Almost everyone has a superior memory of “This is March,” where a well-researched NCAA tournament group, against all odds, disintegrated.
For this writer, it took place on March 20, 2016 in a second-round trade between Northern Iowa and Texas A&M – the 11-seeded Panthers were the pick. They led 69-57 with 44 seconds remaining, a score so confident that this writer doubled his selection, declaring in an apartment common room filled with college friends that he would drink Burnett’s vodka straight from the plastic bottle if the Aggies returned. .
The Burnett is burned. But the red line that ran through the northern Iowa name burned more.
Picking a perfect March Madness group is almost impossible, statistically speaking. Anecdotes of busted tracks and unlikely surprises due to ill-timed drops that occur once a season lend vivid images to the randomness of March Madness and betray careful predictions.
Every year, it could-have-should, like northern Iowa cause heartbreak.
Here’s a full explanation of why not only won’t your support be perfect, it probably won’t last past opening weekend.
MORE: What’s the perfect longest-running March Madness group?
What is a perfect bracket and how do I get one?
A perfect set of March Madness involves correctly choosing all 63 games before the competition begins. That means correctly picking 32 games in the first round, 16 in the second round, eight in the Sweet 16, four in the Elite Eight, two in the Final Four, and of course the national championship game.
You will not make a perfect support. But there is nothing wrong with trying.
What are the odds of choosing a perfect support?
The odds of picking a perfect NCAA Tournament equal the odds of being struck by lightning approximately 3,428,571 times (assuming you beat them all).
Why are the odds so long? Due to the number of possible scenarios, as well as the number of surprises that March Madness is infamous for. There are more than 9 trillion, that is, “9” followed by 18 zeros, different ways to complete a March Madness parenthesis (it is not a joke).
Still, the odds are not that long today. For example, because of near-certainty, such as the No. 1 seeds beating the 16 seeds in the first round, except for that one time, mathematicians say the actual odds of perfection are about 2.4 trillion.
Has there ever been a perfect support before?
A man named Gregg Nigl, however, picked the first 49 games correctly in the 2019 NCAA Tournament, which lasted until the Sweet 16 before his Tennessee pick stumbled in overtime against Purdue. His was the best performance on record, although digital tracking of selections is a recent development.
What is the Warren Buffett March Madness Bracket Challenge?
In 2014, Buffett, who has a net worth of nearly $ 80 billion, offered a billion dollar prize to the public for anyone who chose a perfect medium, knowing that the odds of doing so were exponentially lower than those of winning the lottery. Since then, he has limited his giveaways to the people who work for him and has facilitated the challenge to success in the first two rounds.
Last year, Buffett offered $ 1 million a year for life to any employee who correctly predicted the first week of the NCAA Tournament results. Nobody did.
Tips for choosing a perfect support
We’re not sure what else to say:
- There are
- would do
Are there perfect parentheses in 2021?
Until the NCAA Tournament begins, we are all perfect!
This section will be updated until the last flawless bracket drops.
Eddie is an Australian news reporter with over 9 years in the industry and has published on Forbes and tech crunch.