The best betting time of the entire NFL season has finally arrived – Super Bowl Proposition betting is everywhere. Proposed bets account for nearly 60 percent or more of control of the Super Bowl at sportsbooks across the country. Think about it! The game itself only witnesses 40 percent or bet on the margin or total, with sports bettors drawn in by bets ranging from national anthem time to the final gatorade bathroom color! There are literally over 1,000 proposition bets offered by DraftKings Sportsbook at Super Bowl LV.
The clear information of Whispers of vegas, produced another profitable betting campaign in the NFL: He finished the regular season with a 68-47-1 ATS record. Including the playoffs, Sin City’s reporting has a solid record of 71-53-1 ATS. Gambling games, supplied by Sports Illustrated betting Insider Frankie Taddeo, involves plays from the NFL, NCAA basketball, and college football, NHL and MLB. Be sure to keep an eye out for Vegas Whispers’ Super Bowl keen proposition bets later this week as we head to the start of Sunday!
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Super Bowl LV opening odds
Kansas City (15-2 SU, 7-10 ATS) vs Tampa Bay (14-5 SU, 11-8 ATS)
Money line: Tampa Bay (+143) | Kansas City: (-162)
Smeared: TB: +3 (-105) | KC: -3 (-117)
Total: 56.5 – More: (-110) | Sub: 56.5 (-110)
Game information: February 7, 2020 6:30 pm ET / 3:30 pm PT | CBS
According to my sources in Las Vegas, we are witnessing a reverse process in initial bets on Super Bowl LV. Despite the fact that nearly 73 percent of the money was wagered in Kansas City, punters have pulled the line in the opposite direction of total money by moving the Chiefs’ 3.5-point favorites to just 3-point favorites. The same action is being witnessed in the total market, where almost 77 percent of the money has reached the bottom, which skyrocketed to 57.5 in Las Vegas, only to continue to be offered in DraftKings Sportsbook at 56.5. All of this could easily change once we get to kick-off on Sunday.
Let’s dive into the proposal bets that have had the earliest action!
Super Bowl MVP Market
The MVP proposal market is always popular and this year it is proving no different. In Las Vegas, you might initially find Kansas City star tight end Travis Kelce at odds of +1600 and speedy wide receiver Tyreek Hill around +2000. After a week, we’ve seen significant movement in both players and this was something that I and my colleagues Bill Enright and Corey Parson discussed as a strong possibility last Wednesday at the Bull market fantasy podcast. Around some stores in Las Vegas are now less than 9/1, while DraftKings Sportsbook They offer Hill at +1200 and Kelce at +1300.
Since 2000, quarterbacks have been named Super Bowl MVPs in 13 of the last 21 games (62%). Historically, quarterbacks have won the award in 30 of 54 Super Bowls. Obviously, this is the reason why the two favorites on the market are Patrick Mahomes (-106) and Tom Brady (+210). Brady won the award four times and Mahomes earned his first nod last year in the Chiefs’ 31-20 win over San Francisco.
- Attack player 30
- Running back 7
- The wide receiver 7
- Supporter 4
- Defensive end 2
- Safety 2
- Cornerback one
- Defensive tackle one
- Kick return / kick return one
Brady UNDER 0.5 rushing yards (-165)
Significant bets have been placed on Tom Brady’s total rushing yards (0.5), with a lot of attention to the ‘Under’, which now has a probability of -165. Looking back, Brady’s production in his previous nine Super Bowl appearances was: 3, 12, -1, 0, 0, -3, 15, 6 and -2. Thus, Brady has had less than 0.5 yards rushing in five of nine (56%) previous Super Bowl appearances. In 2020, Brady hasn’t shown up often as a member of the Buccaneers; passing less than 0.5 yards rushing in 12 of 16 (75%) games. We should also note that the yes to ‘kneel’ is a prohibitive -200 favorite to be the ‘end game’ with no currently returning +159 at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Note: If Tampa Bay wins Super Bowl LV and enters a winning formation, kneeling counts as “negative yards” in rushing totals.
Team that records its first catch (Tampa Bay -155)
The problems the Chiefs could experience along their offensive line due to the loss of star tackle Eric Fisher do not go unnoticed by punters. Fisher will miss Super Bowl LV after tearing his Achilles tendon in the AFC championship win over the Buffalo Bills. The former No. 1 overall pick in the draft was a vital part of protecting Mahomes and at the same time critical to the team’s ability to post prolific offensive numbers both in the air and on the ground.
Tampa Bay has a solid defensive line led by Jason-Pierre Paul and Shaquil Barrett. Bettors back the Buccaneers (-155), whose defense has forced seven turnovers and recorded seven sacks in three playoff victories, will record the first sack in Super Bowl LV. In the NFC Championship game, Tampa Bay sacked Aaron Rodgers five times, led by Barrett, who sacked the likely 2020 League MVP three times.
Total jumps in the game (6.5) LESS THAN -143
Early action from punters has also focused on punt play (or lack of it) in Super Bowl LV. Bettors rely on two teams with strong and efficient offenses setting up long drives that result in long scoring drives, as the line for total punts (6.5) that opened with odds of -110 is now held at -143 juice for the ‘Minus’. In the AFC Championship Game, the Chiefs did not attempt a punt while in their Divisional win over Cleveland punter Tommy Townsend, they only attempted a punt.
On the ball side, Tampa Bay recorded just two punts in the NFC Championship Game, after scoring four against New Orleans in the Divisional Round and three against Washington in the wild-card round. Bettors rely on Kansas City and Tampa Bay to move the ball efficiently combined with aggressive plays that could lead to more fourth-down attempts further limiting overall punts in Super Bowl LV.
Player with most receiving yards (L. Fournette -152 vs. C. Edwards-Helaire)
In the postseason, Tampa Bay’s Leonard Fournette emerged as the club’s running leader. As a result of the added reps, he has posted higher production in the passing game, making him a solid option for Brady in the postseason. The veteran running back has caught 14 of 17 goals for 102 receiving yards and a touchdown in the team’s three playoff victories. Bettors are betting Fournette (-152) will continue to flourish in the passing game and support that he will out-produce rookie Kansas City running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire (+122) with more receiving yards in his head-to-head support. . . LSU’s talented first-round pick was an integral part of Kansas City’s success in the early part of the season, but injuries derailed their production. In his last five games, he has less than eight receiving yards in four of those games.
After a deeper dive, we found that the mighty Edwards-Helaire has struggled to make an impact on passing games in his rookie campaign by recording one or fewer receptions in six of 13 games overall. This has led bettors to back Fournette strongly, expecting both trends to continue in Super Bowl LV.
Be sure to keep an eye out for Vegas Whispers’ Super Bowl keen proposition bets later this week as we head to the start of Sunday!
Eddie is an Australian news reporter with over 9 years in the industry and has published on Forbes and tech crunch.