I was talking to one of my colleagues here at Illustrated Sports about this series of articles about the dynasty and a little about strategy. We landed on the issue of corridors and I left the point that I hardly ever change for them. I went on to say that the only way I’m acquiring running backs in the dynasty leagues is through the draft or the waiver.
This leads to the suggestion Dynasty this week. Prices runners operations are too volatile and this opinion comes from a guy who is more than happy to live and die by sudden changes in the values of the players. There are some archetypes between the position: stallions (Jonathan Taylor), young veterans productive (Joe Mixon), veterans productive aging (Melvin Gordon), prone to injury (Saquon Barkley), wives (Alexander Mattison), third-PPR. (JD McKissic), parasites to the end of the race (Jordan Howard), to the following chance of injury or to the end of the season (Derrick Gore, Craig Reynolds) and better than nothing (Sony Michel, Devonta Freeman). In all cases, when they are not the type, its value is reduced. When are the boy, their value is inflated excessively.
Of course, there are scenarios in which you value more than a player coach who has listed, so you can make a good stroke. Here’s how it works trade. But go to the game record of any broker and tell me how many have chained productive five straight games. Now play this over an entire career? I prefer to accumulate as many backups as possible, play fighting, beat the bottom of my list to try to add the cable exemption to the end of the week so you can build wide receivers bolts.
The 80th best rider can be an RB2 for a couple of weeks because someone gets injured and he starts. The 80th best receiver will always be 80th best and if he has a great game, he will be 100% unpredictable unless three receivers are injured in front of him.
Given the shorter lifespan of a runner, the likelihood of missing a game or two, the trend toward split bottom courses, and the usage volatility that builds from all of these issues, it pushes me toward my strategy of running or To die. If you think a runner’s career is over or about to recover, look at the ups and downs of any runner this year.
From Devonta Freeman, Howard, D’Ernest Johnson, Barkley, Cam Akers, JK Dobbins, Mike Davis, Cordarrelle Patterson, Elijah Mitchell, Trey Sermon, James Conner, etc. in believing that I can project it. Give me as many RB darts to throw as possible and hopefully I’ll hit a target or two. If I ever trade for a Tier 1 stud, he will be a catcher 10 times out of 10.
Let’s ring the opening bell for Dynasty Stock Watch:
WR Hunter Renfrow, Las Vegas Raiders
How many of you got Renfrow firmly into the WR2 conversation this season? It may have been at the expense of Darren Waller’s preseason hype, but anyone watching the Raiders knows we’re seeing the rise of a Julian Edelman or Jamison Crowder type of possession catcher. He is the epitome of a safety valve for Derek Carr. This may seem like a good selling opportunity, but I place greater value on someone like Renfrow than a catcher like Mike Williams. I’ll take 6-70 every week on a boom or bust scorer, especially like my WR2.
- Price check: 2022 end of 1st.
- Winnow: To hold
- Rebuild: To hold
WR Jerry Jeudy, Denver Broncos
Truth be told, I have no Jeudy stock. About a third of their fantasy production last year was split into two games (Week 9: 7-125-1; Week 17: 5-140-1) and the last game made no sense in 99% of the leagues that They don’t even play in the last week of the season. We are approaching year 3 and old fantasy fanatics will inform you of the prevalence of the third year leak. Maybe you can think about that in business negotiations.
Jeudy looks sloppy on his route and his arrested development hasn’t really turned against him. I don’t like what John Elway has done with this team and his days should be numbered. There are likely to be many managers who feel that it has much more business value than Renfrow. There are probably some people who read this with their heads blown because I’m chasing Jeudy. The only reason for this is the draft capital the Broncos spent on him. He has made it zip and scratch in the field of merit. I have two words for you: Jalen Reagor. I was never with him, but keep holding on at your own risk.
- Price check: 2022 mid 1, 2022 5
- Winnow: Sell
- Rebuild: Sell
WR Marquise Brown, Baltimore Ravens
A month into the season, Brown appeared to be delivering a high-caliber season. He had five touchdowns in five games. At an average of points per game, he is still a receiver in the top 20. For the sake of comparison, given Brown’s fast miniature receiver profile, we expected Tyreek Hill. I don’t see that. I would love to see more under and yards after the catch production.
What I hope is that other people feel like he had the highest ceiling on Hill and are disappointed. In my eyes, Brown peaked early in the season, but he has shown us that he can produce streaky results. That’s fine because most catchers are like that … Luckily for us, he’s not usually the best catcher for fantasy coaches who have him on the roster. This gives you more flexibility on how to approach him.
If I can add him as my third best receiver, probably with a win now, I hope he ends the season at his current disappointing track. Dynasty managers, feeding off their poor second half of the season in the coming months, might be willing to give it up as its value declines throughout the spring. If adding him to my list would make him my best or second best receiver, I have bigger concerns and he doesn’t fit in very well. At best for rebuilds, he’s holding his own and you expect him to finish the season with a 40-point game to inflate his value and use it to acquire draft picks.
- Price check: 2022 mid 1st, 2022 3rd
- Winnow: Buy
- Rebuild: Wait, sell if it ends up strong
Get gambling and fantasy analysis delivered to your inbox by signing up for the Winners Club newsletter
More fantasy, betting and NFL coverage:
Eddie is an Australian news reporter with over 9 years in the industry and has published on Forbes and tech crunch.