(CNN) — Daily COVID-19 cases in the US hit a record Thursday, and experts warn that death rates could triple by mid-January.
According to data from Johns Hopkins University, 88,521 new cases of coronavirus were reported in the US, 9,540 more cases than on Wednesday.
In all, there have been more than 8,947,980 cases and at least 228,677 deaths in the U.S., 971 of them on Thursday, JHU data shows.
“This is the hardest point in this pandemic right now – the next two months,” Dr. Scott Gottlieb, former commissioner of the US Food and Drug Administration, said Thursday during an interview on the Squawk Box program of the United States. CNBC. We can’t let our guard down right now.
Thursday’s average marks an 82.68% increase in new cases over the past month, according to Johns Hopkins. This week alone, the nationrecorded a record of 536,131 cases. Total coronavirus cases could exceed 9 million by Friday.
On Thursday, nine states reported their highest record for new cases in a single day: Johns Hopkins reported: Illinois, Indiana, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, New Mexico, North Carolina, North Dakota and Ohio.
New Jersey Gov. Phil Murphy told CNN on Friday that he attributed the rise in cases to cold, “fatigue” and private indoor gatherings.
Murphy said he would consider a statewide curfew “if we had to,” although he doesn’t want it to come to that. In Newark, non-essential businesses must close at 8 p.m., among other restrictions.
Murphy announced 2,089 cases Friday, marking the state’s highest one-day total since May.
Also Friday, Florida officials said the state had 5,592 more cases for a total of more than 800,000, according to the Florida Department of Health.
Only California and Texas have exceeded 800,000, according to data from Johns Hopkins.
He Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington School of Medicine says that by mid-January, 2,250 Americans will most likely die every day from the coronavirus, three times the current rate.
And it could get a lot worse.
“If the states do not react to the increase in the figures by reimposing mandates, the accumulated deaths could reach 514,000 by the same date,” the IHME said in its latest forecast.
‘The fall / winter surge should lead to a daily death toll that is about three times higher than now in mid-January. Hospital systems, particularly ICUs, are expected to be under extreme stress in December and January in 18 states.
And hospitals are already under increased pressure. As of Thursday, more than 46,000 people were hospitalized, according to the Covid Tracking Project, and all but 11 states saw an increase in hospitalizations this week.
States continue to break daily case count records
43 states have shown an increase in cases compared to last week, five are stable and two, Oklahoma and Louisiana, report a decrease, according to JHU.
New Mexico reported 1,082 cases Thursday, a record, and a senior health care executive raised the alarm about the direction of the spread of Covid-19 in his state.
“We are at an unsustainable rate of growth,” said Dr. Jason Mitchell, medical director of Presbyterian Healthcare Services, which operates nine regional hospitals in New Mexico.
Mitchell says the state’s case growth rate averages about 5% per day, which would result in catastrophic numbers if no efforts are made to change the trend. “By December, we would have so many cases that we would be in MASH tents,” Mitchell said during a state health conference.
Illinois also reported a daily high of new cases for the second time in a week with 6,363 new cases on Thursday.
The total number of cases statewide is now 395,458, according to the Illinois Department of Public Health. Governor JB Pritzker and IDPH announced that the Region 3 would enter covid-19 mitigation measures.
Nine of the 11 regions The state will now be under resurgence mitigation measures due to high average positivity rates.
Minnesota, North Dakota, and Ohio also reported their highest daily COVID-19 totals Thursday, with 2,872, 1,222, and 3,590 new positive cases, respectively.
Officials warn against traditional gatherings
The Oregon Health Authority reported 575 new cases Thursday, also breaking the state record for a single day.
“Preliminary data shows that this increase reflects continued widespread community transmission resulting in small groups and outbreaks throughout the state,” the OHA said in a written statement. The number of deaths from coronavirus in the state is now 673.
Health officials strongly encourage Oregonians to forgo traditional Halloween trick-or-treating gatherings this year.
Murphy said New Jersey saw a surge as it announced another 1,477 cases Thursday.
Murphy urged residents not to remove their family members from nursing homes for Thanksgiving.
“It’s cold, it’s raining, our numbers have increased. I’m not happy to say you can’t get Mom or Dad out of the nursing home, ”Murphy said. “I’m not happy to say you can’t have your normal Thanksgiving.”
Higher rates of covid-19 after Trump campaign rallies
A CNN investigation of 17 Trump campaign rallies finds that 14 of the host counties had a higher rate of new covid-19 cases one month after the rally.
The 17 campaign events occurred between August 17 and September 26. CNN evaluated the rate of daily new cases per 100,000 residents four weeks before the event, on the date of the rally, and four weeks after at the county and state levels.
Of the 14 host counties that increased infection rates, eight of them had declining infection rates in the month before the rally. The other six counties already had rising infection rates in the previous month.
CNN’s analysis also found that in 10 counties, new infection rates were growing faster than the state’s overall rate.
The research evaluated campaign events in Minnesota, Wisconsin, Arizona, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Michigan, Nevada, Wisconsin, Minnesota, North Carolina, Ohio, and Florida.
CNN’s Jay Croft, Maggie Fox, Nadia Kounang, Andy Rose, Andrea Diaz, Lauren del Valle, Brad Parks, Kay Jones, and Anna Sturla contributed to this report.
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