Wednesday, December 1

NFL Picks, Predictions Against Spread Week 6: Cowboys Meet Patriots; Packers Drop Bears; Steelers crush Seahawks

Week 5 of the 2021 NFL season saw some predictable blowouts, but it also had some surprises based on shocking wire-to-wire results or late-game changes. That led to some bumpy fun with picks against the spread, leaving plenty of room for improvement, as usual, in Week 6.

This week, there is a small forecast break with four teams in the first break of the season (Falcons, Jets, Saints, 49ers) reducing the number of matches from 16 to 14. That gives us two fewer chances to do the wrong thing, but it also gives two fewer chances to get it right.

Here’s a breakdown of the latest round of NFL games and who we like to win and cover in each contest:

(Game odds courtesy of FanDuel)

Bills, Cowboys, Chargers serious contenders; Chiefs, 49ers down for week 6

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NFL Picks vs. Spread for Week 6

  • Game of the week: Cowboys (-4, 48.5 o / u) at Patriots

Sunday 4:25 pm ET, CBS

The Cowboys offense seems unstoppable because it is balanced, explosive, versatile and multi-layered and can alternate between happy passing and heavy runs. They also have the added element of a mobile quarterback, Dak Prescott. Bill Belichick will plan to take one thing away from Prescott, most likely a great wide receiver, Amari Cooper or CeeDee Lamb. That still leaves the other one to do damage and Prescott has been feeling him pulling on his tight ends and backs as well. The Patriots’ running game has another injury and Mac Jones faces an aggressive defense with Trevon Diggs ready to attack any mistakes. Dallas has the perfect plan to thwart New England along the way.

Choose: Cowboys win 27-20 and cover the spread.

  • Midweek game: Buccaneers (-7, 53.5 o / u) at Eagles

Thursday 8:20 pm ET, Fox, NFL Network, Amazon Prime Video

The Buccaneers face a short week-long challenge, but nothing too daunting as there are plenty of holes to exploit in the Eagles’ defense once Javon Hargrave and Fletcher Cox are prevented from facing Tom Brady. Jalen Hurts can cause trouble for the Bucs’ defensive back with seven missing key pieces with his big arm and running ability. But Tampa Bay tends to start hot and build, while Philadelphia can be slow on the way out. That should ensure the Buccaneers build up enough cushion for the fourth quarter.

Choose: The Buccaneers win 34-22 and cover the spread.

  • Rivalry of the Week: Packers (-4.5, 45 o / u) at Bears

Sunday 1 pm ET, Fox

The Packers ‘passing defense will be struggling for a while without Jaire Alexander, but the Bears’ passing offense has been pretty non-existent with Justin Fields. Chicago will race to stay in the starter early, but the game’s script will put the first-round rookie (who isn’t running) in a discomfort zone. Green Bay’s offensive line will help Aaron Rodgers get the ball out quickly against Khalil Mack and the passing rush and exploit some shaky secondary points. The Packers are just one game away against the Bears and they know they need to take control of the NFC North ahead of a tough schedule in the second half and will play like one at Soldier Field.

Choose: Packers win 27-17 and cover the spread.

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  • Block of the week: Chiefs (-6.5, 54.5) over Washington

Sunday 1 pm ET, CBS

The Chiefs are back below .500 for the second time in three weeks. They wouldn’t lose two in a row to Patrick Mahomes, would they? Mahomes should have his key receivers healthy to play with, well so far, because Andy Reid might feel less compelled to run without Clyde Edwards-Helaire and veteran blocker Joe Thuney. Washington’s defense has been giving up big plays at will and is also having trouble getting in the right places to limit outfield gains. KC is going to DC for a much-needed comeback game against an offense that can’t catch up.

Choose: The bosses win 34-17 and cover the spread.

  • Madness of the week: Raiders (+3, 44.5) over Broncos

Sunday 4:25 pm ET, CBS

The Raiders and Broncos have lost two straight games after 3-0 starts, so a team’s playoff hopes will fade even faster this week. Las Vegas has been a defensive rollercoaster, sometimes in shutdown mode and sometimes in no-stop mode. Derek Carr and Teddy Bridgewater are similar quarterbacks with their short-to-intermediate pass leanings and the occasional deep shot. Las Vegas swept last season’s series and takes over Vic Fangio’s team for the third time in a row.

Choose: The Raiders win 20-17.

  • Dolphins (-3.5, 45.5) at Jaguars

Sunday 9:30 am ET, CBS

Do we really need to get up early in the morning to watch two Florida beach teams play across the Atlantic Ocean? No, but it’s still football and water and teal are pretty nice colors. Miami is the best-trained team under Brian Flores, and while Jacksonville will cut the “away” with second-year running back James Robinson, his head-scratching passing game with Trevor Lawrence will have some problems. The Dolphins will counter with a more creative offense around Jacoby Brissett as Urban Meyer finds a new continent in which to screw up an NFL game plan.

Choose: Dolphins win 24-22 but fail to cover the margin.

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  • Texans at Colts (-10, 42.5 o / u)

Sunday 1 pm ET, CBS

The Texans are showing a lot of struggle with what they have under coach David Culley and offensive coordinator Tim Kelly. The Colts’ running offense will give them one less breather than Quenton Nelson and Carson Wentz doesn’t have the weapons to turn it on. Davis Mills will deliver another proficient performance building in the Patriots game, while Houston’s defense bends but not completely broken.

Choose: The Colts win 24-17 but can’t make up the difference.

  • Vikings in Panthers (-1.5, 46.5 o / u)

Sunday 1 pm ET, CBS

The Vikings are a bit underrated at 2-3 and the Panthers have proven to be inflated at 3-2. Minnesota will do whatever it takes to beat Carolina; Stay with the run and create favorable passing opportunities to help neutralize a strong passing run. Hopefully we have a healthy rushed duel between Dalvin Cook and Christian McCaffrey, but it ultimately comes down to which QB will be less efficient and make more mistakes between Kirk Cousins ​​and Sam Darnold. Trust Cousins ​​won’t force the ball down as much as Darnold.

Choose: The Vikings win 23-20.

  • Chargers in Ravens (-3.5, 50.5 o / u)

Sunday 1 pm ET, CBS

The Chargers are feeling it offensively with Justin Herbert and are well prepared to win on the road with Brandon Staley. But as good as they may be defending the pass at times, they’re not destined to handle rush-intense attacks, especially those involving Lamar Jackson, who has also pushed the ball downfield with precision again. Baltimore will be more successful in making Los Angeles one-dimensional. These two AFC contenders will play a classic, just like the Chargers did with another North team last week.

Choose: Ravens win 27-24 but fail to cover the spread.

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  • Bengals (-3.5, 47.5 o / u) at Lions

Sunday 1 pm ET, Fox

The Bengals have their second feline frenzy in three games and, assuming Joe Burrow will be fine, they’ll bounce back well from the tough loss to the Packers in overtime with a short road trip to the other north. Cincinnati is superior to Detroit in every way. The Lions have no answers for the career of Joe Mixon or the talented trio of wide receivers led by rookie Ja’Marr Chase. The emotional loss to the Vikings last week will also be tougher for the Lions to overcome, given their incorrect talent limitations for this matchup.

Choose: The Bengals win 31-23 and cover the spread.

  • Rams (-10.5, 47.5 o / u) at Giants

Sunday 1 pm ET, Fox

The Rams have had plenty of time to bounce back from their Thursday night win in Seattle. Sean McVay always prepares them well for long trips down the East Coast. They draw a shell of the Giants offense and you can bet Jalen Ramsey will be assigned to take off the dazzling rookie Kadarius Toney. The Giants defense is crumbling and the Rams can run well in them to set up the usual action shots for Matthew Stafford away from top cornerback James Bradberry.

Choose: The Rams win 31-16 and cover the difference.

  • Cardinals at Browns (-2.5, 51.5 o / u)

Sunday 4:05 pm ET, CBS

Baker Mayfield and Kyler Murray meet for the first time as NFL quarterbacks after they were both selected No. 1 overall in Oklahoma in consecutive years, Mayfield in 2018 and Murray in 2019, while Mayfield is working to find His pace outside of his team’s 32-start, Murray is the MVP favorite leading a 5-0 team. But this game will be more decided by which team can control things with the running game, and that’s Cleveland. A streaking Mayfield stays hot while Murray can’t lead his team to victory in an unsurprising wild game.

Choose: Browns win 27-24 and cover the spread.

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  • Seahawks at Steelers (-4.5, 42.5 o / u)

Sunday 8:20 pm ET, NBC

The Seahawks will enter a hostile environment with Geno Smith at quarterback in place of Russell Wilson. Although Smith knows Pittsburgh well from his Backyard Brawl days, he hasn’t faced the Steelers defense at Heinz Field. The Steelers also kicked off Najee Harris and the running game last week and Seattle can’t stop that. The ‘Hawks can’t cover either Diontae Johnson or Chase Claypool, either.

Choose: The Steelers win 31-20 and cover the difference.

  • Invoices (-4.5, 53.5 o / u) in Titans

Sunday 8:15 pm ET, ESPN

The Bills had a great emotionally charged victory in Kansas City and will be slightly disappointed against another AFC playoff team that they have struggled with in the past. But Tennessee’s offense doesn’t have the firepower to keep up beyond the strong performance of Derrick Henry. The Bills passing game can beat the Titans in many areas of the field and they too will have great success with Josh Allen and others.

Choose: The bills win 27-23 but fail to cover the margin.

Vinnie Iyer picks in 2021:

  • Week 5 record against the spread: 7-9
  • Week 5 log directly: 11-5
  • ATS season: 39-41
  • Direct season: 53-27

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