Monday, April 8

The Peruvian Congress discusses this Monday a new motion of censure against President Castillo


  • The left-wing rural teacher faces the second onslaught by Congress in four months

  • The president’s entourage is confident that he will once again be able to avoid impeachment

The Peruvian Congress debates this Monday a new motion of censure in four months against the president Peter Castle. The left-wing rural teacher will remain in office if the right-wing parliamentarians who have promoted impeachment fail to 87 votes for impeachment. Castillo clings to the possibility of having the support of 44 legislators. Free Peru, the party that brought him to the Government, Democratic Peru and Together for Peru, add 43 rejections to the interruption of the mandate for supposed “moral incapacity”. According to the Lima press, it would not be difficult for the government to obtain at least the support of a dissident congressman from the other factions.

The second request for a presidential vacancy was presented by 76 parliamentarians from Fuerza Popular, the party led by Keiko Fujimori, Renovación Popular, Avanza País, Somos Perú and Podemos Perú. They were joined by representatives of Popular Action and Alliance for Progress.

In recent days, Castillo and those around him were inclined to believe that the offensive of the conservative sectors in Parliament would have lost strength. Different analysts were also inclined to share this hypothesis, although the Peruvian experience of recent years does not invite certainties. In 2018, Peter Paul Kuczynski he resigned before Congress kicked him out. his successor, Martin Vizcarra he couldn’t help but, two years later, try the same remedy.

scenarios

“I think that, so far, it seems that the math is clear and that there are not the votes to vacate it,” said Darío Pedraglio, from the consultancy 50 + 1. In his opinion, “we have a president and a government that have abandoned some of their proposals, such as the constituent Assembly; and, on the other hand, we have an opposition that although it seeks to vacate it, it still seems not to have the votes”.

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the retired admiral George Montoya, of National Renewal, is one of the most determined promoters of censorship and trusts in the possibility of achieving the objectives. “We are going to exceed the votes that were obtained in the admissibility (of the trial). If the number of votes is not obtained, we will see what the alternative path is to solve the crisis.” “We will be giving that vote for governability and that it can continue,” anticipated Alfredo Pariona, from Peru Libre.

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Two weeks ago, a survey by the consulting firm Ipsos revealed that Castillo has a 66% negative image. Last Sunday, another poll, published by the newspaper The Republicreported that 80% of Peruvians believe it is more convenient than general elections are called to appoint a new president and another 130 congressmen if the current president is dismissed. According to the Institute of Peruvian Studies (IEP), only 9% of the population considers it convenient for Vice President Dina Boluarte to assume Castillo’s position. Barely 5% request that the same Congress be maintained in case they achieve the removal of the president. More than half of the citizens consulted want for their part that “all” those responsible for the institutional crisis go away.

Although Castillo manages to remain at the head of the Executive this Monday, Peruvians know that political tensions will return sooner rather than later. In fact, the IEP survey shows that 71% of those interviewed believe that the rural teacher his government period will not end. David Sulmont, from the Department of Social Sciences of the Catholic University, pointed out in this regard that the offensive against the presidential figure, who has endured a strong attack since his inauguration on July 28, to the point of having changed his Government, damages the Peruvian political system.

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