Wednesday, January 26

NFL Picks, Predictions Against Spread Week 11: Chiefs Cut Cowboys; Buccaneers, brown roll; The raiders fall again


Weeks 9 and 10 were a bit challenging for our NFL game picks and predictions against the spread as the lines got tighter and smarter to play the “freshest” for a midseason hot streak. That just means we need to be sharper for the new challenges in Week 11.

The list of contests goes back to 15 matchups with just two teams, the Broncos and the Rams, in a goodbye. As usual, jumping over the lines early in the week is advantageous for some games before more information is available.

Let’s dive into another show loaded with our latest intrepid soccer prediction from professional pigskin tips:

(Game odds courtesy of FanDuel)

NFL POWER RATINGS:
The Titans take over; Cowboys, Patriots soar; Buccaneers, Ravens fall for week 11

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NFL Picks vs. Spread for Week 11

Sunday 4:25 pm ET, Fox

The Cowboys and Chiefs saw their offenses explode to expectations in Week 10, with Dallas enjoying a loss to Atlanta and Kansas City passing and fleeing Las Vegas. With Dak Prescott and Patrick Mahomes returning to their elite states after brief setbacks, expect this game to live up to its exciting, high-scoring billing. Both quarterbacks like to throw downfield for big plays, but they’ve also proven good with long shots by leaning a bit more on the run. The Kansas City defense is enhanced by home field to make a few more plays than Dallas, while the matchups for Mahomes’ main weapons are slightly better for Prescott’s.

Choose: The Chiefs win 34-31 and cover the difference.

Thursday 8:20 pm ET, Fox, NFL Network, Amazon Prime Video

The Patriots are back in business with Bill Belichick. When they play defense and run the ball that way, rookie quarterback Mac Jones’ job is a lot easier. You don’t need to compromise here. They will not hesitate to stick with their strengths, because they also align with the Falcons’ weaknesses. Matt Ryan’s roller coaster pass takes another big leap, while Jones has more diverse and deeper weapons with which to easily duel him.

Choose: The Patriots win 27-20 and cover the spread.

Monday 8:15 pm ET, ESPN

It’s the Buccaneers’ turn to right the ship in primetime after two straight, tough losses on the road. Tom Brady rarely has two bad games in a row, and he definitely doesn’t have three when his team needs him most with more defensive injuries and continued offensive hindrance. The Giants surprised the Saints and Raiders, but those games were at home. The Bucs are perfect in Tampa since Super Bowl 55 and although the D in New York has his moment, save Big Blue to sing sad songs after goodbye. Coach Bruce Arians will challenge his team all week and will play Executioner against Joe Judge’s club.

Choose: The Buccaneers win 38-17 and cover the spread.

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  • Madness of the week: Jets (+3, 45.5 o / u) over Dolphins

Sunday 1 pm ET, CBS

The Jets have their wins against the Titans and Bengals at home. This is another opportunity for Robert Saleh’s team to add a confidence-building game in a season of pure rebuilding. New York could have a healthy Zach Wilson. Miami can feel good about the start of Tua Tagovailoa. But the Jets have had the best running game of late, while the Dolphins can’t exploit the Jets in the same way. Suddenly, the Jets also have more reliable weapons than the Dolphins.

Choose: The Jets win 23-20.

Sunday 1 pm ET, Fox

The Browns have also been burned frequently of late, losing four of their last six games. They are running out of time to refocus on a run that secures their second straight AFC playoff host. Baker Mayfield needs to play better like Myles Garrett, the talented defense needs to adapt better. The Lions are a welcome break, making the 170-mile hike across the Great Lakes southeast to Dawg Pound. The Lions’ one-dimensional offense will no longer work on the road in the AFC North. Cleveland will run hard with a rested Nick Chubb to help take the pressure off Mayfield.

Choose: Browns win 27-14 and cover the spread.

Sunday 1 pm ET, Fox

The 49ers have been shaky at home this season, but are 3-1 on the road with Kyle Shanahan. They have tended to travel the East Coast well with calculated preparation and that will not change in a short week. Shanahan has perhaps become too creative and too cute in leading his team, but however you look at it, the intrigues of San Francisco are far better than those Jacksonville has with the Urban Meyer staff.

Choose: The 49ers win 30-20 and cover the spread.

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Sunday 1 pm ET, CBS

The Colts need to run well with Jonathan Taylor from cable to cable for the rest of their offense to work. The Bills’ running defense can at least contain him early and put Carson Wentz in more awkward situations in the elements on the road in November. Josh Allen will find a lot to exploit against the Colts’ pass defense and his newfound patience will be an advantage here. The Bills face the limited weapons of the Colts, while the Colts cannot account for all the skill around Allen.

Choose: Tickets win 27-17 and cover the margin.

  • Washington soccer team at Panthers (-2.5, 43 o / u)

Sunday 1 pm ET, Fox

Washington will be disadvantaged by injuries to defensive ends Chase Young and Montez Sweat. But overall, the team played the kind of swarming defense Ron Rivera and Jack Del Rio had hoped for, with better intrigue after the goodbye against Brad. They also brought their running game closer to its ideal state with Antonio Gibson. Gibson versus Christian McCaffrey will be the real duel in his revenge game with Taylor Heinicke, perhaps facing former QB teammate Cam Newton. Rivera and offensive coordinator Scott Turner know the Panthers well and will plan to beat Matt Rhule and his staff in a tough game.

Choose: Washington wins 23-20.

  • Cuervos (-6.5, 45 o / u) at Bears

Sunday 1 pm ET, CBS

The Ravens have been a much better home team this season, even suffering their poor loss to the Bengals in Baltimore. The road has been a routine, losing in both Las Vegas and Miami, but escaping Detroit and dominating in Denver. The Bears will field an improved rookie quarterback in Justin Fields against a vulnerable defense at home with some of his key components to contain the return of Lamar Jackson. Chicago has enough flaws to be exploited on both sides, while Jackson saves the day again in the fourth quarter, with much of his arm and some of his legs.

Choose: The crows win 24-20 but fail to cover the spread.

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  • Santos in Águilas (-1.5, 43.5 o / u)

Sunday 1 pm ET, Fox

The Eagles defeated the Saints 24-21 in Jalen Hurts’ first career start on December 13. They will expect a similar result here as surprise house favorites. The Eagles have been focusing lately on racing with Hurts and his committee endorsements and it has worked to resolve Hurts and make the passing game more effective. But the Saints stop the race well and take a break with rookie DeVonta Smith leading the Eagles’ limited receiving corps, and tight end Dallas Goedert may also miss the game with a concussion. The Saints have played a strong short-to-intermediate pass offense with Trevor Siemian and can still run the ball, be it Alvin Kamara or Mark Ingram.

Choose: Saints win 20-17.

Sunday 1 pm ET, CBS

The Texans should come out fighting harder after the break in search of a second win, just like the Lions did on the road looking to hatch a chicken egg. Tyrod Taylor should lead the offense better as the Titans’ secondary holes have not disappeared. Ryan Tannehill has done enough with AJ Brown and hasn’t helped much more without Derrick Henry. That happens again here, as Mike Vrabel makes sure his team doesn’t get caught looking towards New England in Week 12.

Choose: The Titans win 30-20 but fail to cover the difference.

Sunday 1 pm ET, Fox

This is a tough division game for the Packers as they try to maintain their No. 1 seed position in the NFC. But they’re fine without Aaron Jones because they have AJ Dillon to give Aaron Rodgers a lot of support. Minnesota’s high school is a mess and the passing race is not long on it and it was over last week against the Chargers. The Packers defense is playing with more confidence and will contain Kirk Cousins ​​when he counts the most in the second half.

Choose: Packers win 27-24 and cover the spread.

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Sunday 4:05 pm ET, CBS

The Bengals will look great after a goodbye when Joe Burrow pulls apart a wobbly defense that can’t cover all of his talented wide receiver or stop Joe Mixon’s career. Cincinnati will also continue to clean up some defensive woes, while Las Vegas will continue to feature craps at all levels. Teams have similar resumes, but their tracks diverge here and you still feel good about your AFC playoff chances heading into Week 12.

Choose: The Bengals win 31-24 and cover the spread.

Sunday 4:25 pm ET, Fox

The Cardinals may choose to rest Kyler Murray for one more week with a Week 12 bye, even though Colt McCoy cannot replace him. The Seahawks are sure to have a more normal Russell Wilson at home after he brushed off the rust from his finger injury in Green Bay. He should also get a running game boost from Chris Carson. Seattle is running out of time to maintain the season’s winning streak with Wilson and will be desperate to eliminate a division foe. Injuries have forced the Cardinals back to a more reasonable place in the NFC playoff landscape.

Choose: The Seahawks win 24-21.

  • Steelers at Chargers (-4, 47 o / u)

Sunday 8:20 pm ET, NBC

The Steelers suffered two key defensive injuries in Week 10 against the Lions (lead running back TJ Watt, cornerback Joe Haden) that are a boon to Justin Herbert and the Chargers passing game, who will look to build on what he did. Fields against that defense in Week 9. Ben Roethlisberger should come back to face a tough passing defense that will likely bring down wide receiver Chase Claypool again and last week proved that Najee Harris often can’t run Pittsburgh’s offense. Between Austin Ekeler, Keenan Allen and Mike Williams, the Steelers have tough matchups across the board.

Choose: Chargers win 27-20 and cover the spread.

Vinnie Iyer picks in 2021:

  • Week 10 record against the spread: 6-8
  • Week 10 Log Directly: 7-6
  • ATS season: 81-67
  • Straight season: 97-52




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