We finally had a big upset that rocked the NFL’s group of survivors last week when the Jets defeated the Titans. About 20-25 percent of the group’s entries were eliminated when the Titans lost, so things are finally starting to get tense. Everyone will try to avoid landing in a grenade with their selection from Week 5, as four different teams are very close in public popularity. Finding the right one comes down to factors like the popularity of the pick, future value, pool size, and more. TeamRankings is here to help with strategy tips and suggestions for the five most popular picks.
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NFL Week 5 Survivor Group Tips – Tips, Team Strategy
Note: The “Choose Popularity” numbers below refer to the estimated percentage of entries from the nationwide survivor group who have already chosen the team in question. Those numbers, as well as the odds of a team winning, can change throughout the week, so be sure to check out our NFL survivor chooses product to get the latest data.
GREAT NEWS: Before we get to the selections, we are happy to announce that we have just published our first e-book, Survivor group strategy: what it takes to win. It explains all the key elements of the survivor group strategy and includes case studies on specific historical weeks and winning group entries. It’s free right now so download your copy here.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Miami Dolphins
Choose popularity: 21% (most popular choice)
Point difference: -10.5
The Buccaneers are the favorites of the week. Since they aren’t much more popular than other picks this week, they’re pretty good value too. The counterpoint to using them now is that they have the highest future value of any team, and there will likely be a few weeks later in the season with fewer worthwhile options. Whether you want to use them now depends on the size of your pool.
The longer you wait for the group to last, the more you should consider saving the Bucs for later.
MORE TEAM RANKINGS: Week 5 Pick ’em Group Tips
New England Patriots in Houston Texans
Choose popularity: 20% (No. 2)
Point difference: -9.0
The Patriots are the second-biggest seed of the week and have a good current value as well. They have some future value, even when they host the Jets in Week 7. That said, this is a reasonable place to use them.
The Pats placed two starting offensive linemen in the reserve / list COVID-19 Tuesday, so keep an eye on your status. If that ends up affecting their chances of winning, it could keep them from being a strong survivor consideration.
Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants
Pick Popularity: 19% (No. 3)
Point spread: -7.0
The Cowboys have slightly lower odds of winning than the other top options, but they have similar popularity, making them slightly less valuable this week.
They also have moderate future value, even as they host the Falcons in Week 10 and the Raiders on Thanksgiving.
WEEK 5 PPR RANKINGS:
Field marshal | Running backwards | Wide receiver | Tight end | D / ST | Kicker
Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions
Choose popularity: 16% (No. 4)
Point difference: -7.5
The Vikings are coming off a home loss to the Browns, where they had just seven points, but now they get the Lions winless.
Minnesota has the lowest future value of the top options this week. If you need to save other strong teams for later in the season, that could be important.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Indianapolis Colts
Choose popularity: 8% (No. 5)
Point difference: -7.0
Baltimore offers a contrary option to the four most popular teams despite similar winning odds.
The Ravens have good future value, although not as much as Tampa Bay. They seem like a potential option several weeks later in the season, although there is no clear cut to target to save them.
Get our selection of survivors from Week 5 for your group!
Each potential NFL Week 5 survivor pick has an expected value in the current week, as well as an associated future value. Those values can vary significantly based on the characteristics of your group, such as its size and rules. It takes a lot of data and math to figure out which pick (or combination of picks, if you’re playing multiple innings) gives you the biggest advantage in winning your pool, which is why we spent years building our Product NFL Survivor Picks.
Our product asks you a few questions about your group of survivors, then provides personalized selection advice using the latest matchmaking data, betting market odds, and public selection trends. It keeps track of the selections you’ve already made and even recommends how to split your selections if you’re playing multiple inputs. There’s nothing like that, and that’s why our subscribers have reported nearly $ 3 million in survivor fund earnings since 2017.
We invite you to give it a try and good luck to your survivor groups this week!
Eddie is an Australian news reporter with over 9 years in the industry and has published on Forbes and tech crunch.