The only thing missing from Sunday night’s 49ers-Colts monsoon bowl was the fictional Carl Spackler, played by the legendary Bill Murray, who proclaimed, “I don’t think the heavy stuff is going to go down for quite a while.”
The heavy stuff certainly came and led to a soccer game that, frankly, contained errant passes that we all threw in our backyard games.
You may have laughed a few times, but you certainly wouldn’t laugh at the end of the night if you bet the bare minimum. Somehow, somehow, in a game that featured two solid defenses, the over hit because 16 points were scored in the fourth quarter.
Let’s get down to the good, the bad, and the ugly of Week 7 betting.
CJ Uzomah is barely in TE1’s fantasy game, so we don’t blame you if you made your prop bets on Sunday and didn’t include the Bengals’ tight end.
But if you did, bravo!
Uzomah had three receptions for 91 yards and two touchdowns, including the first of the game. Uzomah’s score paid handsomely at +440, but the tight end who scored the first touchdown of the game had +2100 odds. That is a good payday.
Samaje Perine also had a good payout on his touchdown support anytime at +410.
LAMAR STILL DELIVERY
The Ravens didn’t cover and lost straight (SU), but Lamar Jackson cashed in some good prop bets on Sports betting YES.
Jackson hit the over on his passing yards (240.5), rushing yards (60.5) and a combination of ground / air support (306.5). Jackson threw for 257 yards and a touchdown and rushed for 88 yards, combining for 345 yards.
Not bad for a quarterback on the wrong side of a 41-17 loss.
THE FINAL RUSH
We’re going to the Bengals-Ravens tilt again, but those who backed Joe Mixon to surpass 58.5 rushing yards enjoyed a wild shift in emotions.
Mixon, facing a tough Ravens defense, had just 35 yards with less than 12 minutes to go. Things were not looking good.
Then a 21-yard touchdown run. it’s okay. There were only three yards remaining, but the Bengals held a 34-17 lead when the next series began with 7:53 to play. Perhaps Perine would play the rest of the way with the game in a good place and Mixon dealing with recent injuries.
First try: Mixon for three yards. The extra blows.
Cash. That. Bet.
Ugly, but a win
The Washington soccer team only scored 10 points yesterday, but that didn’t stop punters from collecting overs on their rushing / receiving support bets.
Antonio Gibson surpassed 49.5 yards rushing, Taylor Heinicke overcame his 19.5 rushing bet with 95 yards, Terry McLaurin surpassed his over / under 69.5 yards receiving 122 and Ricky Seals-Jones had 51 yards to collect the over at 38.5.
The Rams as a whole will appear in the bad section, but Matt Stafford and the passing game had a feast against the Lions.
Stafford (334 passing yards and three touchdowns) surpassed 291.5 passing yards and 2.5 touchdowns, Cooper Kupp had 156 yards to collect his 94.5 pillar (and continues to anger those with Robert Woods in the fantasy) and Woods rescued another fantasy day forgettable with 70 yards, surpassing his mark of 62.5.
IT’S A FUCKING FIGHT
The Lions ‘performance on Sunday can best be described by Tony Evers’ great fictional line from Rocky when the main character confronts Apollo Creed: “He doesn’t know it’s a fucking show. He thinks it’s a fucking fight.”
The Lions pulled all the tricks yesterday and fought to the end in a 28-19 loss, which had to infuriate the Rams punters.
Sports betting YES He had a tasty powered parlay if he liked the big favorites on Sunday: Rams (-16.5), Packers (-7.5) and Patriots (-6.5) with +700 odds, up from +650.
New England and Green Bay did their part. Los Angeles just had to do its thing.
Well, the Rams escaped and they may well have muttered, “There will be no rematch.” They didn’t even come close to cover.
NO LONGER A TREND
We say goodbye to the “Bet the Patriots’ under” play.
The Patriots opened the year undercharging in each of their first four games, but the over has come in each of their last three games.
Sunday’s game was 42.5 over / under and the Patriots overcame that without help from the poor Jets.
SO CLOSE YET SO FAR
The Buccaneers easily covered a 12.5-point margin against the Bears in a 38-3 win, but those who bet the total points (47) can only shake their heads.
Ryan Succop missed a 43-yard field goal early in the game, and the Buccaneers couldn’t hit him late despite having a golden opportunity.
With the Buccaneers leading, 35-3, early in the third quarter, they had a first and goal at the 2-yard line. Chicago’s defense had barely managed a fight thus far.
First down, pass without profit. Then an incomplete pass. Two more runs went nowhere and the Buccaneers failed to score.
Those seven points would have charged the result.
THE UGLY ONE
DID THE BOSSES STOP HENRY?!?!
It’s hard to say nice things about the Chiefs’ defense, although we could commend the unit for being welcoming to opposing players.
Derrick Henry, on the other hand, is breaking through defenses as John Cena ran on the WWE roster during his prime years.
Henry versus the Chiefs seemed like a great place. Too good to be true.
Until it wasn’t.
The Chiefs somehow kept Henry at 86 rushing yards (2.97 rushing yards per attempt), well below his 118.5 over / under, and kept him out of the end zone. Henry also failed to collect his longest running pillar of 19.5 yards in Sports betting YES.
At least Henry saved his fantasy day with a passing touchdown, but that was to no avail for those who hoped Henry would lead them to profit.
DON’T FEEL SO HOT IN MIAMI
Things are not going so well in Miami but at least you have South Beach.
Now this one might not be so ugly if he took the Dolphins +2.5 earlier in the week. The line ended at the Dolphins as 2-point home losers against the Falcons.
But if you waited? Oh.
Let’s set the stage: The Dolphins led by one with 2:27 to play. A save against a Meh Falcons team, and the Dolphins Against The Spread (ATS) and SU punters rejoice.
First play: Matt Ryan to Kyle Pitts, 23 yards.
Play two: Ryan to Pitts, 28 yards.
The dolphins finally lose on a field goal.
A draw instead of an ATS win and a SU loss. All Miami needed was a stop.
Well, at least the Dolphins have their own first-round pick in 2022, right? (Ducks)
OH NOW YOUR SCORES?
Considering the weather and Jimmy Garoppolo’s overall ineffectiveness, betting below the 41.5 overall projection for the Colts-49ers seemed logical.
The game seemed to go according to plan during the first three quarters, with the Colts leading, 20-12, entering the fourth.
Then, almost out of nowhere, Garoppolo put it all together in three plays and led a 70-yard drive to score, but failed to convert the 2-point attempt. The Colts responded with a field goal to make it 23-18. Staying alive, even just barely.
No more points and the money flows.
(Jimmy G enters the scene.)
Garoppolo throws an interception and the Colts smash your dreams with a 28-yard strike at 3rd and 10 to push the game beyond full projection. We recommend that you do not watch the clip to see Dre Kirkpatrick’s “defense” on the touchdown.
The 49ers bad night also cost you a big pay in Sports betting YES, who drove a parlay to +750 from +650 that would cover the 49ers (-4.5), Garoppolo would throw for more than 224.5 yards and Deebo Samuel would find the end zone.
Only Samuel did his part.
Thanks for nothing, San Francisco.
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Eddie is an Australian news reporter with over 9 years in the industry and has published on Forbes and tech crunch.