Saturday, January 22

Saints vs Buccaneers Odds, Prediction, Betting Trends for NFL ‘Sunday Night Football’

When the Buccaneers (10-3) host the Saints (6-7) on “Sunday Night Football” in Week 15 of the 2021 NFL season (8:20 pm ET, NBC), they will look to wrap up the NFC South. qualification. Tampa Bay was a wild-card playoff team behind New Orleans when it made the race to win Super Bowl 55 last season.

A victory would mark another division crown for Tom Brady with a second team. The Saints hope their four-year reign over the South will come to an end.

The Buccaneers can make a statement trying to reestablish their status as clear Super Bowl favorites. The Saints are looking to sweep the Bucs for the second straight regular season.

Here’s everything you need to know about betting on the Saints vs. Buccaneers in Week 15, including updated odds, trends and the experts’ prediction for “Sunday Night Football.”

NFL WEEK 15 OPTIONS: Against the Spread | Straight up

Saints vs. Buccaneers odds for “Sunday Night Football”

  • Spread: Buccaneers by 11.5
  • Below: 45.5
  • Moneyine: Santos +420, Buccaneers -560

The Buccaneers have been double-digit favorites from the opening lines, another lopsided difference in a division game for SNF. The Bucs are rolling like they did last December, while the Saints continue to fade with limited offense and shaky passing defense.

(betting odds per FanDuel sports betting)

Saints vs Buccaneers all-time series

The Saints lead the series 38-22. They won 36-27 on Halloween in New Orleans. Last season, they won 34-23 to open the year at home and they also won 38-3 at Tampa. But the Buccaneers won the key playoff game in the middle, 30-20. That’s the only victory for Tampa Bay in the last seven meetings.

Three trends to know

—72 percent of spread bettors are on the side of the Saints to cover the huge amount despite being on the road, where the Buccaneers have dominated at home.

—60 percent of above / below average bettors think the total is too low given the offensive power of both teams at times. The Bucs can handle much of the scoring on their own to bring the total around 50.

—The Saints are 4-6 against the spread and 4-6 outright in their last 10 games. The total has exceeded six times. The Bucs are 6-4 ATS and 8-2 SU in their last 10 games. The total has been reduced to six times.

Three things to see

Saints offensive injuries

The Saints are once again missing starting tackles Terron Armstead and Ryan Ramczyk due to knee injuries. Wide receiver Michael Thomas has been missing all year with his ankle injury, leaving the Saints with arguably the worst wide receiver corps in the league. There will be plenty of Taysom Hill as a running back with the support of the versatile Alvin Kamara as New Orleans tries to move the ball on the same level as Brady.

The Buccaneers’ defensive injuries

The Bucs will suffer again in the secondary and safeties and underpacks will be the concern as Jordan Whitehead (calf) and Antoine Winfield Jr. (foot) are listed as questionable and Jamel Dean and Richard Sherman will miss the game. The Bucs have been driving at the rear all season and their top linebacker will be most critical to winning this game.

Running games

Tampa Bay is number 3 against the run. New Orleans is number 6 against the race. Tampa Bay has the 25th rushing offense, but running the ball when needed with Leonard Fournette (questionable ankle) is effective. New Orleans relies more on the terrain, with the 14th running offense. The Bucs won’t mind passing 50 times to win the game with Brady; the Saints want Hill to likely pitch fewer than 20 times.

Statistics that matter

48.2 percent. That’s the Buccaneers’ third-down conversion rate this season. The Saints defense has allowed for a low conversion rate of 37.9 percent. The Bucs do it with big early passes with Brady or long runs, setting up consistently drivable third-party situations. His great offensive force, No. 2 in the league, can flex here to frustrate the Saints.

Saints vs Buccaneers prediction

Hill and Kamara will try to get the Saints competitive, but their continued limitations in the passing game hurt here as the Bucs’ secondary is still dealing with a lot of injuries. The Bucs ‘passing run working against backup tackles will be effective and Brady will ensure that the script of the game is not favorable by jumping on the many weaknesses of the Saints’ own pass defense.

Buccaneers 31, Santos 20

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