Wednesday, August 17

Simón celebrates the decline in incidence but does not rule out a sixth wave

The director of the Center for the Coordination of Health Emergencies, Fernando Simón, highlighted the decrease in the incidence of the pandemic in Spain: “We have 12 weeks of continuous and stable descent; In no period since the pandemic began have we had such a continuous decline “.

Simón has attributed the fact that Spain has returned this Thursday to the low risk for covid-19, with a 14-day incidence of less than 50 cases per 100,000 people, to the high coverage of vaccination, in statements to the media before offering the inaugural presentation of the Congress of the Spanish Society of Family and Community Medicine SemFYC in Palma.

“It is good news that we are in a situation where congresses can already be held and professionals from different specialties can begin to discuss everything that has happened, everything that we have to improve, everything that we are going to change in the future and how to resume a life a little more normal and a health a little more similar to what we had before but with the lessons we have learned as a result of the coronavirus, “he said.

Sixth wave

On the possibility of a sixth wave, Simón considers that there will be other waves, but has stressed that in Spain the number of susceptible to contagion is low: “We are fortunate that thanks to vaccination we have a much lower number of susceptibles than in other places and any wave that is going to come, predictably would be smaller and slower,” he predicted.

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Although it is not known what will happen, Simón considers it possible that we will have to live with covid-19 “for a while”.

The forecasts would be that if there were any wave, it would be restricted to the unvaccinated groups, under 12 years of age, with an impact on the clinic and on care much lower than what we have been knowing up to now and probably with an epidemic or wave size much smaller than what we are used to “, he added.

He highlighted that Spain has had a continuous and stable decline in incidence for twelve consecutive weeks, the longest period of “continuous decline” since the global pandemic began in January 2020, which adds to the fact that there are more and more vaccinated and fewer “susceptible”.

For a person to generate an outbreak we have to be unlucky enough to find several unvaccinated or susceptible people together and it is not easy“, he assured, and added that this situation only occurs in very specific areas.

The director of the Center for the Coordination of Health Emergencies believes that “there may be outbreaks but it is difficult for there to be a sixth rapid wave.”

“If it does not happen in the next few weeks, we can think that what is going to happen will already be very small and that it will hardly be perceptible,” he added.

In relation to the removal of restrictions and the reopening of nightlife, Simón believes that it is necessary to “go step by step”. “But the situation is very favorable and we have to gradually normalize the situation,” he said.

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