After two weeks of trying to beat the Sports betting YES With my player accessory predictions, I am 7-2 in +4.65 units at a baseline of $ 100 from each investment. If I bet on the favorite, I bet the juice to win $ 100 (-115 bet line = bet $ 115 to win $ 100). On the underdog side, I bet 100 to win the bonus (100 to win 150 on a +150 bet line).
As I go through all the accessory lines, I look for price flaws. I would expect most of my investments to collapse unless I see an excessive correction in a line of statistics.
Last week, I got a disappointing 3-2 on my betting props. I played between the rushing over (84.5) or the rushing over (17.5) for Nick Chubb. I thought that a victory in yards meant success in his number of carries. Cleveland ran the ball 34 times, but Chubb finished with just 11 carries for 95 yards and a touchdown. I also came within four yards of a rushing victory for David Montgomery.
WR Justin Jefferson (MIN)
O / U 77.5 receiving yards (-115)
In 2020, Jefferson was a home of beasts (48/812/7) with five excellent games (7/175/1, 9/166/2, 7/70/2, 9/121/1 and 8/104) while averaging 16.9 yards per catch. The Vikings looked their way more than 10 times in their last eight games, and their chance was similar in the first two games (19 goals) this season.
The Seahawks allowed 22 receptions for 321 yards and two touchdowns to wide receivers in the first two weeks. This game is expected to score heavily, which will give Jefferson a boost in production. In the first cut of the Week 3 projections, draw number one in the wide receiver ranking (9/139/1).
RB Javonte Williams (DEN)
O / U 55.5 rushing yards (-115)
In his first two road games, Williams had 27 carries for 109 yards in the running game. Denver gave him 50 percent of running back plays in Week 1, but his playing time fell to 41 percent at Jacksonville. He had no runs of more than 20 yards as he delivered an exciting 7.3 yards per carry in his final season in college.
The Jets allowed 46 carries for 213 yards and three touchdowns in the first two weeks against Carolina and New England.
A home game for Denver points them to play from the lead with a hit in the runs. Williams brings an explosive feel, with a high ceiling once he gets more chances. Sports betting YES has the Broncos favored by 10.5 points, targeting them playing from the lead, focusing on the running game.
WR Robert Woods (L to R)
O / U 63.5 yards receiving
Most of the wide receiver opportunity for the Rams landed in the hands of Cooper Kupp (7/108/1 and 9/163/2) during the first two weeks. Woods has eight receptions for 91 yards and a touchdown while failing to gain more than 20 yards on any play. In 2020, he beat the Bucs on 12 receptions for 130 yards and a touchdown in a road game in Tampa.
The Buccaneers have been a disaster defending wide receivers (44/580/6) on 63 goals, with three wide receivers (Amari Cooper – 13/139/2, CeeDee Lamb – 7/104/1, and Calvin Ridley – 7/63 / 1). As a result, Tampa has to plan the game to slow down Kupp, creating a better window for Woods (7/82) to be productive. The Bucs also lost one of their starting cornerbacks in Week 1.
WR DK Metcalf (MAR)
O / U 75.5 receiving yards (-120)
Metcalf is an elite-level receiver who has been outscored by his teammate in the first two games. Tyler Lockett has the same number of goals (16), but has been much more productive (12/27/3). Metcalf has 10 receptions for 113 yards and a touchdown while gaining just 11.3 yards per catch (15.6 in his first two seasons). Last year, he caught six passes for 93 yards and two touchdowns against the Vikings.
Minnesota struggled to defend wide receivers for the Bengals (13/196/2) and Cardinals (17/277/3). They allowed 15.8 yards per catch and a high catch rate (73.1).
Russell Wilson should get Metcalf going in this showdown, while Tyler Lockett sees a step back in his performance. His first Sports Illustrated projections are at seven receptions for 116 yards and a touchdown.
TE Mark Andrews (BAL)
O / U 49.5 receiving yards (-115)
The Ravens want to run the ball, setting a low bar in most matchups for passing yards. Baltimore only has two reliable reception options (Marquise Brown and Andrews). Brown shone from the gate (6/69/1 and 6/113/1) while his star tight end had eight receptions for 77 yards on 10 goals in two games. Last season, he gained more than 50 yards in eight of his 16 games (five times at home).
Detroit allowed 10 touchdowns on 22 possessions to the 49ers and Packers, but both offenses did not have tight ends (4/78 and 3/52/1). The Lions defense must stop Lamar Jackson, and Marquise Brown’s success should attract more attention in this matchup. Detroit is at risk against tight ends (87.5 percent catch rate and 18.6 yards per catch), pointing to an active day for Andrews.
In 2019 and 2020, he gained more than 20 yards on 26 of his 122 receptions (21.3 percent). I have Andrews projected for four receptions for 56 yards and a touchdown in Week 3.
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Senior analyst Shawn Childs is a high-stakes, multi-sport fantasy legend with six-figure lifetime earnings. He has been providing in-depth analytical breakdowns for years while helping his subscribers to rake in countless titles and earnings throughout the season and DFS. Shawn, an inaugural member of the NFBC Hall of Fame, can teach you how to gear up like a champion.
Eddie is an Australian news reporter with over 9 years in the industry and has published on Forbes and tech crunch.