updated several times a day.
MORE TEAMS: Survivor Group Strategy | Choose a strategy
Minnesota Vikings vs. Seattle Seahawks
Point difference: +2.0
Category: Unpopular Release
The Vikings have lost two heartbreaking games so far this season, losing an overtime game in Week 1 to Cincinnati, and then missing a potential field goal to win the game at Arizona. The crowd is giving them little chance against Seattle at home, despite this being one of the smallest spreads of Week 2.
You can differentiate your entry from everyone else’s by taking the unpopular Vikings here in a fairly even showdown. It’s a very compelling pick in weekly jackpots where you only have a small number of options to differentiate yourself, although you need to be more selective about the risks you take in jackpots throughout the season.
MORE TEAM RANKINGS: Week 3 NFL Survivor Group Tips (link will be available soon)
Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders
Point difference: +3.5
Category: Value bet on weekly jackpots
The recent bias seems to be driving audiences here. Miami was crushed at home by Buffalo when quarterback Tua Tagovailoa left the game early with a rib injury. Meanwhile, the Raiders have started 2-0 with narrow wins over the Ravens and Steelers.
As of Tuesday, Tagovailoa is “day to day” with the rib injury, and it is something to watch out for before making his final choice. But the popularity of the Dolphins’ picks is out of control given the relative differences between these two teams. The Raiders are coming off a game in which the Steelers drew out three of their best defensive players (after TJ Watt left with an injury in the second quarter) and Derek Carr was able to feast.
Miami is coming off a poor performance that shouldn’t reflect its overall quality this season. The Dolphins gave up just 314 yards to Buffalo in the loss, and their offense could have Tagovailoa back and WR Will Fuller V making his debut for the Dolphins.
Again, it might be a bit risky to bring Miami in an all-season group, but the Fins present great value for risk versus reward in a weekly contest.
WEEK 3 FANTASY PPR RANKINGS:
Field marshal | Running backwards | Wide receiver | Tight end | D / ST | Kicker
San Francisco 49ers vs. Green Bay Packers
Point difference: -3.5
Category: Favorite Value
Enough of the public backs Green Bay this week to make the 49ers a work of value in the favorite role. The Packers are coming off a bigger-than-expected win against Detroit in a primetime game, but their defense still has some big question marks after two weeks. They also had the benefit of a great fourth down save and a 2-0 turnover advantage.
Picking the 49ers should be a basic strategy in a variety of groups, as they give you the opportunity to pick the favorite while nearly 40 percent of a typical group goes the other way.
Carolina Panthers at Houston Texans
Point difference: -7.5
Category: Biggest Favorite at a Reasonable Price
The Panthers are one of the big favorites this week, but the public has not caught up. Also, quarterback Tyrod Taylor (hamstring) will miss this game and rookie Davis Mills will start at quarterback.
According to our models, Carolina has the third highest chance of winning this week, but only the 10th highest pick popularity in pick ’em groups. More than 90 percent of the public is choosing eight teams, and Carolina is not one of them. As a result, you can get some differentiation in confidence groups by placing Carolina as a very high value confidence point play this week.
Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys
Point difference: +4.0
Category: Value bet on weekly jackpots
Finally, one more value bet for those who take risks. The Eagles have played solid soccer the first two games, winning big in Atlanta and playing a tight game with San Francisco.
Dallas is a crowd favorite team, and right now the crowd is raving about the Cowboys. However, our research has shown that Home advantage doesn’t seem to be of much value in NFC East rivalry games., and this place could be riskier for Dallas than many people think. However, it is the riskiest play of the five that we have listed, so keep that fact in mind.
Get all our NFL picks from week 3
Soccer Pick ’em Picks from TeamRankings is the only product that gives you the picks, tools, and analytics you need to maximize your advantage in NFL pick pools. It uses algorithms to identify the calculated risks that give you the best chance of winning your trust, point spread, or trust group.
Game theory is a fundamental aspect of winning pick ’em groups. In short, you have to score points that your opponents lose. That means you need to identify unpopular picks that might be worth a calculated bet and avoid modern picks that aren’t worth the risk. This approach is a big reason why 71 percent of our subscribers report having won a prize in soccer team competitions.
If you want to learn more about the pick ’em pool soccer strategy, you can also check out our free articles on strategy to win soccer pick ’em pools.
Good luck in your pools this week!
Eddie is an Australian news reporter with over 9 years in the industry and has published on Forbes and tech crunch.