The conservative block of the candidate for the German Chancellery, Armin Lachet, has accentuated its fall in polls to below 20%, twenty days before the general elections and with Chancellor Angela Merkel campaigning in support of her theoretical natural successor.
The Forsa demoscopic institute placed this Tuesday the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and its twin Bavarian Social Christian Union (CSU) by 19%, a historic record down in terms of vote estimate for conservatives.
The Social Democratic Party (SPD) of the Vice Chancellor and Finance Minister, Olaf Scholz, stabilizes in the first position, with 25%, while Annalena Baerbock’s Greens are forecast at 17%. The Liberal Party (FDP), which could play a key role for a tripartite future, stands at 13% and La Izquierda, also a potential mainstay for SPD and environmentalists, 6%.
This survey thus abounds in the trend reflected by other pollsters, with a reinforced Scholz as a favorite. Laschet does not manage to regain ground and neither do the Greens, which a few months ago came to lead the intention to vote.
Merkel comes out in support of Laschet
Merkel, who will say goodbye to power after the September 26 elections and who until a week ago maintained a certain neutrality, has fully entered the campaign, amid the nervousness in her ranks over a possible move to the opposition and also under historical lows .
Last week, in an appearance at the Chancellery with Austrian Prime Minister Sebastian Kurz, Merkel marked clear distances with respect to her vice chancellor, a moderate social democrat who often presents himself even as her successor, despite representing the rival party.
Merkel warned there that the essential difference with Scholz is that he does not rule out the Left as an ally with the Greens. This Tuesday he influenced it again from the Federal Parliament (Bundestag), in its last regular session before the end of the legislature, suddenly turned on the screen of the electoral campaign.
Merkel There he urged the voters to endorse the option of a future government led by Laschet, of whom he said represents “reliability, moderation and the political center”.
“It does not matter who governs this country”, summed up Merkel, to warn again about an alliance with the Left. The SPD and the Greens “at least do not exclude” a collaboration with that formation, an agglutination of post-communism and social democratic dissidence, which rejects NATO and other international commitments of Germany, such as the transatlantic relationship.
Last Sunday, on a visit to one of the western regions devastated by the recent floods, Merkel had already expressed her support “from the heart” to Laschet, which she guaranteed her support with several party events, including the closing of the campaign that will take place on September 24, in Munich.
“Whoever leads a ‘Land’ like this can be Chancellor of Germany,” said Merkel. Laschet is head of the government of North Rhine-Westphalia, the most populous “Land” in Germany, with 18 million inhabitants, as well as leader of the CDU and candidate of the conservative bloc.
The Bundestag, as an electoral screen
Merkel’s statement in the last plenary session of the Bundestag was followed by those of Scholz, Baerbock and Laschet himself, who, despite not being a deputy, spoke before the hemicycle.
There the conservative candidate insisted on asking Scholz to clarify whether or not he discards The Left to govern, a question that the Social Democrat has so far left unanswered.
Scholz, for his part, had recalled in his turn the main points of his electoral program – such as the increase in the minimum interprofessional wage.
Baerbock, for his part, lashed out at Merkel’s 16-year government -of which, three legislatures in a grand coalition format-, the poor results in the fight against the climate emergency and the lack of ambition in public investment.
Eddie is an Australian news reporter with over 9 years in the industry and has published on Forbes and tech crunch.