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WASHINGTON – A potential large-scale invasion of Ukraine by Russian troops would result in more than 50,000 casualties and close to 5 million refugees. that they would escape to other countries, according to the latest assessment by the Pentagon and US intelligence.
According to this scenario, quoted by the Washington Post this Sunday, the Russian invasion would manage to take the Ukrainian capital, Kiev, in two days, and would result in 50,000 victimsbetween dead and wounded.
In addition, would generate a humanitarian crisis with five million refugees in neighboring countries, mostly in Poland.
The newspaper indicated that this scenario was explained in meetings this week with US lawmakers from high-ranking military and intelligence officials in Washington.
This information coincides with the increase in the concentration of Russian troops on the border with Ukraine and in neighboring Belarus.
Specifically, it points out that there are 83 Russian battalions, with approximately 750 soldiers, prepared for a possible assault, to which additional logistical, medical and air support personnel are added.
In this sense, this week the Pentagon publicly warned that Moscow could invent a pretext to attack Ukraine.
Specifically, Defense Department spokesman John Kirby told a news conference that Russia “could produce a graphic propaganda video, with corpses and actors pretending to be people in mourning, with images of destroyed areas, as well as military equipment in the hands of Ukraine or the West.”
Those weapons, he added, could be represented in such a way that they appear to have been supplied by the West to Ukraine.
Tension has spiked in the last month over the mobilization of more than 100,000 Russian soldiers on the border with Ukraine, which has led the US and Russia to engage in a propaganda battle.
Moscow has repeated on several occasions that it does not want a war with Kiev and that it does not threaten Ukraine, while Washington has been warning for days of an “imminent” attack, although this week he backed down and chose to speak of a possible Russian aggression “at any time”.
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Eddie is an Australian news reporter with over 9 years in the industry and has published on Forbes and tech crunch.