No. 12 Oregon visits No. 3 Ohio State on Saturday in a top-10 clash that will impact the 2021 college football playoff race. The game is scheduled for 12 pm at Ohio Stadium.
The game will be televised on FOX.
Will Oregon’s star defensive end Kayvon Thibodeaux play? That’s the biggest question for the Ducks after Thibodeaux suffered an ankle injury in Game 1 against Fresno State. Thibodeaux was listed as day to day during the week. The Ducks were disappointing in a 31-24 win against the Bulldogs. This is an opportunity for Oregon coach Mario Cristobal to score a next-step victory in a hostile environment for the Pac-12.
The Buckeyes opened the season with a 45-31 victory over Minnesota in quarterback CJ Stroud’s first game as a starter. Ohio State showed some great offensive play with All-American candidates Chris Olave and Garrett Wilson at receiver, but the defense still allowed 203 rushing yards for the Gophers. Third-year coach Ryan Day is a former assistant from Oregon, so that adds to the intrigue.
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Here’s everything you need to know about betting on the Big Noon kickoff game between the Buckeyes and Ducks:
Ohio State vs. Oregon odds
- Spread: Ohio State -14.5
- Below: 63.5
- Money line: Ohio State -600, Oregon +420
Three trends to know
– Oregon is 0-9 all-time against the Buckeyes, and that includes a 42-20 loss in the first game of the CFP championship in 2014.
– The Ducks are 3-7 ATS in non-conference games under Cristobal, and that includes a 1-2 ATS record as a road underdog.
– The Buckeyes are 20-0 S / U as favorites under Day since 2019. Ohio State is 6-4 ATS at home under Day since 2019, and that includes a 3-3 record in non-conference games.
Three things to look at
– Who steps forward if Thibodeaux can’t go? The line is up three points for a reason. Thibodeaux is a force for Oregon, and Cristobal said the defensive end is “day to day” on Monday. The Ducks have other defensive stars, including second-year linebacker Justin Flowe, who missed most of last season with a knee injury.
Flowe had 14 tackles in the win against Fresno State. Linebacker Noah Sewell and cornerback Mykael Wright added interceptions, and even if Thibodeaux had a limited attack count, this defense can still be detrimental against CJ Stroud, who is making his second career start.
– Anthony Brown in The Shoe. The Ducks could steal a page from Minnesota’s playbook and try to control the clock with their running game that includes CJ Verdell and Travis Dye. That tandem, along with Brown, had 49 rushing attempts against Fresno State in Game 1. The problem is, he scored just 3.8 yards per carry. Brown will be asked to do more in the passing game, and must avoid third and long against a front four from Ohio State that includes Zach Harrison and Haskell Garrett. Those two combined for the game-changing play of a strip-sack and fumble for a TD against Minnesota.
– Ohio State catchers. Wright and red jersey freshman Trikweze Bridges are tasked with defending the Chris Olave and Garrett Wilson tandem at Ohio State. They combined for nine receptions for 197 yards, an average of 21.9 yards per reception, with three TDs. Stroud succeeded in hitting receivers with deep crossover routes. Will Oregon be able to generate enough pressure to counter that?
Statistics that matter
Ohio State’s five offensive touchdowns against Oregon covered an average of 59.2 yards. Running backs Mayan Williams and TreVeyon Henderon connected long TD runs, and Oregon can’t let the Buckeyes feed off those big plays early on.
Rather, that’s part of the Thibodeaux effect. The Ducks jumped to a 14-0 lead against Fresno State before he left with an injury. How will Oregon settle if its superstar can’t play?
Oregon vs. Ohio State Prediction
Ohio State has won 24 consecutive home games. The last loss was on September 9, 2017, when Oklahoma quarterback Baker Mayfield planted the flag at The Shoe afterwards in a 31-16 upset. That’s our way of saying that Brown has to play his best game for the Ducks to have a chance.
The first units from Oregon are critical and should have some success on the ground. Ohio State’s fast-paced offense will prove too much in the second half, and Stroud will be more efficient at home. He throws for another 300 yards with three or four TDs, and Ohio State keeps that streak alive at The Shoe.
Final score: Ohio State 42, Oregon 27
Eddie is an Australian news reporter with over 9 years in the industry and has published on Forbes and tech crunch.