It seems like yesterday we were very committed to the fantasy football draft season, so it’s hard to imagine that we made it to the last football game of the season on Thursday night.
Ryan Tannehill and the leading AFC South Titans host Jimmy Garoppolo and the 49ers in a clash with massive playoff implications for both clubs.
The 49ers are one of the most popular teams in the NFL, winning five of their last six games and averaging an impressive 29.2 points per game.
The Titans, who have lost three of their last four games, will be looking to solidify their quest for the 2021 AFC South title and fend off a heavy charging Indianapolis team.
Tannehill has struggled under the bright lights of Thursday night football, throwing five touchdowns to five interceptions while his teams are 2-4 Straight-Up (SU).
Overall, my Las Vegas content in the NFL this season ranks at 42-34 (55%), including investments in ATS and Player Proposition, resulting in a gain of +10.82 units. Let’s look to close the season on a high note here at Betting YES!
- Smeared: San Francisco -3.5 (-110) | Tennessee +3.5 (-110)
- Money line: San Francisco (-188) | Tennessee (+155)
- Total: 44 – Over (-110) | Less than 44 (-110)
- Public betting percentages (spread): SF 53% | TEN 47%
- Game information: Thursday, December 23, 2021 | 8:20 pm ET | NFL Network
The line has improved since its opening in favor of San Francisco (8-6 SU; 7-7 Against The Spread (ATS)) as a 3-point road favorite in Sports betting YES at a demand of 3.5 points. The total, which started at 43.5, has risen to 44. The Titans (9-5 SU; 8-6 ATS) are 5-2 SU at Nissan Stadium this season and could host star wide receiver AJ Brown for the first time. since suffering a chest injury in Week 11 against the Texans.
Fantasy managers expect a big production from star catcher Deebo Samuel and tight end George Kittle in the second week of the Fantasy playoffs.
Samuel has emerged as the best threat in San Francisco’s rushing attack as the club has suffered numerous injuries at the position and will be without Elijah Mitchell again. The versatile third-year fantasy star has scored at least one rushing touchdown in five straight games. Samuel has likely led his fantasy managers to the postseason by posting double-digit PPR fantasy points in each game you have played this season.
The 49ers may be forced to use Samuel more in the passing game, as Tennessee has the second-best rushing defense, with just 86.9 rushing yards per game.
The respected money in Las Vegas has targeted Kittle. The star tight end is proving once again to be a dominant fantasy option at the most critical point of the season. Over the past three weeks, the fifth-year veteran has been on the field for more than 90 percent of offensive plays while accumulating 28 receptions for 425 yards and four touchdowns. Averaging 141.6 receiving yards per game during this span, the respected money has supported a more superb production against the Titans by betting more on their 68.5 receiving yards projection, which has surpassed six of 11 games this season.
The Titans are hoping Brown’s potential return will ignite an offense that has only averaged 15.3 points per game during its three-week absence.
Any bet involving Brown, who would likely receive most of the target stake if he played, is a solid investment despite facing a tough 49ers pass defense who is yielding the seventh fewest yards per game (213.2). .
The Titans have struggled to find an offensive identity since star running back Derrick Henry (foot) fell. Wide receiver Julio Jones reinjured his hamstring in last week’s loss at Pittsburgh, but he has no injury designation for Thursday’s game.
San Francisco is 5-1 SU and ATS in its last six games, while Tennessee is reeling and is 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS in its last five games. However, the Titans will play desperately in the short week as the red-hot Colts have closed the gap to one game in the race for the AFC South crown. The Titans own the tiebreaker.
The respected money believes that a strong defense of the Titans will force Garappolo to beat them through the air on Thursday.
Let’s also look to hook the two AFC South rivals in another bet that will conclude on Christmas Day!
As we continue to emphasize, if you assume that backing home teams is a blind and profitable endeavor this season, then you need to pay more attention. The home teams are just 99-123-1 (44.6%) ATS and the home underdogs are a disappointing 41-47 (46.6%) ATS.
BET: Tennessee +3.5 (-110)
CHRISTMAS NOTICE: Tennessee +10.5 with Colts +8.5 (vs. Arizona)
George Kittle, TE, 49ers: Over 68.5 receiving yards
REVIEW OF THE SI BET
2021 YES Betting Monday Night Football: 8-7 ATS / Props 15-11 +6.15 joined
2021 YES General NFL Football Betting YTD: 42-34 ATS & Props +10.82 United
American Football NFL Betting IF 2020: 72-58-1 ATS (55%)
Get gambling and fantasy analysis delivered to your inbox by signing up for the Winners Club newsletter.
More betting, fantasy and NFL:
• 49ers-Titans Gamer Accessories
• Week 15 Bad Beats
• Week 16 Waiver Cable
• Compound singles bowling games
• Fantasy Impact: AB rejoins the Bucs
• Jakob Johnson is helping the Patriots